Aggregator

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0817 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN OK...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS...SOUTHWEST MO... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong to severe storms remain possible tonight across parts of the central and southern Plains into southern Missouri. A few strong tornadoes, widespread damaging wind, and very large hail will be possible. ...Central/southern Plains into southern MO/northern AR... Extensive and relatively early storm development this afternoon across parts of OK and northwest TX has significantly complicated the distribution of moisture and instability across parts of the central/southern Plains. However, a strong low-level jet will continue to transport moisture into the region tonight, and some recovery and additional storm development in the vicinity of convective outflow remains possible through the evening. Supercells capable of very large hail, significant gusts, and a few strong tornadoes remain possible where surface-based storms can persist. Later tonight, some upscale growth will be possible from southern MO into northern AR, as the low-level jet continues to strengthen into the overnight hours. An increasing risk of severe to locally destructive wind gusts (60-85 mph) may accompany this upscale growth. However, embedded supercells will remain possible, with very strong low-level shear/SRH supporting a continued tornado threat, including some potential for a strong tornado. A relatively intense storm cluster or MCS could reach portions of the MS Valley by the end of the period. Farther north, increasing storm coverage is expected from northern KS into southern NE. Low-level moisture will continue to surge northward in conjunction with a warm front, which may eventually reach the KS/NE border region. A few supercells will be possible across the region this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail. The tornado threat will also increase with cells near and south of the warm front, and a strong tornado cannot be ruled out with any persistent discrete supercell. Some upscale growth will be possible with time from eastern KS into western MO, with a storm cluster or small MCS potentially following in the wake of an earlier storm cluster into parts of southern MO by the end of the period. ...South FL... Isolated strong to locally severe storms remain possible for a couple hours this evening across parts of south FL, within a moderately unstable and modestly sheared environment. Isolated hail and strong wind gusts cannot be ruled out before storms weaken later tonight. ...Parts of MS/AL... A few strong storms are ongoing this evening across parts of eastern MS into AL. While midlevel lapse rates are generally weak across the region, rich low-level moisture is supporting MLCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg, in the presence of moderate effective shear (generally 30-40 kt). Isolated hail and damaging gusts cannot be ruled out with the strongest storms this evening, before storms generally weaken as MLCINH increases. ...Western PA/northern WV into parts of the Mid Atlantic... Strong to occasionally severe storms have been ongoing across parts of PA/WV and northern MD this evening, within an environment characterized by weak to locally moderate buoyancy and modest deep-layer shear. These storms should generally weaken with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, though isolated damaging gusts and marginal hail cannot be ruled out through the evening. ..Dean.. 05/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0817 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN OK...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS...SOUTHWEST MO... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong to severe storms remain possible tonight across parts of the central and southern Plains into southern Missouri. A few strong tornadoes, widespread damaging wind, and very large hail will be possible. ...Central/southern Plains into southern MO/northern AR... Extensive and relatively early storm development this afternoon across parts of OK and northwest TX has significantly complicated the distribution of moisture and instability across parts of the central/southern Plains. However, a strong low-level jet will continue to transport moisture into the region tonight, and some recovery and additional storm development in the vicinity of convective outflow remains possible through the evening. Supercells capable of very large hail, significant gusts, and a few strong tornadoes remain possible where surface-based storms can persist. Later tonight, some upscale growth will be possible from southern MO into northern AR, as the low-level jet continues to strengthen into the overnight hours. An increasing risk of severe to locally destructive wind gusts (60-85 mph) may accompany this upscale growth. However, embedded supercells will remain possible, with very strong low-level shear/SRH supporting a continued tornado threat, including some potential for a strong tornado. A relatively intense storm cluster or MCS could reach portions of the MS Valley by the end of the period. Farther north, increasing storm coverage is expected from northern KS into southern NE. Low-level moisture will continue to surge northward in conjunction with a warm front, which may eventually reach the KS/NE border region. A few supercells will be possible across the region this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail. The tornado threat will also increase with cells near and south of the warm front, and a strong tornado cannot be ruled out with any persistent discrete supercell. Some upscale growth will be possible with time from eastern KS into western MO, with a storm cluster or small MCS potentially following in the wake of an earlier storm cluster into parts of southern MO by the end of the period. ...South FL... Isolated strong to locally severe storms remain possible for a couple hours this evening across parts of south FL, within a moderately unstable and modestly sheared environment. Isolated hail and strong wind gusts cannot be ruled out before storms weaken later tonight. ...Parts of MS/AL... A few strong storms are ongoing this evening across parts of eastern MS into AL. While midlevel lapse rates are generally weak across the region, rich low-level moisture is supporting MLCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg, in the presence of moderate effective shear (generally 30-40 kt). Isolated hail and damaging gusts cannot be ruled out with the strongest storms this evening, before storms generally weaken as MLCINH increases. ...Western PA/northern WV into parts of the Mid Atlantic... Strong to occasionally severe storms have been ongoing across parts of PA/WV and northern MD this evening, within an environment characterized by weak to locally moderate buoyancy and modest deep-layer shear. These storms should generally weaken with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, though isolated damaging gusts and marginal hail cannot be ruled out through the evening. ..Dean.. 05/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0817 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN OK...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS...SOUTHWEST MO... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong to severe storms remain possible tonight across parts of the central and southern Plains into southern Missouri. A few strong tornadoes, widespread damaging wind, and very large hail will be possible. ...Central/southern Plains into southern MO/northern AR... Extensive and relatively early storm development this afternoon across parts of OK and northwest TX has significantly complicated the distribution of moisture and instability across parts of the central/southern Plains. However, a strong low-level jet will continue to transport moisture into the region tonight, and some recovery and additional storm development in the vicinity of convective outflow remains possible through the evening. Supercells capable of very large hail, significant gusts, and a few strong tornadoes remain possible where surface-based storms can persist. Later tonight, some upscale growth will be possible from southern MO into northern AR, as the low-level jet continues to strengthen into the overnight hours. An increasing risk of severe to locally destructive wind gusts (60-85 mph) may accompany this upscale growth. However, embedded supercells will remain possible, with very strong low-level shear/SRH supporting a continued tornado threat, including some potential for a strong tornado. A relatively intense storm cluster or MCS could reach portions of the MS Valley by the end of the period. Farther north, increasing storm coverage is expected from northern KS into southern NE. Low-level moisture will continue to surge northward in conjunction with a warm front, which may eventually reach the KS/NE border region. A few supercells will be possible across the region this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail. The tornado threat will also increase with cells near and south of the warm front, and a strong tornado cannot be ruled out with any persistent discrete supercell. Some upscale growth will be possible with time from eastern KS into western MO, with a storm cluster or small MCS potentially following in the wake of an earlier storm cluster into parts of southern MO by the end of the period. ...South FL... Isolated strong to locally severe storms remain possible for a couple hours this evening across parts of south FL, within a moderately unstable and modestly sheared environment. Isolated hail and strong wind gusts cannot be ruled out before storms weaken later tonight. ...Parts of MS/AL... A few strong storms are ongoing this evening across parts of eastern MS into AL. While midlevel lapse rates are generally weak across the region, rich low-level moisture is supporting MLCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg, in the presence of moderate effective shear (generally 30-40 kt). Isolated hail and damaging gusts cannot be ruled out with the strongest storms this evening, before storms generally weaken as MLCINH increases. ...Western PA/northern WV into parts of the Mid Atlantic... Strong to occasionally severe storms have been ongoing across parts of PA/WV and northern MD this evening, within an environment characterized by weak to locally moderate buoyancy and modest deep-layer shear. These storms should generally weaken with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, though isolated damaging gusts and marginal hail cannot be ruled out through the evening. ..Dean.. 05/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0817 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN OK...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS...SOUTHWEST MO... ...SUMMARY... Widespread strong to severe storms remain possible tonight across parts of the central and southern Plains into southern Missouri. A few strong tornadoes, widespread damaging wind, and very large hail will be possible. ...Central/southern Plains into southern MO/northern AR... Extensive and relatively early storm development this afternoon across parts of OK and northwest TX has significantly complicated the distribution of moisture and instability across parts of the central/southern Plains. However, a strong low-level jet will continue to transport moisture into the region tonight, and some recovery and additional storm development in the vicinity of convective outflow remains possible through the evening. Supercells capable of very large hail, significant gusts, and a few strong tornadoes remain possible where surface-based storms can persist. Later tonight, some upscale growth will be possible from southern MO into northern AR, as the low-level jet continues to strengthen into the overnight hours. An increasing risk of severe to locally destructive wind gusts (60-85 mph) may accompany this upscale growth. However, embedded supercells will remain possible, with very strong low-level shear/SRH supporting a continued tornado threat, including some potential for a strong tornado. A relatively intense storm cluster or MCS could reach portions of the MS Valley by the end of the period. Farther north, increasing storm coverage is expected from northern KS into southern NE. Low-level moisture will continue to surge northward in conjunction with a warm front, which may eventually reach the KS/NE border region. A few supercells will be possible across the region this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail. The tornado threat will also increase with cells near and south of the warm front, and a strong tornado cannot be ruled out with any persistent discrete supercell. Some upscale growth will be possible with time from eastern KS into western MO, with a storm cluster or small MCS potentially following in the wake of an earlier storm cluster into parts of southern MO by the end of the period. ...South FL... Isolated strong to locally severe storms remain possible for a couple hours this evening across parts of south FL, within a moderately unstable and modestly sheared environment. Isolated hail and strong wind gusts cannot be ruled out before storms weaken later tonight. ...Parts of MS/AL... A few strong storms are ongoing this evening across parts of eastern MS into AL. While midlevel lapse rates are generally weak across the region, rich low-level moisture is supporting MLCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg, in the presence of moderate effective shear (generally 30-40 kt). Isolated hail and damaging gusts cannot be ruled out with the strongest storms this evening, before storms generally weaken as MLCINH increases. ...Western PA/northern WV into parts of the Mid Atlantic... Strong to occasionally severe storms have been ongoing across parts of PA/WV and northern MD this evening, within an environment characterized by weak to locally moderate buoyancy and modest deep-layer shear. These storms should generally weaken with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, though isolated damaging gusts and marginal hail cannot be ruled out through the evening. ..Dean.. 05/26/2024 Read more

WW 0307 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 307 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-093-095-133-143-151-193-207-237-253-281-307- 333-353-363-399-411-417-429-441-447-451-503-260140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO EASTLAND ERATH FISHER HAMILTON HASKELL JACK JONES LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MILLS NOLAN PALO PINTO RUNNELS SAN SABA SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0307 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 307 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-093-095-133-143-151-193-207-237-253-281-307- 333-353-363-399-411-417-429-441-447-451-503-260140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO EASTLAND ERATH FISHER HAMILTON HASKELL JACK JONES LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MILLS NOLAN PALO PINTO RUNNELS SAN SABA SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0307 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 307 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-093-095-133-143-151-193-207-237-253-281-307- 333-353-363-399-411-417-429-441-447-451-503-260140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO EASTLAND ERATH FISHER HAMILTON HASKELL JACK JONES LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MILLS NOLAN PALO PINTO RUNNELS SAN SABA SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0307 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 307 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-093-095-133-143-151-193-207-237-253-281-307- 333-353-363-399-411-417-429-441-447-451-503-260140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO EASTLAND ERATH FISHER HAMILTON HASKELL JACK JONES LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MILLS NOLAN PALO PINTO RUNNELS SAN SABA SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0307 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 307 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-093-095-133-143-151-193-207-237-253-281-307- 333-353-363-399-411-417-429-441-447-451-503-260140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO EASTLAND ERATH FISHER HAMILTON HASKELL JACK JONES LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MILLS NOLAN PALO PINTO RUNNELS SAN SABA SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0307 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 307 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC049-059-081-083-093-095-133-143-151-193-207-237-253-281-307- 333-353-363-399-411-417-429-441-447-451-503-260140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO EASTLAND ERATH FISHER HAMILTON HASKELL JACK JONES LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MILLS NOLAN PALO PINTO RUNNELS SAN SABA SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 307 TORNADO TX 251915Z - 260200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 307 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northwest Texas * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Isolated supercell thunderstorms will move east across the watch area through early this evening. Very large hail, up to 4 inches in diameter, will be possible in addition to a couple of tornadoes and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Abilene TX to 60 miles south southwest of Brownwood TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 306... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27020. ...Bunting Read more

WW 0309 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 309 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 309 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC009-017-027-029-041-051-053-061-089-105-111-113-115-117-123- 127-141-143-149-157-159-161-163-165-167-169-183-197-201- 260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON CHASE CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON ELLIS ELLSWORTH GEARY JEWELL LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS OSBORNE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC RICE RILEY ROOKS RUSH RUSSELL SALINE SMITH WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0310 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 310 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE AKO TO 35 SE MHN. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 310 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC125-260140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE YUMA KSC023-039-065-137-147-153-260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM NORTON PHILLIPS RAWLINS NEC001-019-029-035-041-047-057-059-061-063-065-073-077-079-081- 083-085-087-093-099-111-113-121-125-129-137-143-145-163-169-175- 181-185-260140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BUFFALO CHASE Read more

WW 0308 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 308 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WSW AVK TO 30 WNW AVK TO 30 NW P28 TO 30 SSW RSL. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 308 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-015-019-035-049-073-077-079-095-151-155-173-185-191- 260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN PRATT RENO SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER OKC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-037-039-043- 045-047-049-051-053-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-083- 085-087-093-095-099-103-107-109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-137- 141-149-151-153-260140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COAL COMANCHE COTTON Read more

WW 0308 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 308 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WSW AVK TO 30 WNW AVK TO 30 NW P28 TO 30 SSW RSL. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 308 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-015-019-035-049-073-077-079-095-151-155-173-185-191- 260140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN PRATT RENO SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER OKC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-037-039-043- 045-047-049-051-053-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-083- 085-087-093-095-099-103-107-109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-137- 141-149-151-153-260140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COAL COMANCHE COTTON Read more

MD 0958 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 308... FOR NORTHWEST OK...SOUTH-CENTRAL KS
Mesoscale Discussion 0958 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0607 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Areas affected...Northwest OK...South-Central KS Concerning...Tornado Watch 308... Valid 252307Z - 260030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 308 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for tornadoes and very large hail up to 4" in diameter continues across northwest Oklahoma and south-Central KS. DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery has shown several splitting supercells over the past hour or so, with the right-moving supercell over Comanche County KS appearing to be the strongest at this time. Recent VAD profile from KVNX has shown a notable increase in low-level shear, with the most recent scans sampling over 200 m2/s2 of 0-1 km storm-relative helicity. Organized structure of this storm coupled with ample downstream shear and buoyancy suggests this storm will likely maintain its intensity for at least the next hour. Consequently, there is likely a corridor of greater tornado potential for the next hour or two. Very large hail will also remain possible with the left-split moving across Edwards County. The storm farther south in Woodward County also has a favorable environment downstream, but potential interactions with the supercell moving northward across Blaine and Kingfisher casts some doubt regarding its evolution. Even with this uncertainty, the strength of the vertical shear suggest that eventual re-organization is likely even if negative interference is realized. As with the northern storms, very large hail will remain possible with any left-splits, including the one currently moving in northern Woodward and eastern Harper Counties. ..Mosier/Moore.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC... LAT...LON 37699973 38179930 38019787 37559742 36229772 35939936 36669968 37699973 Read more

MD 0957 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 308... FOR SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL OK...FAR NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0957 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0540 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Areas affected...Southwest/Central/South-Central OK...Far Northwest/North-Central TX Concerning...Tornado Watch 308... Valid 252240Z - 260015Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 308 continues. SUMMARY...All severe hazards, including very large hail up to 4" and strong tornadoes, remain possible into central/south-central OK and north-central TX. DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery has shown a messy convective evolution across northwest TX and southwest OK over the past two hours, with the initially close-proximity initiation and numerous left-splits contributing to numerous interactions. Some trend back to a more discrete mode may be evolving, with 2 right-moving supercells now apparent over Cotton County OK, and Archer and Clay Counties in northwest TX. The southernmost supercell appears to be the strongest currently, with strong low-level rotation and 60 kft echo tops both noted in recent radar imagery. Despite some boundary-layer cooling due to anvil shading, the airmass ahead of these cells is still extremely buoyant. Mesoanalysis estimates a large area of 3500-4000 J/kg of MLCAPE remains from northwest TX/southwest OK into central/south-central OK and north-central TX. Strong vertical shear exists as well, with over 60 kt of 0-6 km bulk shear sampled with the VAD profiles at both KFDR and KTLX. Some modest convective inhibition is likely in place downstream, particularly given the now cooler surface temperatures. However, the organized character to the ongoing storms coupled with increasing large-scale ascent, should help these storms persist in spite of this inhibition. The overall environment remains supportive of very large hail up to 4" in diameter, strong damaging gusts, and tornadoes. Some additional development is possible in the wake of this main cluster across southwest OK where the airmass remains unstable. There may be some influence from storm outflow, but the large-scale ascent is just now beginning to arrive in this area, with additional convective initiation still possible. ..Mosier.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 34819989 35569933 35789629 34439607 33559643 33449945 34819989 Read more

WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO 30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS TO 15 SSE VDI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COFFEE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON PIKE FLC059-063-131-133-252340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOLMES JACKSON WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275- 252340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO 30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS TO 15 SSE VDI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COFFEE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON PIKE FLC059-063-131-133-252340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOLMES JACKSON WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275- 252340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO 30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS TO 15 SSE VDI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COFFEE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON PIKE FLC059-063-131-133-252340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOLMES JACKSON WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275- 252340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more