Severe Storms

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORIGA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms will continue along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast this afternoon and evening, and perhaps overnight as well. The potential will exist for a few tornadoes and damaging winds. ...Northern/Northeast Gulf Coastal States... A long-lived MCS continues to move rapidly east across the western Florida Panhandle, likely producing strong or damaging gusts. The primary portion of land is moving quickly east but into a less-unstable air mass currently. With time, additional destabilization is anticipated across the remainder of the FL Panhandle, and perhaps into southern GA. Strong low-level shear will remain present, and will conditionally favor supercell tornado threat. However, current trends with the large ongoing MCS as well as trailing outflow well offshore suggest a somewhat decreased probability of lone supercells through tonight. Still, embedded areas of circulations may develop later within the ongoing line, especially if trailing outflow decelerates and/or deteriorates later tonight. ...Sabine Valley northeastward into TN/KY... Substantial air mass stabilization has occurred over the region, with only small areas of weak instability near the Sabine Valley. Surface observations show intense 30-40 kt easterly outflow across much of MS, with MCS material spreading north across AL and into TN. As such, low probabilities have been removed for many of these areas due to the negating effects of the large Gulf Coast MCS. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Middle Gulf Coast to Southeast/Tennessee Valley... At late morning, a prominent bowing segment with history of severe/damaging wind gusts continues near the southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama state line vicinity, with strong convection preceding it (up to 75 miles to its east). The northern half of this convection continues to outpace the influx of richer low-level moisture, with the preceding cloud canopy also somewhat limiting insolation/heating in areas to the north of the immediate coast. A predominant linear/potentially somewhat mixed convective mode is likely to persist regionally into this evening, with general east-northeastward sustenance of the intense bowing convective line and the possibility of a few semi-discrete supercells materializing ahead of it, particularly on its southern/southeast flank. Potentially widespread damaging winds remain a viable possibility, along with tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+) coincident with very strong low-level shear (500+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH per regional WSR-88D data such as MOB). The damaging wind/tornado risks are expected to persist into tonight particularly across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama/southwest Georgia, as the low-level jet nocturnally restrengthens and convection continues to focus/move inland along/south of the effective boundary as reinforced by this morning's/afternoon's MCS. Farther northwest, some strong/locally severe lower-topped storms could occur this afternoon into evening in a steeper mid-level lapse rate regime near the synoptic low and nearby frontal zone from the ArkLaTex toward the Tennessee Valley. Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z The D2 Elevated was expanded further south and west into central Kansas and far north-central Oklahoma. Latest guidance shows high confidence in sustained Elevated conditions in these regions. These areas have not received very little rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with 30 day precipitation totals well below normal. Fuel data indicates fuels in this region have experienced drying as a result and will likely support fire growth. ..Thornton.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a deepening cyclone will move into the Great Lakes with significant wetting rain across much of the eastern CONUS. Dry/northerly flow is expected in the Plains. Moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread this region which will support 20 to 25 mph surface winds and relative humidity around 20 percent. Fuels have started to dry across southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas where minimal precipitation has fallen over the past 2 weeks. Therefore elevated fire weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z The D2 Elevated was expanded further south and west into central Kansas and far north-central Oklahoma. Latest guidance shows high confidence in sustained Elevated conditions in these regions. These areas have not received very little rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with 30 day precipitation totals well below normal. Fuel data indicates fuels in this region have experienced drying as a result and will likely support fire growth. ..Thornton.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a deepening cyclone will move into the Great Lakes with significant wetting rain across much of the eastern CONUS. Dry/northerly flow is expected in the Plains. Moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread this region which will support 20 to 25 mph surface winds and relative humidity around 20 percent. Fuels have started to dry across southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas where minimal precipitation has fallen over the past 2 weeks. Therefore elevated fire weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z The D2 Elevated was expanded further south and west into central Kansas and far north-central Oklahoma. Latest guidance shows high confidence in sustained Elevated conditions in these regions. These areas have not received very little rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with 30 day precipitation totals well below normal. Fuel data indicates fuels in this region have experienced drying as a result and will likely support fire growth. ..Thornton.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a deepening cyclone will move into the Great Lakes with significant wetting rain across much of the eastern CONUS. Dry/northerly flow is expected in the Plains. Moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread this region which will support 20 to 25 mph surface winds and relative humidity around 20 percent. Fuels have started to dry across southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas where minimal precipitation has fallen over the past 2 weeks. Therefore elevated fire weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z The D2 Elevated was expanded further south and west into central Kansas and far north-central Oklahoma. Latest guidance shows high confidence in sustained Elevated conditions in these regions. These areas have not received very little rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with 30 day precipitation totals well below normal. Fuel data indicates fuels in this region have experienced drying as a result and will likely support fire growth. ..Thornton.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a deepening cyclone will move into the Great Lakes with significant wetting rain across much of the eastern CONUS. Dry/northerly flow is expected in the Plains. Moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread this region which will support 20 to 25 mph surface winds and relative humidity around 20 percent. Fuels have started to dry across southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas where minimal precipitation has fallen over the past 2 weeks. Therefore elevated fire weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z The D2 Elevated was expanded further south and west into central Kansas and far north-central Oklahoma. Latest guidance shows high confidence in sustained Elevated conditions in these regions. These areas have not received very little rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with 30 day precipitation totals well below normal. Fuel data indicates fuels in this region have experienced drying as a result and will likely support fire growth. ..Thornton.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a deepening cyclone will move into the Great Lakes with significant wetting rain across much of the eastern CONUS. Dry/northerly flow is expected in the Plains. Moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread this region which will support 20 to 25 mph surface winds and relative humidity around 20 percent. Fuels have started to dry across southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas where minimal precipitation has fallen over the past 2 weeks. Therefore elevated fire weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z The D2 Elevated was expanded further south and west into central Kansas and far north-central Oklahoma. Latest guidance shows high confidence in sustained Elevated conditions in these regions. These areas have not received very little rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with 30 day precipitation totals well below normal. Fuel data indicates fuels in this region have experienced drying as a result and will likely support fire growth. ..Thornton.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a deepening cyclone will move into the Great Lakes with significant wetting rain across much of the eastern CONUS. Dry/northerly flow is expected in the Plains. Moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread this region which will support 20 to 25 mph surface winds and relative humidity around 20 percent. Fuels have started to dry across southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas where minimal precipitation has fallen over the past 2 weeks. Therefore elevated fire weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more