SPC Tornado Watch 711 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE BPT TO 15 N POE TO 25 NNW HEZ. ..SQUITIERI..11/20/23 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-035-039-053-059-065-079-097-107- 210040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE MADISON RAPIDES ST. LANDRY TENSAS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 711 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE BPT TO 15 N POE TO 25 NNW HEZ. ..SQUITIERI..11/20/23 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-035-039-053-059-065-079-097-107- 210040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE MADISON RAPIDES ST. LANDRY TENSAS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 711

1 year 8 months ago
WW 711 TORNADO AR LA TX 201845Z - 210100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 711 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Arkansas Louisiana East Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM until 700 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify this afternoon and evening, while posing a threat for large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. There is also a threat for strong tornadoes through this evening with any supercells that can be sustained. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west of Lufkin TX to 40 miles southeast of Monroe LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Gleason Read more

SPC MD 2277

1 year 8 months ago
MD 2277 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 711... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 2277 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0523 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Louisiana Concerning...Tornado Watch 711... Valid 202323Z - 210100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 711 continues. SUMMARY...Ongoing severe storms will continue to pose a risk for a few tornadoes across WW711 this evening. DISCUSSION...Across parts of central LA, a band of convection has shown slow maturation with a couple of supercells becoming established from the broader convection over the last couple of hour. Ongoing within a moist, and unstable environment, conditions look favorable for these storms to maintain intensity this evening. Strong mid and upper-level shear will continue to favor organized storms including supercells and short line segments. While surface winds have veered slightly this afternoon, low-level hodographs remain long and supportive of strong low-level mesocyclones. Low-level shear should increase to the east beneath a southwesterly low-level jet. As storms mature they should remain capable of a few tornadoes and damaging gusts across central and eastern LA this evening. ..Lyons.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV... LAT...LON 30269317 30289358 30389379 30809361 31389301 31829247 32069165 31999149 31689140 30769158 30599187 30309274 30269317 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 712 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0712 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 712 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE MLU TO 50 S GLH TO 5 WSW GWO. ..SQUITIERI..11/20/23 ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 712 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC033-037-063-077-091-103-105-117-121-125-210040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA LIVINGSTON POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA MSC001-005-007-019-021-029-031-035-037-049-051-061-063-065-067- 073-077-079-085-089-091-099-101-109-113-121-123-127-129-147-149- 157-159-163-210040- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS AMITE ATTALA CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN HINDS HOLMES JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN MADISON MARION Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 712

1 year 8 months ago
WW 712 TORNADO LA MS 202150Z - 210500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 712 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 350 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeastern Louisiana Southern and Central Mississippi * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until 1100 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will move eastward this afternoon and evening while posing a threat for tornadoes, damaging winds, and isolated hail. The threat for strong tornadoes will likely persist with any sustained supercell. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Natchez MS to 45 miles north northeast of Pine Belt MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 711... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 26040. ...Gleason Read more

SPC MD 2277

1 year 8 months ago
MD 2277 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 711... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 2277 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0523 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Louisiana Concerning...Tornado Watch 711... Valid 202323Z - 210100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 711 continues. SUMMARY...Ongoing severe storms will continue to pose a risk for a few tornadoes across WW711 this evening. DISCUSSION...Across parts of central LA, a band of convection has shown slow maturation with a couple of supercells becoming established from the broader convection over the last couple of hour. Ongoing within a moist, and unstable environment, conditions look favorable for these storms to maintain intensity this evening. Strong mid and upper-level shear will continue to favor organized storms including supercells and short line segments. While surface winds have veered slightly this afternoon, low-level hodographs remain long and supportive of strong low-level mesocyclones. Low-level shear should increase to the east beneath a southwesterly low-level jet. As storms mature they should remain capable of a few tornadoes and damaging gusts across central and eastern LA this evening. ..Lyons.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV... LAT...LON 30269317 30289358 30389379 30809361 31389301 31829247 32069165 31999149 31689140 30769158 30599187 30309274 30269317 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 711 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE BPT TO 15 N POE TO 25 NNW HEZ. ..SQUITIERI..11/20/23 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-035-039-053-059-065-079-097-107- 210040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE MADISON RAPIDES ST. LANDRY TENSAS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 711

1 year 8 months ago
WW 711 TORNADO AR LA TX 201845Z - 210100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 711 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Arkansas Louisiana East Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM until 700 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify this afternoon and evening, while posing a threat for large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. There is also a threat for strong tornadoes through this evening with any supercells that can be sustained. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west of Lufkin TX to 40 miles southeast of Monroe LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Gleason Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 711 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW BPT TO 40 W POE TO 10 ENE IER TO 35 ESE MLU. ..SQUITIERI..11/20/23 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-003-009-011-019-021-025-029-035-039-041-043-049-053-059- 065-067-069-073-079-083-097-107-115-123-127-202340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES RICHLAND ST. LANDRY TENSAS VERNON WEST CARROLL WINN TXC351-361-202340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEWTON ORANGE Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Shortwave ridging across the central U.S. will give way to a trough digging into the Southwest towards the end of this week. Thereafter, model guidance suggests broad troughing will develop across much of the CONUS into next weekend. Differences in the upper-level pattern grow large beginning next week. At the surface, a cold front will move into the northern/central Plains late this week. A secondary push of cold air is expected to shove the front farther south by early next week. High pressure will again become more prominent in the West this weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Some dry and windy conditions are possible this Thursday as a weak surface low develops as the synoptic trough advances eastward. With temperatures being cooler due to the earlier passage of a cold front, RH values appear marginally low and winds may not be overly strong. Coupled with fuels generally being unreceptive, fire weather concerns are not likely to be more than locally elevated. ...Southern California... Offshore flow is expected to return to the region this coming weekend into Monday. Pressure gradient forecasts suggest potential for near-critical meteorological conditions. Upper-level wind support appears weak to modest. With dry conditions expected in the interim, it is possible that some fire weather concerns could develop. Fuel moisture trends will continue to be monitored. Confidence in critical fire weather remains too low for highlights this far in advance. ..Wendt.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Shortwave ridging across the central U.S. will give way to a trough digging into the Southwest towards the end of this week. Thereafter, model guidance suggests broad troughing will develop across much of the CONUS into next weekend. Differences in the upper-level pattern grow large beginning next week. At the surface, a cold front will move into the northern/central Plains late this week. A secondary push of cold air is expected to shove the front farther south by early next week. High pressure will again become more prominent in the West this weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Some dry and windy conditions are possible this Thursday as a weak surface low develops as the synoptic trough advances eastward. With temperatures being cooler due to the earlier passage of a cold front, RH values appear marginally low and winds may not be overly strong. Coupled with fuels generally being unreceptive, fire weather concerns are not likely to be more than locally elevated. ...Southern California... Offshore flow is expected to return to the region this coming weekend into Monday. Pressure gradient forecasts suggest potential for near-critical meteorological conditions. Upper-level wind support appears weak to modest. With dry conditions expected in the interim, it is possible that some fire weather concerns could develop. Fuel moisture trends will continue to be monitored. Confidence in critical fire weather remains too low for highlights this far in advance. ..Wendt.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Shortwave ridging across the central U.S. will give way to a trough digging into the Southwest towards the end of this week. Thereafter, model guidance suggests broad troughing will develop across much of the CONUS into next weekend. Differences in the upper-level pattern grow large beginning next week. At the surface, a cold front will move into the northern/central Plains late this week. A secondary push of cold air is expected to shove the front farther south by early next week. High pressure will again become more prominent in the West this weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Some dry and windy conditions are possible this Thursday as a weak surface low develops as the synoptic trough advances eastward. With temperatures being cooler due to the earlier passage of a cold front, RH values appear marginally low and winds may not be overly strong. Coupled with fuels generally being unreceptive, fire weather concerns are not likely to be more than locally elevated. ...Southern California... Offshore flow is expected to return to the region this coming weekend into Monday. Pressure gradient forecasts suggest potential for near-critical meteorological conditions. Upper-level wind support appears weak to modest. With dry conditions expected in the interim, it is possible that some fire weather concerns could develop. Fuel moisture trends will continue to be monitored. Confidence in critical fire weather remains too low for highlights this far in advance. ..Wendt.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Shortwave ridging across the central U.S. will give way to a trough digging into the Southwest towards the end of this week. Thereafter, model guidance suggests broad troughing will develop across much of the CONUS into next weekend. Differences in the upper-level pattern grow large beginning next week. At the surface, a cold front will move into the northern/central Plains late this week. A secondary push of cold air is expected to shove the front farther south by early next week. High pressure will again become more prominent in the West this weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Some dry and windy conditions are possible this Thursday as a weak surface low develops as the synoptic trough advances eastward. With temperatures being cooler due to the earlier passage of a cold front, RH values appear marginally low and winds may not be overly strong. Coupled with fuels generally being unreceptive, fire weather concerns are not likely to be more than locally elevated. ...Southern California... Offshore flow is expected to return to the region this coming weekend into Monday. Pressure gradient forecasts suggest potential for near-critical meteorological conditions. Upper-level wind support appears weak to modest. With dry conditions expected in the interim, it is possible that some fire weather concerns could develop. Fuel moisture trends will continue to be monitored. Confidence in critical fire weather remains too low for highlights this far in advance. ..Wendt.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Shortwave ridging across the central U.S. will give way to a trough digging into the Southwest towards the end of this week. Thereafter, model guidance suggests broad troughing will develop across much of the CONUS into next weekend. Differences in the upper-level pattern grow large beginning next week. At the surface, a cold front will move into the northern/central Plains late this week. A secondary push of cold air is expected to shove the front farther south by early next week. High pressure will again become more prominent in the West this weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Some dry and windy conditions are possible this Thursday as a weak surface low develops as the synoptic trough advances eastward. With temperatures being cooler due to the earlier passage of a cold front, RH values appear marginally low and winds may not be overly strong. Coupled with fuels generally being unreceptive, fire weather concerns are not likely to be more than locally elevated. ...Southern California... Offshore flow is expected to return to the region this coming weekend into Monday. Pressure gradient forecasts suggest potential for near-critical meteorological conditions. Upper-level wind support appears weak to modest. With dry conditions expected in the interim, it is possible that some fire weather concerns could develop. Fuel moisture trends will continue to be monitored. Confidence in critical fire weather remains too low for highlights this far in advance. ..Wendt.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Shortwave ridging across the central U.S. will give way to a trough digging into the Southwest towards the end of this week. Thereafter, model guidance suggests broad troughing will develop across much of the CONUS into next weekend. Differences in the upper-level pattern grow large beginning next week. At the surface, a cold front will move into the northern/central Plains late this week. A secondary push of cold air is expected to shove the front farther south by early next week. High pressure will again become more prominent in the West this weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Some dry and windy conditions are possible this Thursday as a weak surface low develops as the synoptic trough advances eastward. With temperatures being cooler due to the earlier passage of a cold front, RH values appear marginally low and winds may not be overly strong. Coupled with fuels generally being unreceptive, fire weather concerns are not likely to be more than locally elevated. ...Southern California... Offshore flow is expected to return to the region this coming weekend into Monday. Pressure gradient forecasts suggest potential for near-critical meteorological conditions. Upper-level wind support appears weak to modest. With dry conditions expected in the interim, it is possible that some fire weather concerns could develop. Fuel moisture trends will continue to be monitored. Confidence in critical fire weather remains too low for highlights this far in advance. ..Wendt.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Shortwave ridging across the central U.S. will give way to a trough digging into the Southwest towards the end of this week. Thereafter, model guidance suggests broad troughing will develop across much of the CONUS into next weekend. Differences in the upper-level pattern grow large beginning next week. At the surface, a cold front will move into the northern/central Plains late this week. A secondary push of cold air is expected to shove the front farther south by early next week. High pressure will again become more prominent in the West this weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Some dry and windy conditions are possible this Thursday as a weak surface low develops as the synoptic trough advances eastward. With temperatures being cooler due to the earlier passage of a cold front, RH values appear marginally low and winds may not be overly strong. Coupled with fuels generally being unreceptive, fire weather concerns are not likely to be more than locally elevated. ...Southern California... Offshore flow is expected to return to the region this coming weekend into Monday. Pressure gradient forecasts suggest potential for near-critical meteorological conditions. Upper-level wind support appears weak to modest. With dry conditions expected in the interim, it is possible that some fire weather concerns could develop. Fuel moisture trends will continue to be monitored. Confidence in critical fire weather remains too low for highlights this far in advance. ..Wendt.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Shortwave ridging across the central U.S. will give way to a trough digging into the Southwest towards the end of this week. Thereafter, model guidance suggests broad troughing will develop across much of the CONUS into next weekend. Differences in the upper-level pattern grow large beginning next week. At the surface, a cold front will move into the northern/central Plains late this week. A secondary push of cold air is expected to shove the front farther south by early next week. High pressure will again become more prominent in the West this weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Some dry and windy conditions are possible this Thursday as a weak surface low develops as the synoptic trough advances eastward. With temperatures being cooler due to the earlier passage of a cold front, RH values appear marginally low and winds may not be overly strong. Coupled with fuels generally being unreceptive, fire weather concerns are not likely to be more than locally elevated. ...Southern California... Offshore flow is expected to return to the region this coming weekend into Monday. Pressure gradient forecasts suggest potential for near-critical meteorological conditions. Upper-level wind support appears weak to modest. With dry conditions expected in the interim, it is possible that some fire weather concerns could develop. Fuel moisture trends will continue to be monitored. Confidence in critical fire weather remains too low for highlights this far in advance. ..Wendt.. 11/20/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more