Severe Storms

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms will continue tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong to intense, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size all appear likely. ...01z Update... Intense mid-level jet is translating across northeast OK/southwest MO early this evening. This feature will advance toward southern Lake MI later tonight as the upper low lifts into northern IA. Impressive 12hr height falls, and shear are noted ahead of this cyclone. With 0-3 ESRH in excess of 400 m2/s2, thermodynamics may be the primary modulator in convective mode this evening/over night. Over the last few hours, richer boundary-layer moisture is beginning to surge into the southeastern influence of this ejecting trough. Lower 60s surface dew points have advanced to near the MO/AR border, and this is boosting instability within the aforementioned environment that strongly favors supercells. Several supercells are in the process of maturing along a corridor from central MO into northwest AR. Latest thinking is this activity will continue to evolve and grow upscale. Multiple long-lived supercells are expected within an environment very favorable for strong-intense tornadoes, especially from eastern MO, south into MS. Farther north, damaging winds remain likely with strongly-forced convection as it surges northeast across the mid-MS Valley into southeast MN/southern WI. Overall, convective complex will steadily shift downstream overnight as LLJ strengthens across eastern IL/IN into southwest lower MI. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2025 Read more

WW 0037 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 3 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CSV TO 10 WNW LOZ TO 50 ESE JKL TO 45 WNW BLF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0069 ..DEAN..02/06/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC013-051-071-095-119-121-125-133-147-193-195-199-231-235- 061640- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BELL CLAY FLOYD HARLAN KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LETCHER MCCREARY PERRY PIKE PULASKI WAYNE WHITLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0174 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 32... FOR NORTHERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...AND INTO WESTERN ILLINOIS
Mesoscale Discussion 0174 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0600 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Areas affected...northern Arkansas...Missouri...and into western Illinois Concerning...Tornado Watch 32... Valid 142300Z - 150100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32 continues. SUMMARY...Severe risk -- largely in the form of very strong/damaging winds -- will continue over the next several hours, while risk for a few/potentially strong tornadoes will also persist, especially over southern portions of the WW. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a broken/complex band of storms moving across Missouri and adjacent northwestern Arkansas. The most intense convection is occurring from central Missouri southward, just ahead of the advancing cold front. While a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer is evident over northern Missouri, dewpoints increase gradually with southward extent across the watch. This suggests primary risk across northern portions of the watch remains very strong/damaging gusts, while tornado potential increases with southward extent, across the Ozarks. Additionally, strong southerly low-level flow will continue to advect moisture northward, so tornado potential should gradually increase northeastward, with time. ..Goss.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA... LAT...LON 36129416 37019375 38309307 39169282 40129148 40019063 36909128 35449174 35229305 35449389 36129416 Read more

WW 0033 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 33 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..03/15/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-017-150140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY CHICOT LAC003-009-021-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-043-049-059-063-065- 067-073-077-079-083-091-097-105-107-117-121-123-125-127- 150140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LIVINGSTON MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES RICHLAND ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA WINN Read more

WW 0033 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 33 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..03/15/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-017-150140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY CHICOT LAC003-009-021-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-043-049-059-063-065- 067-073-077-079-083-091-097-105-107-117-121-123-125-127- 150140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LIVINGSTON MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES RICHLAND ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA WINN Read more

WW 0033 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 33 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..03/15/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-017-150140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY CHICOT LAC003-009-021-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-043-049-059-063-065- 067-073-077-079-083-091-097-105-107-117-121-123-125-127- 150140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LIVINGSTON MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES RICHLAND ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA WINN Read more

WW 0033 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 33 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..03/15/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-017-150140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY CHICOT LAC003-009-021-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-043-049-059-063-065- 067-073-077-079-083-091-097-105-107-117-121-123-125-127- 150140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LIVINGSTON MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES RICHLAND ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA WINN Read more

WW 0033 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 33 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..03/15/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-017-150140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY CHICOT LAC003-009-021-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-043-049-059-063-065- 067-073-077-079-083-091-097-105-107-117-121-123-125-127- 150140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LIVINGSTON MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES RICHLAND ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA WINN Read more