Aggregator

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2023 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast for Wednesday, but sub-severe hail will be possible over a portion of central to south New Mexico on Wednesday night. ...Southwest... A shortwave trough initially digging over the Lower CO Valley will pivot and drift east across AZ through the period. Downstream, a broad low-level warm theta-e advection regime will persist across NM and west TX as a modified airmass emanates north-northwest from the Lower Rio Grande Valley. Elevated buoyancy will remain scant to meager, likely supporting only sporadic to isolated thunderstorm coverage from northwest TX towards the Four Corners during the day. Convective coverage should increase Wednesday evening into the night as the cold-core region of the mid-level low shifts east, with an attendant corridor of steeper lapse rates overspreading the marginal moisture plume. Guidance has trended northward and slightly faster with the evolution of the mid-level jet curling into and through the base of the trough. This could yield a low-end supercell environment overnight across a portion of central to south NM. Potential for small to perhaps marginally severe hail should be focused on the meso-beta scale and given the rather marginal buoyancy environment, will refrain from a low-probability large hail highlight this cycle. ...South FL... Above-average agreement exists across guidance with the depiction of a stout 1040+ mb anticyclone drifting east from IL to the Upper OH Valley. This will influence persistent northeasterly low-level flow across south FL, with gradual moistening anticipated from the western Atlantic. Guidance has trended towards a more moist and weakly buoyant air mass during the period, with multiple rounds of showers and isolated thunderstorms expected. This should be most favored along the southeast part of the peninsula where boundary-layer speed convergence is largest. ..Grams.. 12/12/2023 Read more

Hay, corn and soybean yields were halved in Jefferson County as rainfall has been below normal. WV News (Clarksburg, W.V.), Dec 8, 2023

A Christmas tree farm in Marshall lost about 400 out of 500 seedlings as rain was scarce during the growing season. Pests also affected some of the trees, making them unsellable. The number of planted trees will be doubled so that the farm might have enough large trees years down the road. KOMU-TV8 (Columbia, Mo.), Dec 8, 2023

Heat and drought wiped out the dryland cotton crop in West Texas this year. Dryland acres were not harvestable. Even irrigated cotton yielded just half of normal. AgWeb (Mexico, Mo.), Dec 11, 2023

Residents of Bethany in Genesee County continued to haul water to their homes as wells have run dry. Dairy farms were bringing in 60,00 gallons or more daily. FingerLakes1 (Seneca Falls, N.Y.), Dec 11, 2023 A well in Genesee County has been dry for a month as drought limited water supplies. The well owners have gotten water from a relative’s house in Akron and brought the water home to Corfu. In the town of Bethany, wells have also run dry, leaving 50 homes without water. A dairy farm was hauling 60,000 gallons of water daily for the cows. Other dairy farms were supplementing well water with public water from Batavia, Pavilion and Stafford. Town residents were praying for any precipitation to ease the dryness. The Daily News (Batavia, New York), Nov 18, 2023

Rainfall helped with water conservation efforts, allowing towns to lift restrictions. WLOS (Asheville, N.C.), Dec 12, 2023 Stage 2 mandatory water use reductions took effect in Highlands on Tuesday, Nov. 7. Water customers were to curb their water use by 10%. Stage 2 of the Water Shortage Response Plan was triggered when Big Creek fell below 1,400 gallons per minute flowing over the weir. Use of water by the fire department for testing and training purposes will be limited. Water restrictions were also in effect in Franklin, Tryon and Hendersonville. WLOS (Asheville, N.C.), Nov 8, 2023

Rainfall helped with water conservation efforts, allowing towns to lift restrictions. WLOS (Asheville, N.C.), Dec 12, 2023 Voluntary water conservation is requested in Canton and Clyde because the Pigeon River was running low. Clyde purchases its water from Canton. Haywood County was also under a burn ban. The Mountaineer (Waynesville, N.C.), Nov 10, 2023

Weekend rainfall added an inch and a half of water to Appalachia’s reservoir. Mandatory water restrictions remained in effect. WCYB Online (Bristol, Va.), Dec 12, 2023 A water shortage emergency was declared for Appalachia last month. Since then, more water is being pumped from the Powell River and two major water leaks have been repaired. Appalachia was in phase one of its contingency plan. WCYB Online (Bristol, Va.), Dec 5, 2023 A water shortage emergency has been declared for the Town of Appalachia as the water supply was down to 60 days. Businesses were expected to curb their water use by 20%. WCYB Online (Bristol, Va.), Nov 14, 2023

Rainfall helped with water conservation efforts, allowing towns to lift restrictions. WLOS (Asheville, N.C.), Dec 12, 2023 Residents of Tryon were urged to voluntarily conserve water after town officials were contacted about drought conditions. WLOS-TV ABC 13 Asheville (N.C.), Oct 2, 2023

Shenandoah National Park’s streams and rivers were closed to fishing due to low stream flows and high water temperatures. The aim is to protect the long-term health of the fish populations. News Leader (Staunton, Va.), Aug 31, 2023

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move across the Great Lakes region and Ohio Valley today, as a shortwave ridge moves into the southern and central High Plains. Further to the west, an upper-level trough will move into southern California. Southwesterly mid-level flow will be located from the Desert Southwest into the southern and central Rockies. In response, a 30 to 40 knot low-level jet is forecast to develop today in the southern High Plains. Isolated thunderstorm development will be possible this afternoon and evening in west Texas and southeast New Mexico, along the western and northern edge of the low-level jet, where lift will be maximized. This convection is not expected to become severe. Elsewhere across the continental U.S., thunderstorms are not expected today and tonight. ..Broyles/Wendt.. 12/12/2023 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move across the Great Lakes region and Ohio Valley today, as a shortwave ridge moves into the southern and central High Plains. Further to the west, an upper-level trough will move into southern California. Southwesterly mid-level flow will be located from the Desert Southwest into the southern and central Rockies. In response, a 30 to 40 knot low-level jet is forecast to develop today in the southern High Plains. Isolated thunderstorm development will be possible this afternoon and evening in west Texas and southeast New Mexico, along the western and northern edge of the low-level jet, where lift will be maximized. This convection is not expected to become severe. Elsewhere across the continental U.S., thunderstorms are not expected today and tonight. ..Broyles/Wendt.. 12/12/2023 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move across the Great Lakes region and Ohio Valley today, as a shortwave ridge moves into the southern and central High Plains. Further to the west, an upper-level trough will move into southern California. Southwesterly mid-level flow will be located from the Desert Southwest into the southern and central Rockies. In response, a 30 to 40 knot low-level jet is forecast to develop today in the southern High Plains. Isolated thunderstorm development will be possible this afternoon and evening in west Texas and southeast New Mexico, along the western and northern edge of the low-level jet, where lift will be maximized. This convection is not expected to become severe. Elsewhere across the continental U.S., thunderstorms are not expected today and tonight. ..Broyles/Wendt.. 12/12/2023 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move across the Great Lakes region and Ohio Valley today, as a shortwave ridge moves into the southern and central High Plains. Further to the west, an upper-level trough will move into southern California. Southwesterly mid-level flow will be located from the Desert Southwest into the southern and central Rockies. In response, a 30 to 40 knot low-level jet is forecast to develop today in the southern High Plains. Isolated thunderstorm development will be possible this afternoon and evening in west Texas and southeast New Mexico, along the western and northern edge of the low-level jet, where lift will be maximized. This convection is not expected to become severe. Elsewhere across the continental U.S., thunderstorms are not expected today and tonight. ..Broyles/Wendt.. 12/12/2023 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move across the Great Lakes region and Ohio Valley today, as a shortwave ridge moves into the southern and central High Plains. Further to the west, an upper-level trough will move into southern California. Southwesterly mid-level flow will be located from the Desert Southwest into the southern and central Rockies. In response, a 30 to 40 knot low-level jet is forecast to develop today in the southern High Plains. Isolated thunderstorm development will be possible this afternoon and evening in west Texas and southeast New Mexico, along the western and northern edge of the low-level jet, where lift will be maximized. This convection is not expected to become severe. Elsewhere across the continental U.S., thunderstorms are not expected today and tonight. ..Broyles/Wendt.. 12/12/2023 Read more

Despite the fall fire season being at an end in Virginia, the fire risk remained high, due to continuing drought. Whether or not fire restrictions are in effect for an area, the Director of Fire and Emergency Response for the Virginia Department of Forestry urged the public to delay all outdoor burning until drought eases. WCAV-TV (Charlottesville, Va.), Dec 8, 2023

The Virginia Department of Forestry responded to 156 wildfires that burned nearly 25,000 acres statewide between Oct. 15 and Nov. 30. WCAV-TV (Charlottesville, Va.), Dec 8, 2023

The demand for water was high in Elkton, where water haulers might wait almost an hour to get a load of water. Just one of the two pumps at Bear Lithia Spring was operating at a time to alternate use between the two pumps. A number of other towns in the area discontinued water-hauling privileges due to the extreme drought. Water restrictions were voluntary. WHSV (Harrisonburg, Va.), Dec 11, 2023

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0641 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 Valid 120100Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected in the U.S. through tonight. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move eastward across the Northeast tonight, as west to northwest mid-level flow remains over much of the remainder of the U.S. At the surface, a large area of high pressure from the Ohio Valley southwestward into the lower Mississippi Valley will suppress moisture return. The relatively dry and cool airmass associated with the high will make thunderstorms unlikely through tonight. ..Broyles.. 12/12/2023 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0641 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2023 Valid 120100Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected in the U.S. through tonight. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move eastward across the Northeast tonight, as west to northwest mid-level flow remains over much of the remainder of the U.S. At the surface, a large area of high pressure from the Ohio Valley southwestward into the lower Mississippi Valley will suppress moisture return. The relatively dry and cool airmass associated with the high will make thunderstorms unlikely through tonight. ..Broyles.. 12/12/2023 Read more