Severe Storms

WW 331 TORNADO TX 261935Z - 270300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 331 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 235 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of South-Central and West-Central Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Widespread large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorm development including supercells will increasingly occur through mid/late afternoon across the Edwards Plateau/Concho Valley southeastward along a boundary toward the Hill Country and I-35 corridor of south-central Texas. Very large hail is expected with the most intense storms given the magnitude of the instability, while some tornado threat will exist as well. Clusters of east/southeastward-moving storms may evolve by early evening with a heightened severe-wind potential toward the Hill Country/I-35 vicinity. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northwest of San Angelo TX to 50 miles south southeast of Hondo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 330... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0332 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 332 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE MEI TO 40 SE MEI TO 50 SSW TCL TO 35 W TCL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0997 ..THORNTON..05/26/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 332 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-007-013-021-025-035-037-041-047-051-063-065-085-091-099- 101-105-129-131-262340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BIBB BUTLER CHILTON CLARKE CONECUH COOSA CRENSHAW DALLAS ELMORE GREENE HALE LOWNDES MARENGO MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY WASHINGTON WILCOX THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0331 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 331 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0996. ..GRAMS..05/26/25 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 331 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC013-019-029-031-053-081-083-091-095-105-137-163-171-173-187- 209-235-259-265-267-299-307-319-325-327-383-385-399-411-413-431- 435-451-453-461-463-493-507-262340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATASCOSA BANDERA BEXAR BLANCO BURNET COKE COLEMAN COMAL CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS FRIO GILLESPIE GLASSCOCK GUADALUPE HAYS IRION KENDALL KERR KIMBLE LLANO MCCULLOCH MASON MEDINA MENARD REAGAN REAL RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TOM GREEN TRAVIS UPTON UVALDE WILSON ZAVALA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon May 26 22:34:05 UTC 2025.

MD 0993 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.
Mesoscale Discussion 0993 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Areas affected...parts of eastern New Mexico and the western Texas Panhandle. Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 262037Z - 262230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Scattered convection developing across the southern Raton Rim and Sangre De Cristos may pose an initial risk for hail, before damaging wind and some tornado potential increases across eastern NM and the TX Panhandle this evening. A watch is possible. DISCUSSION...As of 2030 UTC, regional radar and satellite imagery showed scattered convection developing/maturing across the higher terrain of far southern CO and northeastern NM. Located within a broad low-level upslope flow regime, convection has been gradually intensifying this afternoon. With low-level easterly flow near a partially modified outflow boundary, 40s and 50s F surface dewpoints are contributing to 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE. Deep-layer shear is somewhat weak currently, displaced to the north of the stronger sub-tropical jet farther south. However, sufficient buoyancy and 20-30 kt of deep-layer shear are supporting a mix of multi-cell clusters and transient supercells with an initial risk for some hail. With time, consolidating outflows should allow for clustering and some forward prorogation way from the higher terrain. CAM guidance continues to show this evolution, with one or more linear clusters maturing and propagating along the remnant outflow, across the southern High Plains into the western TX Panhandle this evening. This would favor a risk for damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado with the stronger supercellular elements. While the exact timing of this evolution remains contingent upon storm interactions and chaotic cold pool growth, observational trends/model guidance suggest the severe threat will gradually increase through the afternoon and into this evening. A weather watch may be needed, though there remains substantial uncertainty on the timing and placement. ..Lyons/Guyer.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ... LAT...LON 33320119 33040239 33080404 34130538 35240596 35480539 35890368 35140286 34670153 33320119 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

MD 0994 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR WEST-CENTRAL INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL ALABAMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0994 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Areas affected...west-central into south-central Alabama Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 262046Z - 262215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...The need for an additional severe thunderstorm watch is uncertain. At least a localized damaging wind risk will spread into Alabama late this afternoon into the early evening. DISCUSSION...A linear thunderstorm cluster currently extends from I-20 in east-central MS southward into southern MS, and it is moving east around 35 mph. The airmass ahead of the storms has warmed into the upper 80s to lower 90s with dewpoints ranging from the upper 60s to lower 70s. Although the 850-300 mb mean wind is moderate in strength, steepened 0-3 km lapse rates (7-8 deg C/km) amidst a high PW airmass (approaching 2 inches) will favor sporadic surges with the linear band and more intense water-loaded downdrafts. As a result, at least localized/isolated 50-65 mph gusts capable of wind damage are forecast to eventually spread east of Severe Thunderstorm Watch #330. The overall coverage of damaging gusts is uncertain and convective trends will be monitored regarding the need for an additional small severe thunderstorm watch. ..Smith/Guyer.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 31898844 32648833 32688695 32518650 32028639 31248678 30888838 31898844 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH Read more

WW 0333 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0333 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more