Severe Storms

WW 0436 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 436 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S ALM TO 45 SSW ROW. REMAING VALID PORTION OF WW 436 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 20/03Z. ..EDWARDS..06/20/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC019-035-047-200300- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GUADALUPE OTERO SAN MIGUEL TXC141-229-200300- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EL PASO HUDSPETH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0436 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 436 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S ALM TO 45 SSW ROW. REMAING VALID PORTION OF WW 436 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 20/03Z. ..EDWARDS..06/20/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC019-035-047-200300- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GUADALUPE OTERO SAN MIGUEL TXC141-229-200300- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EL PASO HUDSPETH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 436 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 192055Z - 200300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 436 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 255 PM MDT Wed Jun 19 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of North-Central and South-Central New Mexico Far West Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until 900 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop and intensify this afternoon into the evening over the Watch area. A few supercells and stronger multicells will potentially be capable of a risk for large hail (1 to 2 inches in diameter) and severe gusts (60 to 70 mph). The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north northeast of Santa Fe NM to 120 miles south southeast of Alamogordo NM. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 26015. ...Smith Read more

WW 0437 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 437 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..06/20/24 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 437 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-013-025-047-057-061-123-131-175-215-239-247-249-255-261- 273-283-297-311-321-355-391-409-427-469-479-489-505-200340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS ATASCOSA BEE BROOKS CALHOUN CAMERON DEWITT DUVAL GOLIAD HIDALGO JACKSON JIM HOGG JIM WELLS KARNES KENEDY KLEBERG LA SALLE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MATAGORDA NUECES REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO STARR VICTORIA WEBB WILLACY ZAPATA GMZ130-132-135-150-155-231-232-236-237-250-255-330-350-200340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO Read more

WW 0437 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 437 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..06/20/24 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 437 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-013-025-047-057-061-123-131-175-215-239-247-249-255-261- 273-283-297-311-321-355-391-409-427-469-479-489-505-200340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS ATASCOSA BEE BROOKS CALHOUN CAMERON DEWITT DUVAL GOLIAD HIDALGO JACKSON JIM HOGG JIM WELLS KARNES KENEDY KLEBERG LA SALLE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MATAGORDA NUECES REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO STARR VICTORIA WEBB WILLACY ZAPATA GMZ130-132-135-150-155-231-232-236-237-250-255-330-350-200340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO Read more

WW 0436 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 436 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E ONM TO 40 N LVS. ..THORNTON..06/20/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC019-027-035-047-200240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GUADALUPE LINCOLN OTERO SAN MIGUEL TXC141-229-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EL PASO HUDSPETH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0437 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 437 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..06/20/24 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 437 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-013-025-047-057-061-123-131-175-215-239-247-249-255-261- 273-283-297-311-321-355-391-409-427-469-479-489-505-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS ATASCOSA BEE BROOKS CALHOUN CAMERON DEWITT DUVAL GOLIAD HIDALGO JACKSON JIM HOGG JIM WELLS KARNES KENEDY KLEBERG LA SALLE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MATAGORDA NUECES REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO STARR VICTORIA WEBB WILLACY ZAPATA GMZ130-132-135-150-155-231-232-236-237-250-255-330-350-200240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO Read more

MD 1337 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 436... FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1337 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0744 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Areas affected...southern New Mexico into far western Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 436... Valid 200044Z - 200145Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 436 continues. SUMMARY...Large-hail and damaging-wind risk continues in WW436. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorm activity continues within the southern portion of WW434. Storms within the northern portion of the watch have generally produced hail around 1-1.5 inches, through isolated hail up to 2 in was recorded near Torrance County, NM. A few more isolated cells continue within the northern fringes of the watch, but the air mass further north has largely been overturned by convection. The best instability remains from the Sacramento Mountains southward to the Guadalupe Mountains and into far western Texas, where surface objective analysis indicates around 1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 40-50 kts of deep layer shear. Recent gusts of 60-70 mph have been reported. Within this environment, the greatest short-term wind/hail threat will likely continue. ..Thornton.. 06/20/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ... LAT...LON 31980658 32780666 32880665 33360637 33560579 33600522 33550492 33490477 33390464 33220454 31630492 31320522 31350593 31980658 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes are possible across south Texas tonight in association with Tropical Storm Alberto. Otherwise, scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible over the New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Tropical Storm Alberto is propagating slowly west toward the Mexican Coast, and the center of circulation is forecast to track inland later tonight about 22N, or around 250 miles south of Brownsville TX. Widespread convection is rotating inland across coastal South TX, and low-level shear is forecast to increase through the evening hours. 00z sounding from BRO exhibited surface-3km SRH around 230 m2/s2, and this should strengthen as 850mb flow intensifies along the north side of the cyclone. Tornado threat should gradually increase with inland-moving supercells. Farther northwest, scattered strong/severe slow-moving thunderstorms are propagating north across south-central NM. Another small cluster of storms is drifting northeast off the higher terrain to the east of ABQ. Gusty winds and some hail threat linger with this activity until the boundary layer cools later this evening. ..Darrow.. 06/20/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes are possible across south Texas tonight in association with Tropical Storm Alberto. Otherwise, scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible over the New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Tropical Storm Alberto is propagating slowly west toward the Mexican Coast, and the center of circulation is forecast to track inland later tonight about 22N, or around 250 miles south of Brownsville TX. Widespread convection is rotating inland across coastal South TX, and low-level shear is forecast to increase through the evening hours. 00z sounding from BRO exhibited surface-3km SRH around 230 m2/s2, and this should strengthen as 850mb flow intensifies along the north side of the cyclone. Tornado threat should gradually increase with inland-moving supercells. Farther northwest, scattered strong/severe slow-moving thunderstorms are propagating north across south-central NM. Another small cluster of storms is drifting northeast off the higher terrain to the east of ABQ. Gusty winds and some hail threat linger with this activity until the boundary layer cools later this evening. ..Darrow.. 06/20/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes are possible across south Texas tonight in association with Tropical Storm Alberto. Otherwise, scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible over the New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Tropical Storm Alberto is propagating slowly west toward the Mexican Coast, and the center of circulation is forecast to track inland later tonight about 22N, or around 250 miles south of Brownsville TX. Widespread convection is rotating inland across coastal South TX, and low-level shear is forecast to increase through the evening hours. 00z sounding from BRO exhibited surface-3km SRH around 230 m2/s2, and this should strengthen as 850mb flow intensifies along the north side of the cyclone. Tornado threat should gradually increase with inland-moving supercells. Farther northwest, scattered strong/severe slow-moving thunderstorms are propagating north across south-central NM. Another small cluster of storms is drifting northeast off the higher terrain to the east of ABQ. Gusty winds and some hail threat linger with this activity until the boundary layer cools later this evening. ..Darrow.. 06/20/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes are possible across south Texas tonight in association with Tropical Storm Alberto. Otherwise, scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible over the New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Tropical Storm Alberto is propagating slowly west toward the Mexican Coast, and the center of circulation is forecast to track inland later tonight about 22N, or around 250 miles south of Brownsville TX. Widespread convection is rotating inland across coastal South TX, and low-level shear is forecast to increase through the evening hours. 00z sounding from BRO exhibited surface-3km SRH around 230 m2/s2, and this should strengthen as 850mb flow intensifies along the north side of the cyclone. Tornado threat should gradually increase with inland-moving supercells. Farther northwest, scattered strong/severe slow-moving thunderstorms are propagating north across south-central NM. Another small cluster of storms is drifting northeast off the higher terrain to the east of ABQ. Gusty winds and some hail threat linger with this activity until the boundary layer cools later this evening. ..Darrow.. 06/20/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes are possible across south Texas tonight in association with Tropical Storm Alberto. Otherwise, scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible over the New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Tropical Storm Alberto is propagating slowly west toward the Mexican Coast, and the center of circulation is forecast to track inland later tonight about 22N, or around 250 miles south of Brownsville TX. Widespread convection is rotating inland across coastal South TX, and low-level shear is forecast to increase through the evening hours. 00z sounding from BRO exhibited surface-3km SRH around 230 m2/s2, and this should strengthen as 850mb flow intensifies along the north side of the cyclone. Tornado threat should gradually increase with inland-moving supercells. Farther northwest, scattered strong/severe slow-moving thunderstorms are propagating north across south-central NM. Another small cluster of storms is drifting northeast off the higher terrain to the east of ABQ. Gusty winds and some hail threat linger with this activity until the boundary layer cools later this evening. ..Darrow.. 06/20/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes are possible across south Texas tonight in association with Tropical Storm Alberto. Otherwise, scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible over the New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Tropical Storm Alberto is propagating slowly west toward the Mexican Coast, and the center of circulation is forecast to track inland later tonight about 22N, or around 250 miles south of Brownsville TX. Widespread convection is rotating inland across coastal South TX, and low-level shear is forecast to increase through the evening hours. 00z sounding from BRO exhibited surface-3km SRH around 230 m2/s2, and this should strengthen as 850mb flow intensifies along the north side of the cyclone. Tornado threat should gradually increase with inland-moving supercells. Farther northwest, scattered strong/severe slow-moving thunderstorms are propagating north across south-central NM. Another small cluster of storms is drifting northeast off the higher terrain to the east of ABQ. Gusty winds and some hail threat linger with this activity until the boundary layer cools later this evening. ..Darrow.. 06/20/2024 Read more

MD 1336 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR LOWER/MIDDLE TEXAS COAST AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1336 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0657 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Areas affected...Lower/middle Texas Coast and deep south Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 192357Z - 200100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Tornado risk to increase through the evening as outer bands of Tropical Storm Alberto move inland across the lower/middle Texas Coast. DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery has shown supercells developing in a band of convection just off the middle Texas Coast northeast Corpus Christi. At least transient rotation and supercell structures are expected to increase as low-level shear strengthens through the evening. Forecast soundings show greater low-level shear and curvature in hodographs after 00z across much of the area across south Texas and inland to the Rio Grande Valley. This will lead to an increase in embedded supercells within bands of deeper convection and potential risk for tornadoes. Isolated supercells also may develop over the Gulf and move ashore south of the primary band(s). A watch is likely to be needed in the next hour. ..Thornton/Edwards.. 06/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO... LAT...LON 28629549 28739561 28969621 29039673 28949768 28759863 28419914 27769953 27389952 26749921 26459893 26229864 26099836 26019762 25879747 25929714 27049705 27499693 27969664 28259624 28449560 28629549 Read more

WW 0436 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 436 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW 4CR TO 40 N LVS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1337 ..THORNTON..06/20/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC019-027-035-047-200140- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GUADALUPE LINCOLN OTERO SAN MIGUEL TXC141-229-200140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EL PASO HUDSPETH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0437 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0437 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Jun 19 23:30:10 UTC 2024.

WW 0436 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 436 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..06/19/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC019-027-028-035-043-047-049-057-200040- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GUADALUPE LINCOLN LOS ALAMOS OTERO SANDOVAL SAN MIGUEL SANTA FE TORRANCE TXC141-229-200040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EL PASO HUDSPETH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 436 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 192055Z - 200300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 436 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 255 PM MDT Wed Jun 19 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of North-Central and South-Central New Mexico Far West Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until 900 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop and intensify this afternoon into the evening over the Watch area. A few supercells and stronger multicells will potentially be capable of a risk for large hail (1 to 2 inches in diameter) and severe gusts (60 to 70 mph). The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north northeast of Santa Fe NM to 120 miles south southeast of Alamogordo NM. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 26015. ...Smith Read more