Severe Storms

WW 0426 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 426 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW MHN TO 20 N MHN TO 25 N VTN TO 15 SSW 9V9 TO 10 NW MHE TO 30 NNE FSD. ..LEITMAN..06/17/24 ATTN...WFO...LBF...CYS...FSD...UNR...ABR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 426 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC015-017-031-051-089-091-103-117-149-171-170840- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOYD BROWN CHERRY DIXON HOLT HOOKER KEYA PAHA MCPHERSON ROCK THOMAS SDC003-009-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-083-087-099-121-123- 125-135-170840- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AURORA BON HOMME BRULE CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON HUTCHINSON LINCOLN MCCOOK MINNEHAHA TODD TRIPP TURNER YANKTON Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential tropical weather influences going forward. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay, then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning. At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift. While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time. To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60% probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks. ..Jewell.. 06/17/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...Synopsis... A trough will lift northward across the Northern Rockies into the northern Plains on Tuesday. Heights will rise across the southwestern US with weakening southwest gradients and lighter winds returning. Areas of dry southwesterly flow will linger across portions of central/eastern New Mexico. In this region, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds around 15 mph for a period of Elevated fire weather Tuesday afternoon. Localized breezes and Elevated fire weather concerns may extend further southwest into western New Mexico and southern Arizona. ..Thornton.. 06/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...Synopsis... A trough will lift northward across the Northern Rockies into the northern Plains on Tuesday. Heights will rise across the southwestern US with weakening southwest gradients and lighter winds returning. Areas of dry southwesterly flow will linger across portions of central/eastern New Mexico. In this region, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds around 15 mph for a period of Elevated fire weather Tuesday afternoon. Localized breezes and Elevated fire weather concerns may extend further southwest into western New Mexico and southern Arizona. ..Thornton.. 06/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...Synopsis... A trough will lift northward across the Northern Rockies into the northern Plains on Tuesday. Heights will rise across the southwestern US with weakening southwest gradients and lighter winds returning. Areas of dry southwesterly flow will linger across portions of central/eastern New Mexico. In this region, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds around 15 mph for a period of Elevated fire weather Tuesday afternoon. Localized breezes and Elevated fire weather concerns may extend further southwest into western New Mexico and southern Arizona. ..Thornton.. 06/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...Synopsis... A trough will lift northward across the Northern Rockies into the northern Plains on Tuesday. Heights will rise across the southwestern US with weakening southwest gradients and lighter winds returning. Areas of dry southwesterly flow will linger across portions of central/eastern New Mexico. In this region, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds around 15 mph for a period of Elevated fire weather Tuesday afternoon. Localized breezes and Elevated fire weather concerns may extend further southwest into western New Mexico and southern Arizona. ..Thornton.. 06/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...Synopsis... A trough will lift northward across the Northern Rockies into the northern Plains on Tuesday. Heights will rise across the southwestern US with weakening southwest gradients and lighter winds returning. Areas of dry southwesterly flow will linger across portions of central/eastern New Mexico. In this region, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds around 15 mph for a period of Elevated fire weather Tuesday afternoon. Localized breezes and Elevated fire weather concerns may extend further southwest into western New Mexico and southern Arizona. ..Thornton.. 06/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more