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6 months ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1254 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
No thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday.
...Synopsis...
An elongated trough across the Midwest/Ozarks/central Plains will
shift south and east on Wednesday. A cold front will accelerate
southeastward in response. Limited moisture along the front will
lead to low thunderstorm potential. Farther south, into the Sabine
Valley vicinity, moisture return will be greater, but warm mid-level
temperatures should prevent thunderstorm development.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A surface low will be present off the eastern Florida coast. The
parent upper-level trough will be situated along the Florida
Peninsula. This overall synoptic setup would suggest most of the
thunderstorm activity should remain offshore. There is perhaps low
potential for thunderstorms over land very early Tuesday morning,
but coverage/confidence are too low for general thunderstorm
highlights. Elsewhere, upper-level shortwave troughs will progress
through the Ohio Valley and central Plains. Low/mid-level moisture
appear too limited in both cases for any appreciable thunderstorm
risk.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A surface low will be present off the eastern Florida coast. The
parent upper-level trough will be situated along the Florida
Peninsula. This overall synoptic setup would suggest most of the
thunderstorm activity should remain offshore. There is perhaps low
potential for thunderstorms over land very early Tuesday morning,
but coverage/confidence are too low for general thunderstorm
highlights. Elsewhere, upper-level shortwave troughs will progress
through the Ohio Valley and central Plains. Low/mid-level moisture
appear too limited in both cases for any appreciable thunderstorm
risk.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A surface low will be present off the eastern Florida coast. The
parent upper-level trough will be situated along the Florida
Peninsula. This overall synoptic setup would suggest most of the
thunderstorm activity should remain offshore. There is perhaps low
potential for thunderstorms over land very early Tuesday morning,
but coverage/confidence are too low for general thunderstorm
highlights. Elsewhere, upper-level shortwave troughs will progress
through the Ohio Valley and central Plains. Low/mid-level moisture
appear too limited in both cases for any appreciable thunderstorm
risk.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A surface low will be present off the eastern Florida coast. The
parent upper-level trough will be situated along the Florida
Peninsula. This overall synoptic setup would suggest most of the
thunderstorm activity should remain offshore. There is perhaps low
potential for thunderstorms over land very early Tuesday morning,
but coverage/confidence are too low for general thunderstorm
highlights. Elsewhere, upper-level shortwave troughs will progress
through the Ohio Valley and central Plains. Low/mid-level moisture
appear too limited in both cases for any appreciable thunderstorm
risk.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A surface low will be present off the eastern Florida coast. The
parent upper-level trough will be situated along the Florida
Peninsula. This overall synoptic setup would suggest most of the
thunderstorm activity should remain offshore. There is perhaps low
potential for thunderstorms over land very early Tuesday morning,
but coverage/confidence are too low for general thunderstorm
highlights. Elsewhere, upper-level shortwave troughs will progress
through the Ohio Valley and central Plains. Low/mid-level moisture
appear too limited in both cases for any appreciable thunderstorm
risk.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A surface low will be present off the eastern Florida coast. The
parent upper-level trough will be situated along the Florida
Peninsula. This overall synoptic setup would suggest most of the
thunderstorm activity should remain offshore. There is perhaps low
potential for thunderstorms over land very early Tuesday morning,
but coverage/confidence are too low for general thunderstorm
highlights. Elsewhere, upper-level shortwave troughs will progress
through the Ohio Valley and central Plains. Low/mid-level moisture
appear too limited in both cases for any appreciable thunderstorm
risk.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A surface low will be present off the eastern Florida coast. The
parent upper-level trough will be situated along the Florida
Peninsula. This overall synoptic setup would suggest most of the
thunderstorm activity should remain offshore. There is perhaps low
potential for thunderstorms over land very early Tuesday morning,
but coverage/confidence are too low for general thunderstorm
highlights. Elsewhere, upper-level shortwave troughs will progress
through the Ohio Valley and central Plains. Low/mid-level moisture
appear too limited in both cases for any appreciable thunderstorm
risk.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A surface low will be present off the eastern Florida coast. The
parent upper-level trough will be situated along the Florida
Peninsula. This overall synoptic setup would suggest most of the
thunderstorm activity should remain offshore. There is perhaps low
potential for thunderstorms over land very early Tuesday morning,
but coverage/confidence are too low for general thunderstorm
highlights. Elsewhere, upper-level shortwave troughs will progress
through the Ohio Valley and central Plains. Low/mid-level moisture
appear too limited in both cases for any appreciable thunderstorm
risk.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241630Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR
SOUTHERN FL INCLUDING THE KEYS...AND OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OR AND
WA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong storms will be possible across the Florida Keys and
into far southern Florida from late afternoon through evening.
Localized damaging gusts or a brief tornado may occur. Isolated
strong winds are also expected from the Oregon Cascades into
southeast Washington.
...South FL...
Morning satellite imagery shows a series of shortwave troughs over
the Gulf, with an increasing cluster of thunderstorms about 150nm
off the west coast of the FL Peninsula. This activity will track
east-southeastward through the day and affect south FL by late
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft in this area will be sufficient
for a few organized/rotating storms, posing some risk of damaging
wind gusts or perhaps a tornado. However, considerable cloud cover
and dewpoints only in the mid 60s, combined with weak mid-level
lapse rates, suggest that updrafts will struggle to attain much
intensity.
...WA/OR...
The next in a series of strong upper troughs is approaching the
coast of WA/OR this morning. The associated cold front will move
inland soon, crossing the Cascades and into the Columbia Valley by
late afternoon and evening. Model guidance suggests a
semi-organized band of showers and thunderstorms may accompany the
front. Surface temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s will
result in steep low-level lapse rates beneath cold temperatures
aloft. Forecast soundings indicate strong southwesterly low/mid
level winds, combined with sufficient CAPE for a few robust
thunderstorms capable of gusty/damaging wind gusts through
mid-evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241630Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR
SOUTHERN FL INCLUDING THE KEYS...AND OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OR AND
WA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong storms will be possible across the Florida Keys and
into far southern Florida from late afternoon through evening.
Localized damaging gusts or a brief tornado may occur. Isolated
strong winds are also expected from the Oregon Cascades into
southeast Washington.
...South FL...
Morning satellite imagery shows a series of shortwave troughs over
the Gulf, with an increasing cluster of thunderstorms about 150nm
off the west coast of the FL Peninsula. This activity will track
east-southeastward through the day and affect south FL by late
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft in this area will be sufficient
for a few organized/rotating storms, posing some risk of damaging
wind gusts or perhaps a tornado. However, considerable cloud cover
and dewpoints only in the mid 60s, combined with weak mid-level
lapse rates, suggest that updrafts will struggle to attain much
intensity.
...WA/OR...
The next in a series of strong upper troughs is approaching the
coast of WA/OR this morning. The associated cold front will move
inland soon, crossing the Cascades and into the Columbia Valley by
late afternoon and evening. Model guidance suggests a
semi-organized band of showers and thunderstorms may accompany the
front. Surface temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s will
result in steep low-level lapse rates beneath cold temperatures
aloft. Forecast soundings indicate strong southwesterly low/mid
level winds, combined with sufficient CAPE for a few robust
thunderstorms capable of gusty/damaging wind gusts through
mid-evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241630Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR
SOUTHERN FL INCLUDING THE KEYS...AND OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OR AND
WA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong storms will be possible across the Florida Keys and
into far southern Florida from late afternoon through evening.
Localized damaging gusts or a brief tornado may occur. Isolated
strong winds are also expected from the Oregon Cascades into
southeast Washington.
...South FL...
Morning satellite imagery shows a series of shortwave troughs over
the Gulf, with an increasing cluster of thunderstorms about 150nm
off the west coast of the FL Peninsula. This activity will track
east-southeastward through the day and affect south FL by late
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft in this area will be sufficient
for a few organized/rotating storms, posing some risk of damaging
wind gusts or perhaps a tornado. However, considerable cloud cover
and dewpoints only in the mid 60s, combined with weak mid-level
lapse rates, suggest that updrafts will struggle to attain much
intensity.
...WA/OR...
The next in a series of strong upper troughs is approaching the
coast of WA/OR this morning. The associated cold front will move
inland soon, crossing the Cascades and into the Columbia Valley by
late afternoon and evening. Model guidance suggests a
semi-organized band of showers and thunderstorms may accompany the
front. Surface temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s will
result in steep low-level lapse rates beneath cold temperatures
aloft. Forecast soundings indicate strong southwesterly low/mid
level winds, combined with sufficient CAPE for a few robust
thunderstorms capable of gusty/damaging wind gusts through
mid-evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241630Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR
SOUTHERN FL INCLUDING THE KEYS...AND OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OR AND
WA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong storms will be possible across the Florida Keys and
into far southern Florida from late afternoon through evening.
Localized damaging gusts or a brief tornado may occur. Isolated
strong winds are also expected from the Oregon Cascades into
southeast Washington.
...South FL...
Morning satellite imagery shows a series of shortwave troughs over
the Gulf, with an increasing cluster of thunderstorms about 150nm
off the west coast of the FL Peninsula. This activity will track
east-southeastward through the day and affect south FL by late
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft in this area will be sufficient
for a few organized/rotating storms, posing some risk of damaging
wind gusts or perhaps a tornado. However, considerable cloud cover
and dewpoints only in the mid 60s, combined with weak mid-level
lapse rates, suggest that updrafts will struggle to attain much
intensity.
...WA/OR...
The next in a series of strong upper troughs is approaching the
coast of WA/OR this morning. The associated cold front will move
inland soon, crossing the Cascades and into the Columbia Valley by
late afternoon and evening. Model guidance suggests a
semi-organized band of showers and thunderstorms may accompany the
front. Surface temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s will
result in steep low-level lapse rates beneath cold temperatures
aloft. Forecast soundings indicate strong southwesterly low/mid
level winds, combined with sufficient CAPE for a few robust
thunderstorms capable of gusty/damaging wind gusts through
mid-evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241630Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR
SOUTHERN FL INCLUDING THE KEYS...AND OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OR AND
WA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong storms will be possible across the Florida Keys and
into far southern Florida from late afternoon through evening.
Localized damaging gusts or a brief tornado may occur. Isolated
strong winds are also expected from the Oregon Cascades into
southeast Washington.
...South FL...
Morning satellite imagery shows a series of shortwave troughs over
the Gulf, with an increasing cluster of thunderstorms about 150nm
off the west coast of the FL Peninsula. This activity will track
east-southeastward through the day and affect south FL by late
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft in this area will be sufficient
for a few organized/rotating storms, posing some risk of damaging
wind gusts or perhaps a tornado. However, considerable cloud cover
and dewpoints only in the mid 60s, combined with weak mid-level
lapse rates, suggest that updrafts will struggle to attain much
intensity.
...WA/OR...
The next in a series of strong upper troughs is approaching the
coast of WA/OR this morning. The associated cold front will move
inland soon, crossing the Cascades and into the Columbia Valley by
late afternoon and evening. Model guidance suggests a
semi-organized band of showers and thunderstorms may accompany the
front. Surface temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s will
result in steep low-level lapse rates beneath cold temperatures
aloft. Forecast soundings indicate strong southwesterly low/mid
level winds, combined with sufficient CAPE for a few robust
thunderstorms capable of gusty/damaging wind gusts through
mid-evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241630Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR
SOUTHERN FL INCLUDING THE KEYS...AND OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OR AND
WA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong storms will be possible across the Florida Keys and
into far southern Florida from late afternoon through evening.
Localized damaging gusts or a brief tornado may occur. Isolated
strong winds are also expected from the Oregon Cascades into
southeast Washington.
...South FL...
Morning satellite imagery shows a series of shortwave troughs over
the Gulf, with an increasing cluster of thunderstorms about 150nm
off the west coast of the FL Peninsula. This activity will track
east-southeastward through the day and affect south FL by late
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft in this area will be sufficient
for a few organized/rotating storms, posing some risk of damaging
wind gusts or perhaps a tornado. However, considerable cloud cover
and dewpoints only in the mid 60s, combined with weak mid-level
lapse rates, suggest that updrafts will struggle to attain much
intensity.
...WA/OR...
The next in a series of strong upper troughs is approaching the
coast of WA/OR this morning. The associated cold front will move
inland soon, crossing the Cascades and into the Columbia Valley by
late afternoon and evening. Model guidance suggests a
semi-organized band of showers and thunderstorms may accompany the
front. Surface temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s will
result in steep low-level lapse rates beneath cold temperatures
aloft. Forecast soundings indicate strong southwesterly low/mid
level winds, combined with sufficient CAPE for a few robust
thunderstorms capable of gusty/damaging wind gusts through
mid-evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241630Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR
SOUTHERN FL INCLUDING THE KEYS...AND OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OR AND
WA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong storms will be possible across the Florida Keys and
into far southern Florida from late afternoon through evening.
Localized damaging gusts or a brief tornado may occur. Isolated
strong winds are also expected from the Oregon Cascades into
southeast Washington.
...South FL...
Morning satellite imagery shows a series of shortwave troughs over
the Gulf, with an increasing cluster of thunderstorms about 150nm
off the west coast of the FL Peninsula. This activity will track
east-southeastward through the day and affect south FL by late
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft in this area will be sufficient
for a few organized/rotating storms, posing some risk of damaging
wind gusts or perhaps a tornado. However, considerable cloud cover
and dewpoints only in the mid 60s, combined with weak mid-level
lapse rates, suggest that updrafts will struggle to attain much
intensity.
...WA/OR...
The next in a series of strong upper troughs is approaching the
coast of WA/OR this morning. The associated cold front will move
inland soon, crossing the Cascades and into the Columbia Valley by
late afternoon and evening. Model guidance suggests a
semi-organized band of showers and thunderstorms may accompany the
front. Surface temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s will
result in steep low-level lapse rates beneath cold temperatures
aloft. Forecast soundings indicate strong southwesterly low/mid
level winds, combined with sufficient CAPE for a few robust
thunderstorms capable of gusty/damaging wind gusts through
mid-evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 02/24/2025
Read more
6 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0919 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241700Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no forecast changes
needed. Windy conditions are being observed across central to
southeast WY and the far western NE Panhandle, but morning fuel
guidance continues to suggest fuels are not supportive of rapid fire
spread. Additionally, morning guidance continues to suggest elevated
fire weather conditions will remain localized across central/eastern
NM as outlined in the previous discussion below.
..Moore.. 02/24/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave will bring enhanced westerly flow across the
northern/central Rockies today, with a surface cold front sagging
southward across portions of the high/central Plains. Behind the
surface front, strong northwesterly flow is forecast to overlap
drying conditions across portions of Nebraska and South Dakota.
Relative humidity reductions to around 20-25 percent are forecast.
Recent fuels guidance suggests that fuels within this region are not
currently receptive to wildfire ignition and spread with recent
rainfall.
Some overlap of downslope warming and drying is possible across
portions of New Mexico near the eastern slopes of Sandia Manzano and
Sacramento mountains. Locally Elevated conditions will be possible
but should remain too localized to include in highlights.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
6 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0919 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241700Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no forecast changes
needed. Windy conditions are being observed across central to
southeast WY and the far western NE Panhandle, but morning fuel
guidance continues to suggest fuels are not supportive of rapid fire
spread. Additionally, morning guidance continues to suggest elevated
fire weather conditions will remain localized across central/eastern
NM as outlined in the previous discussion below.
..Moore.. 02/24/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave will bring enhanced westerly flow across the
northern/central Rockies today, with a surface cold front sagging
southward across portions of the high/central Plains. Behind the
surface front, strong northwesterly flow is forecast to overlap
drying conditions across portions of Nebraska and South Dakota.
Relative humidity reductions to around 20-25 percent are forecast.
Recent fuels guidance suggests that fuels within this region are not
currently receptive to wildfire ignition and spread with recent
rainfall.
Some overlap of downslope warming and drying is possible across
portions of New Mexico near the eastern slopes of Sandia Manzano and
Sacramento mountains. Locally Elevated conditions will be possible
but should remain too localized to include in highlights.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
6 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0919 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241700Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no forecast changes
needed. Windy conditions are being observed across central to
southeast WY and the far western NE Panhandle, but morning fuel
guidance continues to suggest fuels are not supportive of rapid fire
spread. Additionally, morning guidance continues to suggest elevated
fire weather conditions will remain localized across central/eastern
NM as outlined in the previous discussion below.
..Moore.. 02/24/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave will bring enhanced westerly flow across the
northern/central Rockies today, with a surface cold front sagging
southward across portions of the high/central Plains. Behind the
surface front, strong northwesterly flow is forecast to overlap
drying conditions across portions of Nebraska and South Dakota.
Relative humidity reductions to around 20-25 percent are forecast.
Recent fuels guidance suggests that fuels within this region are not
currently receptive to wildfire ignition and spread with recent
rainfall.
Some overlap of downslope warming and drying is possible across
portions of New Mexico near the eastern slopes of Sandia Manzano and
Sacramento mountains. Locally Elevated conditions will be possible
but should remain too localized to include in highlights.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
6 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0919 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025
Valid 241700Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no forecast changes
needed. Windy conditions are being observed across central to
southeast WY and the far western NE Panhandle, but morning fuel
guidance continues to suggest fuels are not supportive of rapid fire
spread. Additionally, morning guidance continues to suggest elevated
fire weather conditions will remain localized across central/eastern
NM as outlined in the previous discussion below.
..Moore.. 02/24/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave will bring enhanced westerly flow across the
northern/central Rockies today, with a surface cold front sagging
southward across portions of the high/central Plains. Behind the
surface front, strong northwesterly flow is forecast to overlap
drying conditions across portions of Nebraska and South Dakota.
Relative humidity reductions to around 20-25 percent are forecast.
Recent fuels guidance suggests that fuels within this region are not
currently receptive to wildfire ignition and spread with recent
rainfall.
Some overlap of downslope warming and drying is possible across
portions of New Mexico near the eastern slopes of Sandia Manzano and
Sacramento mountains. Locally Elevated conditions will be possible
but should remain too localized to include in highlights.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
Checked
5 years 10 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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