Severe Storms

WW 0101 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 102 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-047-053-085-091-097-099-119-129- 131-101740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALLAS ESCAMBIA LOWNDES MARENGO MOBILE MONROE SUMTER WASHINGTON WILCOX FLC033-091-113-101740- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-101740- CW Read more

WW 101 TORNADO LA MS CW 101100Z - 101800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 101 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 600 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Louisiana Central and Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 600 AM until 100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A destabilizing airmass across the central Gulf Coast will support an increasing severe thunderstorm and tornado risk this morning into the midday. The tornado risk will likely maximize with any supercells that develop within the warm sector as the marine warm front advances northward. A squall line will move west to east across the area with a risk for damaging gusts and the tornado risk will likely focus with any sustained mesovortex or embedded supercell. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 95 miles northwest of Meridian MS to 45 miles west southwest of Boothville LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 99...WW 100... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25040. ...Smith Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS...SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along the Middle Gulf Coast today into additional parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley through evening. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, and widespread damaging winds. ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. ..Guyer/Squitieri.. 04/10/2024 Read more

WW 0102 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 102 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-047-053-085-091-097-099-119-129- 131-101640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALLAS ESCAMBIA LOWNDES MARENGO MOBILE MONROE SUMTER WASHINGTON WILCOX FLC033-091-113-101640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-101640- CW Read more

WW 0101 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 102 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-047-053-085-091-097-099-119-129- 131-101640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALLAS ESCAMBIA LOWNDES MARENGO MOBILE MONROE SUMTER WASHINGTON WILCOX FLC033-091-113-101640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-101640- CW Read more

MD 0413 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 101... FOR SOUTHEAST LA...SOUTHERN MS...SOUTHERN AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0413 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0901 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Areas affected...southeast LA...southern MS...southern AL and the FL Panhandle Concerning...Tornado Watch 101... Valid 101401Z - 101530Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 101 continues. SUMMARY...A swath of damaging winds (60-80 mph) along the apex of a fast moving bow echo will continue to moving into southern Mississippi the next couple of hours. Tornadoes also will be possible within the bowing line and in supercells ahead of the line. A downstream watch will likely be need into parts of southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle int he next hour or so. DISCUSSION...A damaging bow echo near the southern MS/LA border is shifting east/northeast around 65-70 mph. While heating has been limited this morning downstream of ongoing convection, mid to upper 60s F dewpoints are contributing to modest but sufficient instability. Given the strongly sheared environment, and evidence of a well-defined rear-inflow jet per KLCH VWP, the bow should maintain organization and continue to produce severe caliber winds in the 60-80 mph range. Favorable low-level shear orthogonal to the bowing segment also will support a mesovortex tornado risk. An additional cluster of convection, including some supercells, ahead of the line across far southern MS/southeast LA will also pose a risk for damaging gusts and tornadoes. This activity will continue to lift north/northeast and eventually merge with the surging bow. This may increase tornado potential as mergers occur. Downstream from Tornado Watch 101 into southern AL and the western FL Panhandle, boundary-layer moisture remains more modest. However, mid-to-upper 60s F dewpoints near the coast should continue to spread northward with time and additional destabilization is expected over the next few hours. The severe risk should gradually increase across this region, with a damaging wind and tornado risk expected from late morning into the afternoon. A downstream watch will likely be needed within the next hour or so. ..Leitman.. 04/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH... LAT...LON 31309153 32028920 32158724 31868614 31218598 30648600 30348612 30138676 29758876 29619021 29609094 29779166 29999214 31309153 Read more

WW 0102 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0102 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0101 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 101 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE LFT TO 35 NNW MSY TO 30 NW ASD TO 25 NNE MCB TO 35 NE HEZ. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...MOB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 101 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC005-007-047-051-057-063-071-075-087-089-093-095-103-109-117- 101540- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TERREBONNE WASHINGTON MSC007-019-023-025-029-031-035-039-041-045-047-049-059-061-065- 067-069-073-075-077-079-087-089-091-099-101-103-105-109-111-121- 123-127-129-131-147-153-159-101540- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATTALA CHOCTAW CLARKE CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST GEORGE GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON HINDS JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS Read more

WW 0101 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 101 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...MOB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 101 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC005-007-029-033-037-047-051-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-091- 093-095-103-105-109-117-121-125-101440- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TERREBONNE WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA MSC001-005-007-019-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-049- 059-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-099-101- 103-105-109-111-113-121-123-127-129-131-147-153-157-159- 101440- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS AMITE ATTALA CHOCTAW CLARKE CLAY Read more