Aggregator

WW 0318 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 318 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 318 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OHC005-007-013-019-029-031-035-055-059-067-075-081-085-093-099- 103-111-119-121-133-151-153-155-157-169-262140- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLAND ASHTABULA BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON CUYAHOGA GEAUGA GUERNSEY HARRISON HOLMES JEFFERSON LAKE LORAIN MAHONING MEDINA MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE PORTAGE STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS WAYNE PAC003-005-007-019-031-039-049-051-053-059-063-065-073-085-121- 125-129-262140- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER BUTLER CLARION CRAWFORD ERIE FAYETTE FOREST Read more

WW 0318 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 318 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 318 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OHC005-007-013-019-029-031-035-055-059-067-075-081-085-093-099- 103-111-119-121-133-151-153-155-157-169-262140- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLAND ASHTABULA BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON CUYAHOGA GEAUGA GUERNSEY HARRISON HOLMES JEFFERSON LAKE LORAIN MAHONING MEDINA MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE PORTAGE STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS WAYNE PAC003-005-007-019-031-039-049-051-053-059-063-065-073-085-121- 125-129-262140- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER BUTLER CLARION CRAWFORD ERIE FAYETTE FOREST Read more

MD 0976 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0976 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0129 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Areas affected...parts of southeast TX Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 261829Z - 262000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated storms over parts of southeast TX may persist with a risk for hail and damaging winds. Confidence in storm evolution is low and A WW is not expected. DISCUSSION...As of 1820 UTC, regional radar and satellite analysis showed isolated storms have developed along a low-level confluence axis near I-45 across southeast TX. Driven by increasing diurnal heating, localized confluence and subtle warm air advection aloft, these storms have continued to persist despite moderate MLCINH. Upper 70s to near 80s F surface dewpoints are supporting an incredibly moist air mass as temperatures rise into the low 90s F. While low-level lapse rates are poor, continued surface heating, and the deep/rich boundary-layer moisture will allow for 2500-4000 J/kg of MLCAPE. The magnitude of MLCAPE suggests established updrafts may continue and could intensify/redevelop. 40-50 kt of deep-layer shear could also support storm organization, though confidence in storm evolution is very low without large-scale forcing for ascent and warm temperatures aloft. Still, given the potential for strong updrafts and some risk for storm organization, isolated hail and damaging winds will be possible. Confidence in the overall evolution is very low, but convective trends will continued to be monitored. ..Lyons/Bunting.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD... LAT...LON 30779405 31089427 31359477 31449569 31219660 30969671 30699643 30459572 30319506 30589416 30779405 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more