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SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday across portions of the central Plains. ...Central Plains... A positively-tilted trough will move eastward through the northern Great Basin and eventually reach the central High Plains by Wednesday morning. A weak surface trough and cold front are forecast to be positioned within the northern Plains stretching southwestward into the central High Plains. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front will be in the upper 50s to low/mid 60s F. Surface heating should allow moderate buoyancy to develop from Kansas into Minnesota/Wisconsin during the afternoon. With the trough generally expected to arrive later in the period. Forcing for ascent will not be well-timed with diurnal heating. That being said, forecast soundings do indicate minimal inhibition during the afternoon. Should storms develop, there would be some potential for damaging winds to occur. The ECMWF as well as available CAMs are more supportive of this scenario than the NAM/GFS. Shear will not be overly strong and it will be parallel to the cold front. However it should be sufficient for a few marginally severe storms. The probabilities were shifted slightly northwestward to account for recent trends in guidance. ...North Carolina/Virginia Tidewaters... A coastal low will continue to drift northward on Tuesday. Low-level shear will be enhanced near and just to the north of the circulation center. Whether sufficient buoyancy can develop inland remains a question given precipitation and cloud cover. The likelihood of a stronger storm moving onshore remains too low for probabilities. ..Wendt.. 09/14/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ..19z Update... The upper trough exiting the northern Rockies will be followed by surface high pressure, promoting east/northeasterly flow over the northern Columbia Basin beginning late D2/Monday. This will support a brief period of gusty easterly winds through the Cascade gaps and ridge tops into early D3/Tuesday. Isolated gusts of 20-30 mph are possible, along with localized low humidity. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible within pockets of dry fuels, recent rainfall, and the sporadic nature of the dry/breezy conditions should keep the fire-weather risk relatively low. ..Lyons.. 09/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander over the northern Rockies, promoting mainly cool and mild conditions across the northwest quadrant of the U.S. tomorrow (Monday). Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the northern Rockies into the northern High Plains, but the associated rainfall may serve to further dampen fuels. As such, no major wildfire-spread conditions are expected across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ..19z Update... The upper trough exiting the northern Rockies will be followed by surface high pressure, promoting east/northeasterly flow over the northern Columbia Basin beginning late D2/Monday. This will support a brief period of gusty easterly winds through the Cascade gaps and ridge tops into early D3/Tuesday. Isolated gusts of 20-30 mph are possible, along with localized low humidity. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible within pockets of dry fuels, recent rainfall, and the sporadic nature of the dry/breezy conditions should keep the fire-weather risk relatively low. ..Lyons.. 09/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander over the northern Rockies, promoting mainly cool and mild conditions across the northwest quadrant of the U.S. tomorrow (Monday). Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the northern Rockies into the northern High Plains, but the associated rainfall may serve to further dampen fuels. As such, no major wildfire-spread conditions are expected across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ..19z Update... The upper trough exiting the northern Rockies will be followed by surface high pressure, promoting east/northeasterly flow over the northern Columbia Basin beginning late D2/Monday. This will support a brief period of gusty easterly winds through the Cascade gaps and ridge tops into early D3/Tuesday. Isolated gusts of 20-30 mph are possible, along with localized low humidity. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible within pockets of dry fuels, recent rainfall, and the sporadic nature of the dry/breezy conditions should keep the fire-weather risk relatively low. ..Lyons.. 09/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander over the northern Rockies, promoting mainly cool and mild conditions across the northwest quadrant of the U.S. tomorrow (Monday). Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the northern Rockies into the northern High Plains, but the associated rainfall may serve to further dampen fuels. As such, no major wildfire-spread conditions are expected across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ..19z Update... The upper trough exiting the northern Rockies will be followed by surface high pressure, promoting east/northeasterly flow over the northern Columbia Basin beginning late D2/Monday. This will support a brief period of gusty easterly winds through the Cascade gaps and ridge tops into early D3/Tuesday. Isolated gusts of 20-30 mph are possible, along with localized low humidity. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible within pockets of dry fuels, recent rainfall, and the sporadic nature of the dry/breezy conditions should keep the fire-weather risk relatively low. ..Lyons.. 09/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander over the northern Rockies, promoting mainly cool and mild conditions across the northwest quadrant of the U.S. tomorrow (Monday). Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the northern Rockies into the northern High Plains, but the associated rainfall may serve to further dampen fuels. As such, no major wildfire-spread conditions are expected across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ..19z Update... The upper trough exiting the northern Rockies will be followed by surface high pressure, promoting east/northeasterly flow over the northern Columbia Basin beginning late D2/Monday. This will support a brief period of gusty easterly winds through the Cascade gaps and ridge tops into early D3/Tuesday. Isolated gusts of 20-30 mph are possible, along with localized low humidity. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible within pockets of dry fuels, recent rainfall, and the sporadic nature of the dry/breezy conditions should keep the fire-weather risk relatively low. ..Lyons.. 09/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander over the northern Rockies, promoting mainly cool and mild conditions across the northwest quadrant of the U.S. tomorrow (Monday). Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the northern Rockies into the northern High Plains, but the associated rainfall may serve to further dampen fuels. As such, no major wildfire-spread conditions are expected across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ..19z Update... The upper trough exiting the northern Rockies will be followed by surface high pressure, promoting east/northeasterly flow over the northern Columbia Basin beginning late D2/Monday. This will support a brief period of gusty easterly winds through the Cascade gaps and ridge tops into early D3/Tuesday. Isolated gusts of 20-30 mph are possible, along with localized low humidity. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible within pockets of dry fuels, recent rainfall, and the sporadic nature of the dry/breezy conditions should keep the fire-weather risk relatively low. ..Lyons.. 09/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander over the northern Rockies, promoting mainly cool and mild conditions across the northwest quadrant of the U.S. tomorrow (Monday). Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the northern Rockies into the northern High Plains, but the associated rainfall may serve to further dampen fuels. As such, no major wildfire-spread conditions are expected across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more