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WW 0003 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 3 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW BVE TO 15 NNE BVE TO 15 SSE GPT TO 30 WNW MOB TO 40 N MOB TO 50 SE MEI TO 50 ESE MEI. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0025 ..JEWELL..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099-129- 131-091040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BUTLER CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-091040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GULF HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON Read more

WW 0003 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 3 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE HUM TO 15 SSE ASD TO 25 ESE MEI. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0025 ..LYONS..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-013-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099- 129-131-090940- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-090940- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GULF HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorm development is possible Thursday night across parts of central and eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley, where storms may increasingly pose a risk for severe hail, wind and tornadoes prior to daybreak Friday. ...Discussion... To the east of persistent amplified mid/upper ridging within the split flow across the mid-latitude eastern Pacific, one notable short wave impulse of northern Canadian Arctic origins is forecast to dig southeast of the Canadian Rockies, into the northern U.S. intermountain region and Rockies by late Thursday night. Downstream of this perturbation, another short wave trough, of northern mid-latitude Pacific origins, is forecast to dig through the Southwestern international border area, before rapidly pivoting east of the southern Rockies/northern Mexican Plateau through the southern Great Plains by the end of the period. As stronger mid/upper forcing for ascent associated with the lead perturbation approaches the Ark-La-Tex vicinity, it still appears that a surface low may begin to consolidate within deepening surface troughing across the southern Great Plains into lower Mississippi Valley. Timing of the onset of more rapid deepening is becoming a bit more unclear, but still seems probable prior to 12Z Friday. Once this occurs, a more substantive inland influx of low-level moisture, off a still modifying boundary-layer over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, is expected to contribute to increasing near-surface or surface-based destabilization. This appears likely to be aided by steepening lapse rates associated with mid-level cooling, in the exit region of an intense jet streak (northwesterly to westerly at 100-120 kt around 500 mb). Coincident with strengthening southerly lower-level flow (in excess of 50 kt) across the lower Mississippi Valley by 12Z Friday, rapidly intensifying thunderstorms posing increasing severe weather potential is possible by late Thursday night, if not earlier. The mid/upper forcing for ascent may contribute to thunderstorm initiation as early and far west as late Thursday evening near the (roughly) I-35 corridor of central Texas. This may gradually evolve into an upscale growing and organizing cluster across eastern Texas into western Louisiana and Arkansas, with an additional area of downstream warm advection driven supercell development possible closer to the Mississippi River, by the end of the period. ..Kerr.. 01/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorm development is possible Thursday night across parts of central and eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley, where storms may increasingly pose a risk for severe hail, wind and tornadoes prior to daybreak Friday. ...Discussion... To the east of persistent amplified mid/upper ridging within the split flow across the mid-latitude eastern Pacific, one notable short wave impulse of northern Canadian Arctic origins is forecast to dig southeast of the Canadian Rockies, into the northern U.S. intermountain region and Rockies by late Thursday night. Downstream of this perturbation, another short wave trough, of northern mid-latitude Pacific origins, is forecast to dig through the Southwestern international border area, before rapidly pivoting east of the southern Rockies/northern Mexican Plateau through the southern Great Plains by the end of the period. As stronger mid/upper forcing for ascent associated with the lead perturbation approaches the Ark-La-Tex vicinity, it still appears that a surface low may begin to consolidate within deepening surface troughing across the southern Great Plains into lower Mississippi Valley. Timing of the onset of more rapid deepening is becoming a bit more unclear, but still seems probable prior to 12Z Friday. Once this occurs, a more substantive inland influx of low-level moisture, off a still modifying boundary-layer over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, is expected to contribute to increasing near-surface or surface-based destabilization. This appears likely to be aided by steepening lapse rates associated with mid-level cooling, in the exit region of an intense jet streak (northwesterly to westerly at 100-120 kt around 500 mb). Coincident with strengthening southerly lower-level flow (in excess of 50 kt) across the lower Mississippi Valley by 12Z Friday, rapidly intensifying thunderstorms posing increasing severe weather potential is possible by late Thursday night, if not earlier. The mid/upper forcing for ascent may contribute to thunderstorm initiation as early and far west as late Thursday evening near the (roughly) I-35 corridor of central Texas. This may gradually evolve into an upscale growing and organizing cluster across eastern Texas into western Louisiana and Arkansas, with an additional area of downstream warm advection driven supercell development possible closer to the Mississippi River, by the end of the period. ..Kerr.. 01/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorm development is possible Thursday night across parts of central and eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley, where storms may increasingly pose a risk for severe hail, wind and tornadoes prior to daybreak Friday. ...Discussion... To the east of persistent amplified mid/upper ridging within the split flow across the mid-latitude eastern Pacific, one notable short wave impulse of northern Canadian Arctic origins is forecast to dig southeast of the Canadian Rockies, into the northern U.S. intermountain region and Rockies by late Thursday night. Downstream of this perturbation, another short wave trough, of northern mid-latitude Pacific origins, is forecast to dig through the Southwestern international border area, before rapidly pivoting east of the southern Rockies/northern Mexican Plateau through the southern Great Plains by the end of the period. As stronger mid/upper forcing for ascent associated with the lead perturbation approaches the Ark-La-Tex vicinity, it still appears that a surface low may begin to consolidate within deepening surface troughing across the southern Great Plains into lower Mississippi Valley. Timing of the onset of more rapid deepening is becoming a bit more unclear, but still seems probable prior to 12Z Friday. Once this occurs, a more substantive inland influx of low-level moisture, off a still modifying boundary-layer over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, is expected to contribute to increasing near-surface or surface-based destabilization. This appears likely to be aided by steepening lapse rates associated with mid-level cooling, in the exit region of an intense jet streak (northwesterly to westerly at 100-120 kt around 500 mb). Coincident with strengthening southerly lower-level flow (in excess of 50 kt) across the lower Mississippi Valley by 12Z Friday, rapidly intensifying thunderstorms posing increasing severe weather potential is possible by late Thursday night, if not earlier. The mid/upper forcing for ascent may contribute to thunderstorm initiation as early and far west as late Thursday evening near the (roughly) I-35 corridor of central Texas. This may gradually evolve into an upscale growing and organizing cluster across eastern Texas into western Louisiana and Arkansas, with an additional area of downstream warm advection driven supercell development possible closer to the Mississippi River, by the end of the period. ..Kerr.. 01/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorm development is possible Thursday night across parts of central and eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley, where storms may increasingly pose a risk for severe hail, wind and tornadoes prior to daybreak Friday. ...Discussion... To the east of persistent amplified mid/upper ridging within the split flow across the mid-latitude eastern Pacific, one notable short wave impulse of northern Canadian Arctic origins is forecast to dig southeast of the Canadian Rockies, into the northern U.S. intermountain region and Rockies by late Thursday night. Downstream of this perturbation, another short wave trough, of northern mid-latitude Pacific origins, is forecast to dig through the Southwestern international border area, before rapidly pivoting east of the southern Rockies/northern Mexican Plateau through the southern Great Plains by the end of the period. As stronger mid/upper forcing for ascent associated with the lead perturbation approaches the Ark-La-Tex vicinity, it still appears that a surface low may begin to consolidate within deepening surface troughing across the southern Great Plains into lower Mississippi Valley. Timing of the onset of more rapid deepening is becoming a bit more unclear, but still seems probable prior to 12Z Friday. Once this occurs, a more substantive inland influx of low-level moisture, off a still modifying boundary-layer over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, is expected to contribute to increasing near-surface or surface-based destabilization. This appears likely to be aided by steepening lapse rates associated with mid-level cooling, in the exit region of an intense jet streak (northwesterly to westerly at 100-120 kt around 500 mb). Coincident with strengthening southerly lower-level flow (in excess of 50 kt) across the lower Mississippi Valley by 12Z Friday, rapidly intensifying thunderstorms posing increasing severe weather potential is possible by late Thursday night, if not earlier. The mid/upper forcing for ascent may contribute to thunderstorm initiation as early and far west as late Thursday evening near the (roughly) I-35 corridor of central Texas. This may gradually evolve into an upscale growing and organizing cluster across eastern Texas into western Louisiana and Arkansas, with an additional area of downstream warm advection driven supercell development possible closer to the Mississippi River, by the end of the period. ..Kerr.. 01/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorm development is possible Thursday night across parts of central and eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley, where storms may increasingly pose a risk for severe hail, wind and tornadoes prior to daybreak Friday. ...Discussion... To the east of persistent amplified mid/upper ridging within the split flow across the mid-latitude eastern Pacific, one notable short wave impulse of northern Canadian Arctic origins is forecast to dig southeast of the Canadian Rockies, into the northern U.S. intermountain region and Rockies by late Thursday night. Downstream of this perturbation, another short wave trough, of northern mid-latitude Pacific origins, is forecast to dig through the Southwestern international border area, before rapidly pivoting east of the southern Rockies/northern Mexican Plateau through the southern Great Plains by the end of the period. As stronger mid/upper forcing for ascent associated with the lead perturbation approaches the Ark-La-Tex vicinity, it still appears that a surface low may begin to consolidate within deepening surface troughing across the southern Great Plains into lower Mississippi Valley. Timing of the onset of more rapid deepening is becoming a bit more unclear, but still seems probable prior to 12Z Friday. Once this occurs, a more substantive inland influx of low-level moisture, off a still modifying boundary-layer over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, is expected to contribute to increasing near-surface or surface-based destabilization. This appears likely to be aided by steepening lapse rates associated with mid-level cooling, in the exit region of an intense jet streak (northwesterly to westerly at 100-120 kt around 500 mb). Coincident with strengthening southerly lower-level flow (in excess of 50 kt) across the lower Mississippi Valley by 12Z Friday, rapidly intensifying thunderstorms posing increasing severe weather potential is possible by late Thursday night, if not earlier. The mid/upper forcing for ascent may contribute to thunderstorm initiation as early and far west as late Thursday evening near the (roughly) I-35 corridor of central Texas. This may gradually evolve into an upscale growing and organizing cluster across eastern Texas into western Louisiana and Arkansas, with an additional area of downstream warm advection driven supercell development possible closer to the Mississippi River, by the end of the period. ..Kerr.. 01/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorm development is possible Thursday night across parts of central and eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley, where storms may increasingly pose a risk for severe hail, wind and tornadoes prior to daybreak Friday. ...Discussion... To the east of persistent amplified mid/upper ridging within the split flow across the mid-latitude eastern Pacific, one notable short wave impulse of northern Canadian Arctic origins is forecast to dig southeast of the Canadian Rockies, into the northern U.S. intermountain region and Rockies by late Thursday night. Downstream of this perturbation, another short wave trough, of northern mid-latitude Pacific origins, is forecast to dig through the Southwestern international border area, before rapidly pivoting east of the southern Rockies/northern Mexican Plateau through the southern Great Plains by the end of the period. As stronger mid/upper forcing for ascent associated with the lead perturbation approaches the Ark-La-Tex vicinity, it still appears that a surface low may begin to consolidate within deepening surface troughing across the southern Great Plains into lower Mississippi Valley. Timing of the onset of more rapid deepening is becoming a bit more unclear, but still seems probable prior to 12Z Friday. Once this occurs, a more substantive inland influx of low-level moisture, off a still modifying boundary-layer over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, is expected to contribute to increasing near-surface or surface-based destabilization. This appears likely to be aided by steepening lapse rates associated with mid-level cooling, in the exit region of an intense jet streak (northwesterly to westerly at 100-120 kt around 500 mb). Coincident with strengthening southerly lower-level flow (in excess of 50 kt) across the lower Mississippi Valley by 12Z Friday, rapidly intensifying thunderstorms posing increasing severe weather potential is possible by late Thursday night, if not earlier. The mid/upper forcing for ascent may contribute to thunderstorm initiation as early and far west as late Thursday evening near the (roughly) I-35 corridor of central Texas. This may gradually evolve into an upscale growing and organizing cluster across eastern Texas into western Louisiana and Arkansas, with an additional area of downstream warm advection driven supercell development possible closer to the Mississippi River, by the end of the period. ..Kerr.. 01/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorm development is possible Thursday night across parts of central and eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley, where storms may increasingly pose a risk for severe hail, wind and tornadoes prior to daybreak Friday. ...Discussion... To the east of persistent amplified mid/upper ridging within the split flow across the mid-latitude eastern Pacific, one notable short wave impulse of northern Canadian Arctic origins is forecast to dig southeast of the Canadian Rockies, into the northern U.S. intermountain region and Rockies by late Thursday night. Downstream of this perturbation, another short wave trough, of northern mid-latitude Pacific origins, is forecast to dig through the Southwestern international border area, before rapidly pivoting east of the southern Rockies/northern Mexican Plateau through the southern Great Plains by the end of the period. As stronger mid/upper forcing for ascent associated with the lead perturbation approaches the Ark-La-Tex vicinity, it still appears that a surface low may begin to consolidate within deepening surface troughing across the southern Great Plains into lower Mississippi Valley. Timing of the onset of more rapid deepening is becoming a bit more unclear, but still seems probable prior to 12Z Friday. Once this occurs, a more substantive inland influx of low-level moisture, off a still modifying boundary-layer over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, is expected to contribute to increasing near-surface or surface-based destabilization. This appears likely to be aided by steepening lapse rates associated with mid-level cooling, in the exit region of an intense jet streak (northwesterly to westerly at 100-120 kt around 500 mb). Coincident with strengthening southerly lower-level flow (in excess of 50 kt) across the lower Mississippi Valley by 12Z Friday, rapidly intensifying thunderstorms posing increasing severe weather potential is possible by late Thursday night, if not earlier. The mid/upper forcing for ascent may contribute to thunderstorm initiation as early and far west as late Thursday evening near the (roughly) I-35 corridor of central Texas. This may gradually evolve into an upscale growing and organizing cluster across eastern Texas into western Louisiana and Arkansas, with an additional area of downstream warm advection driven supercell development possible closer to the Mississippi River, by the end of the period. ..Kerr.. 01/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorm development is possible Thursday night across parts of central and eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley, where storms may increasingly pose a risk for severe hail, wind and tornadoes prior to daybreak Friday. ...Discussion... To the east of persistent amplified mid/upper ridging within the split flow across the mid-latitude eastern Pacific, one notable short wave impulse of northern Canadian Arctic origins is forecast to dig southeast of the Canadian Rockies, into the northern U.S. intermountain region and Rockies by late Thursday night. Downstream of this perturbation, another short wave trough, of northern mid-latitude Pacific origins, is forecast to dig through the Southwestern international border area, before rapidly pivoting east of the southern Rockies/northern Mexican Plateau through the southern Great Plains by the end of the period. As stronger mid/upper forcing for ascent associated with the lead perturbation approaches the Ark-La-Tex vicinity, it still appears that a surface low may begin to consolidate within deepening surface troughing across the southern Great Plains into lower Mississippi Valley. Timing of the onset of more rapid deepening is becoming a bit more unclear, but still seems probable prior to 12Z Friday. Once this occurs, a more substantive inland influx of low-level moisture, off a still modifying boundary-layer over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, is expected to contribute to increasing near-surface or surface-based destabilization. This appears likely to be aided by steepening lapse rates associated with mid-level cooling, in the exit region of an intense jet streak (northwesterly to westerly at 100-120 kt around 500 mb). Coincident with strengthening southerly lower-level flow (in excess of 50 kt) across the lower Mississippi Valley by 12Z Friday, rapidly intensifying thunderstorms posing increasing severe weather potential is possible by late Thursday night, if not earlier. The mid/upper forcing for ascent may contribute to thunderstorm initiation as early and far west as late Thursday evening near the (roughly) I-35 corridor of central Texas. This may gradually evolve into an upscale growing and organizing cluster across eastern Texas into western Louisiana and Arkansas, with an additional area of downstream warm advection driven supercell development possible closer to the Mississippi River, by the end of the period. ..Kerr.. 01/09/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level cyclone over the southern CONUS will move eastward with the surface low moving into the mid MS Valley early this morning. Strong low-level winds should remain behind the low and the trailing cold front as it moves into the Gulf. A few hours of dry and breezy post-frontal conditions are possible across parts of deep south TX this morning through the early afternoon. Gusts of 25-30 mph with humidity below 25% may support a few hours of meteorological elevated fire-weather conditions before winds begin to weaken later in the day. However, near-normal fuel moisture and the brief overlap of the strongest dry and windy conditions suggest any fire-weather concerns will remain relatively low end and localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level cyclone over the southern CONUS will move eastward with the surface low moving into the mid MS Valley early this morning. Strong low-level winds should remain behind the low and the trailing cold front as it moves into the Gulf. A few hours of dry and breezy post-frontal conditions are possible across parts of deep south TX this morning through the early afternoon. Gusts of 25-30 mph with humidity below 25% may support a few hours of meteorological elevated fire-weather conditions before winds begin to weaken later in the day. However, near-normal fuel moisture and the brief overlap of the strongest dry and windy conditions suggest any fire-weather concerns will remain relatively low end and localized. ..Lyons.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more