Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0256 PM CDT Sat Apr 01 2023 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... Expanded the Elevated and Critical delineation northward across the Colorado Front Range where fuels have started to dry and winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected Sunday. In addition, expanded the Elevated area to the west across eastern Arizona and western New Mexico where fuels have started to dry and winds of 25 mph with single digit relative humidity is expected. Otherwise, the ongoing forecast remains on track. ..Bentley.. 04/01/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Sat Apr 01 2023/ ...Synopsis... A shortwave impulse will move across New Mexico and Texas on Sunday bringing increasing westerly flow aloft. Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico and western Texas. ...Eastern New Mexico and Western Texas... Winds will likely begin to mix early Sunday morning across portions of western Texas and eastern New Mexico as the shortwave approaches. Very dry conditions will already be in place with temperatures warming into the afternoon. Relative humidity reductions to around 10 percent (locally as low as 5-7 percent) will be possible with sustained winds around 15-20 mph (locally up to 25 mph). This in combination with ERCs approaching the 70-80th percentile after several days of drying support a Critical delineation across eastern New Mexico and western Texas from the Texas Panhandle south to Trans Pecos and eastward to Caprock. ...Central New Mexico and the Oklahoma Panhandle southward to the Rolling Plains of Texas... A broader region of Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible across areas near and south of the Albuquerque area as well as further east into the Oklahoma Panhandle and Rolling Plains of Texas. Winds within this region are less certain, though areas of sustained winds up to 15-20 mph will be possible with locally Critical fire weather concerns. Potential expansion of the Critical area may be needed in further updates. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0105 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 105 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW HLG TO 15 SSE HLG TO 20 WNW LBE TO 35 S DUJ TO 10 SSE DUJ TO 20 WSW BFD TO 10 WNW JHW TO 55 NNE ERI. ..JEWELL..04/01/23 ATTN...WFO...BUF...CLE...PBZ...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 105 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NYC003-009-013-029-037-051-055-063-069-073-117-121-011940- NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY CATTARAUGUS CHAUTAUQUA ERIE GENESEE LIVINGSTON MONROE NIAGARA ONTARIO ORLEANS WAYNE WYOMING PAC021-023-033-047-051-059-083-105-111-129-011940- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAMBRIA CAMERON CLEARFIELD ELK FAYETTE GREENE MCKEAN POTTER SOMERSET WESTMORELAND LEZ040-041-061-011940- Read more

WW 0107 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0107 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 107 SEVERE TSTM NY PA 011825Z - 020000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 107 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 225 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central New York Central and Eastern Pennsylvania * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...A fast-moving band of storms will pose mainly a damaging wind risk this afternoon. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles north northwest of State College PA to 20 miles northeast of Wilkesbarre PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 105...WW 106... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 26050. ...Guyer Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CDT Sat Apr 01 2023 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY ACROSS NORTH TX... ...SUMMARY... Occasional large hail, isolated damaging winds, and a couple of tornadoes will be possible during the day tomorrow, mainly across north Texas. ...North TX and vicinity through the day... In the wake of a pronounced midlevel trough now moving over the OH Valley/lower Great Lakes, a front will stall along the Gulf coast. Upstream, a shortwave trough now near northern Baja will progress eastward to the southern Plains tomorrow afternoon. In response to the approach of this trough and increasing westerly flow across the Rockies, lee cyclogenesis across the southern High Plains will result in strengthening southerly low-level flow and northward moisture advection during the day across TX. The increasing low-level moisture beneath the eastward extent of a elevated mixed layer plume will support substantial destabilization during the day across north TX. Clusters of mainly elevated storms are probable during the day in the zone of stronger low-level warm advection across northwest TX into southern OK, with sufficient MUCAPE/lapse rates for occasional large hail. Farther south, there will be a few hour window of opportunity for supercells rooted near or at the surface within the southern fringe of the stronger forcing for ascent, close to the surface warm front around mid afternoon. Mid-upper 60s boundary-layer dewpoints and surface heating in cloud breaks and midlevel lapse rates of 7-8 C/km will drive MLCAPE up to 1500 J/kg along the warm front, with sufficient deep-layer shear/hodograph length and low-level shear/hodograph curvature for supercells with all hazards. These threats will be focused along the warm front from about 20-00z, with the threat for surface-based supercells diminishing during the evening with passage of the midlevel trough. Otherwise, clusters of slightly elevated storms will spread eastward toward northwest LA/southwest AR and slowly weaken early tomorrow night. ..Thompson.. 04/01/2023 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 AM CDT Sat Apr 01 2023 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... The forecast remains on track and no changes were necessary. Some elevated conditions are already present across southeast Colorado and vicinity. Sunny skies will allow additional warming and deep mixing through the afternoon with critical conditions likely developing by 19-20Z. ..Bentley.. 04/01/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1248 AM CDT Sat Apr 01 2023/ ...Synopsis... A belt of strong westerly flow aloft will overspread the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies on Saturday as an embedded shortwave moves eastward across Arizona and into New Mexico. East of the Rockies, lee troughing will develop in response with increased south to southwesterly flow across the Central and Southern High Plains across a very dry post-frontal air mass. Elevated to Critical fire weather will be possible. Dry conditions will extend further south and east but lighter winds will preclude the need for expansion of any areas. ...Eastern CO, Northeastern NM, northwest TX, western OK Panhandle... The Critical area was maintained with this update. HREF guidance still shows the highest conditional probability of Critical conditions across far southeastern Colorado, northeastern New Mexico, west Texas, and the Oklahoma Panhandle. Confidence in relative humidity reductions to around 10-15 percent within this region is high. Some question remains in the extent of the stronger winds. As such, ensemble guidance was leveraged to narrow down the most likely region of dry/windy overlap with the driest fuels. It is possible that locally Critical fire weather conditions may occur within the broader Elevated region. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated area across the eastern edge further into Oklahoma and Texas. ...Far West Texas near Stockton Plateau and Edwards Plateau... Localized Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions will be possible across the Stockton and Edwards Plateau Saturday afternoon. Given the localized and largely terrain driven nature of any Critical conditions, no area was included with this update. However areas of Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions will be possible. Drying fuels in this region will likely support fire spread. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Sat Apr 01 2023 Valid 011630Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST STATES INCLUDING PARTS OF PA/NY/OH/NJ... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Damaging winds and a couple tornadoes will be possible across parts of the Northeast this afternoon and evening. Isolated to scattered damaging winds and a tornado or two remain possible across parts of the Southeast through the afternoon. ...Northeast States... Parts of the region have been upgraded to a categorical Enhanced Risk. This is related to an initial concern for increasingly organized/fast-moving linear low-topped convection moving from eastern Ohio into western portions of Pennsylvania/New York early this afternoon. Although the immediately preceding air mass is not overly moist, ample insolation/heating via cloud-free skies in conjunction with a strong wind field and regionally observed steep lapse rates will support scenario for potentially widespread damaging winds aside from some hail. Farther east, richer boundary-layer moisture will persist closer to the coastal plain across the Delaware/Lower Hudson Valleys. While pervasive cloud cover persists at midday (roughly within 75-100 miles of the Atlantic Coast at 16z), steady clearing is expected this afternoon based on radar/satellite trends. Environment will support both a conditional supercell environment as well as persistence/potential rejuvenation of the upstream fast-moving convective line. If a few supercells materialize, tornadoes, hail, and damaging winds would all be possible, and damaging winds are otherwise probable with the inbound convective line roughly centered in the 21z-01z time frame for eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, southern New York/NYC Metro vicinity. ...Southeast States... Deep-layer flow will gradually trend more westerly with time as the strong upper low advances east across the Ohio Valley. Pre-frontal convection currently extends from central Georgia to southern Alabama at midday, and this will continue to advance east-southeast through the day. While the primary large-scale forcing will spread well north of this region, deep-layer flow will be strong and organized clusters/short-line segments are expected. Damaging winds should be the primary concern, though some risk for a tornado or two exists as well. ..Guyer/Lyons.. 04/01/2023 Read more

WW 0093 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 93 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE SZL TO 25 WNW IRK TO 35 ESE FOD TO 15 SE FRM. ..BROYLES..03/31/23 ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 93 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC001-009-011-013-015-017-057-061-067-071-073-083-085-095-107- 109-113-117-123-125-129-131-137-143-149-155-161-167-169-171-175- 177-179-187-195-203-312240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BROWN BUREAU CALHOUN CARROLL CASS FULTON GREENE HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY JERSEY JO DAVIESS KNOX LOGAN MCDONOUGH MCLEAN MACOUPIN MARSHALL MASON MENARD MERCER MORGAN PEORIA PIKE PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT STARK STEPHENSON TAZEWELL WARREN WHITESIDE WOODFORD IAC005-007-011-013-017-019-023-031-033-037-043-045-051-055-057- 061-065-067-069-075-081-083-087-089-095-097-099-101-103-105-107- 111-113-115-123-125-127-131-135-139-157-163-171-177-179-183-189- 191-195-312240- Read more

WW 93 TORNADO IA IL MO WI 311645Z - 010100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 93 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1145 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Iowa Western Illinois Northern and Central Missouri Southwest Wisconsin * Effective this Friday morning and evening from 1145 AM until 800 PM CDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... * Primary threats include... Numerous tornadoes expected with a few intense tornadoes likely Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Intense supercell thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and spread eastward across the watch area. Tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are all possible with this activity. Parameters are favorable for the potential for strong/violent tornadoes and very large hail. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 115 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east of Jefferson City MO to 55 miles east northeast of Mason City IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Hart Read more

WW 0096 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 96 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..03/31/23 ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 96 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC007-031-037-043-053-063-075-089-091-093-097-099-103-105-111- 141-197-201-312240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE COOK DE KALB DUPAGE FORD GRUNDY IROQUOIS KANE KANKAKEE KENDALL LAKE LA SALLE LEE LIVINGSTON MCHENRY OGLE WILL WINNEBAGO INC007-073-089-111-127-312240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON JASPER LAKE NEWTON PORTER WIC025-045-049-055-059-065-079-101-105-111-127-133-312240- WI Read more

WW 96 TORNADO IL IN WI LM 311935Z - 010300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 96 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 235 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northeast Illinois Northwest Indiana Southern Wisconsin Lake Michigan * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A cluster of intense thunderstorms over northwest Illinois will track eastward across the watch area this afternoon, posing a risk of large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes. Another line of storms will threaten the area later this afternoon with a second round of severe/tornado threat. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Milwaukee WI to 65 miles south southeast of Marseilles IL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 93...WW 94...WW 95... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25040. ...Hart Read more

MD 0407 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 93... FOR SOUTHEAST IOWA
Mesoscale Discussion 0407 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0359 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Areas affected...Southeast Iowa Concerning...Tornado Watch 93... Valid 312059Z - 312130Z CORRECTED FOR AREAS AFFECTED The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 93 continues. SUMMARY...Likely strong tornado (upper EF2 to EF3) ongoing northeast of Ottumwa. The downstream environment will continue to support the potential for a strong tornado. DISCUSSION...A supercell northeast of Ottumwa has shown increasing low-level rotation with a tornado recently confirmed. Current VROT observations from KDMX are around 60 kts. Given the environment, this would suggest a strong tornado (EF2-EF3) is likely ongoing. The deepening surface low and continued backed surface winds in eastern Iowa will continue to support a strong/intense tornado threat as this storm continues to the north and east. ..Wendt.. 03/31/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX... LAT...LON 41039220 41039243 41219247 41599221 41909176 41899137 41629134 41399161 41039220 Read more

MD 0406 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 93... FOR TEST
Mesoscale Discussion 0406 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Areas affected...test Concerning...Tornado Watch 93... Valid 312054Z - 312130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 93 continues. SUMMARY...Likely strong tornado (upper EF2 to EF3) ongoing northeast of Ottumwa. The downstream environment will continue to support the potential for a strong tornado. DISCUSSION...A supercell northeast of Ottumwa has shown increasing low-level rotation with a tornado recently confirmed. Current VROT observations from KDMX are around 60 kts. Given the environment, this would suggest a strong tornado (EF2-EF3) is likely ongoing. The deepening surface low and continued backed surface winds in eastern Iowa will continue to support a strong/intense tornado threat as this storm continues to the north and east. ..Wendt.. 03/31/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX... LAT...LON 41039220 41039243 41219247 41599221 41909176 41899137 41629134 41399161 41039220 Read more

MD 0405 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 96... FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.
Mesoscale Discussion 0405 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0350 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Areas affected...Northern Illinois...southern Wisconsin...and northwest Indiana. Concerning...Tornado Watch 96... Valid 312050Z - 312145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 96 continues. SUMMARY...The risk for hail and tornadoes will continue across WW93 as storms approach the Chicago metro. DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells across north-central IL should continue northeastward reaching the western Chicago Suburbs and southern WI over the next 1-2 hours. Numerous reports of severe hail have been received this afternoon and should continue as storms track northeastward. Around 1000 J/kg of MUCAPE and 60+ kt of effective shear strongly favor hail production with a supercell mode. A risk for tornadoes may also evolve as storms approach the more strongly sheared warm frontal zone over southern WI and northeastern IL. Though this is more uncertain owing to more marginal surface dewpoints in the mid to upper 50s F. ..Lyons.. 03/31/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...IND...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN... LAT...LON 42559008 42968939 42948838 42918795 42758773 42708775 42318778 41618740 41188723 40908722 40408753 40358812 40498918 40948974 41468995 41759004 42559008 Read more

MD 0404 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 94... FOR AR INTO PARTS OF THE MS/TN VALLEYS
Mesoscale Discussion 0404 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Areas affected...AR into parts of the MS/TN Valleys Concerning...Tornado Watch 94... Valid 312042Z - 312215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 94 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for tornadic supercells will continue into the early evening, with a continued risk of strong tornadoes. Downstream watch issuance may be needed prior to 00Z. DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells is ongoing at 2030 UTC near and east of Little Rock, with the lead supercell having earlier produced an apparent strong tornado near/north of Little Rock. This supercell cluster will continue to move east-northeastward toward the MS River, with additional supercell development expected with convection now developing across western AR. The lead supercell cluster will be moving through the strongest low-level shear environment into early evening, with the low-level jet expected to become maximized near the MS Valley region. Strong tornadoes will remain possible with this cluster into eastern AR, western TN, and northwest MS. Farther west, some veering of low-level flow has been noted, but moderate buoyancy (MLCAPE of 1500-2000 J/kg) and very strong deep-layer shear (effective shear of 70+ kt) will continue to be very favorable for discrete supercells. All severe hazards will remain possible with any supercells that develop across western AR and move east-northeastward into early evening, with low-level flow/shear remaining sufficient to support a strong tornado threat with any longer-lived supercells. The severe thunderstorm threat will begin to spread east of WW 94 by early evening, and downstream watch issuance will likely be needed prior to 00Z. ..Dean/Hart.. 03/31/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA... LAT...LON 34569438 35329413 35929326 36239151 36888779 34808776 34188874 33928957 33749092 33609230 33539315 33519409 33939439 34569438 Read more

MD 0403 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL WI
Mesoscale Discussion 0403 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Areas affected...southeastern MN and south-central WI Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 312038Z - 312245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...The threat for large hail may develop and spread northward from northern IA into southeastern MN. Locally severe thunderstorms may also eventually spread into south-central WI towards this evening. DISCUSSION...Water-vapor imagery shows the mid-level low over the north-central Great Plains gradually moving towards the upper MS Valley. Strong large-scale ascent has overspread the northern periphery of the warm sector over north-central IA. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will likely spread downstream towards the northeast within an adequately unstable (500-1500 J/kg MUCAPE) and strongly sheared environment to the north of the warm front. As this surface-based thunderstorm activity over northern IA moves across and north of the warm front, the storms will become elevated but a few of the stronger storms may pose a risk for large hail. At this time the threat appears localized but convective trends will be monitored. ..Smith/Hart.. 03/31/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MKX...ARX...MPX... LAT...LON 43529394 44039332 44269151 43908919 43398852 43188877 43538996 43529394 Read more

WW 0094 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 94 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..03/31/23 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...LSX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 94 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-005-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-039- 041-043-045-049-051-053-055-057-059-061-063-065-067-069-071-073- 075-077-079-081-083-085-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107- 109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141- 145-147-149-312140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS BAXTER BOONE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLAY CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS DALLAS DESHA DREW FAULKNER FULTON GARLAND GRANT GREENE HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LEE LINCOLN LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MARION MILLER MISSISSIPPI MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON OUACHITA PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE POINSETT POLK POPE Read more

WW 94 TORNADO AR IL KY MO MS TN TX 311730Z - 010100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 94 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Much of Arkansas Southern Illinois Western Kentucky Southern Missouri Northwest Mississippi West Tennessee Northeast Texas * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 1230 PM until 800 PM CDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and spread across the mid Mississippi Valley region this afternoon and early evening. Supercells capable of damaging tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are all possible. Parameters are sufficiently favorable for the risk of strong/violent tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east southeast of El Dorado AR to 5 miles northwest of Saint Louis MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 93... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Hart Read more

WW 0095 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 95 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..03/31/23 ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-015-017-027-031-061-081-111-119-312140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE DE SOTO LINCOLN RED RIVER UNION WEBSTER OKC089-312140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MCCURTAIN TXC001-005-063-073-119-145-159-161-183-203-213-223-225-231-257- 277-289-293-315-343-347-349-365-379-387-395-401-405-419-423-449- 455-459-467-499-312140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON ANGELINA CAMP Read more

WW 95 TORNADO LA OK TX 311835Z - 010200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 95 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 135 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northwest Louisiana Southeast Oklahoma Northeast Texas * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming along a line from southeast Oklahoma to just east of Dallas. These storms will track eastward through the afternoon and build southward, posing a risk of large hail and a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles west southwest of Lufkin TX to 40 miles north northeast of Texarkana AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 93...WW 94... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 26030. ...Hart Read more