Aggregator

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico today, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains. Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity in the single digits. Coverage of critical winds speeds still appears too localized at this time to introduce a Critical area. As such, the Elevated was maintained with this outlook, as it covers the threat sufficiently. Locally Critical conditions will be possible, mainly in the lee of terrain features. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms, some possibly severe, will be possible over parts of the southern High Plains. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Saturday, a very deep upper low will move into the Great Basin, with a large area of strong cyclonic flow aloft over much of the western CONUS. Preceding this system will be a lead southern-stream wave, moving across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains after 00Z. To the north, a shortwave trough will gradually lift across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, with a weak surface high building south across the Plains behind a cold front. This front will lie roughly from IL into northern TX by 00Z, with southern portions of the boundary stalling. A moist and unstable air mass will remain to the south, primarily over TX, but low-level moisture will also spread into eastern NM. While ongoing storms are likely along the front early in the day, heating and destabilization ahead of it will favor diurnal strong to possibly severe storms, producing localized hail or strong gusts. Even if the storms become elevated, steep lapse rates aloft will still favor vigorous updrafts. With time, storms could become quite numerous with an easterly low-level jet developing, aiding theta-e advection toward the frontal zone. ..Jewell.. 05/02/2024 Read more