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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0335 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0335 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0335 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0335 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0335 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0335 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 1015 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA INTO NORTHERN...CENTRAL...AND EASTERN IOWA
Mesoscale Discussion 1015 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0110 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Areas affected...portions of far southern Minnesota into northern...central...and eastern Iowa Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 271810Z - 271945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...An isolated hail and gusty wind threat will accompany the stronger storms through the afternoon. The severe threat should be isolated and a WW issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...The combination of deep-layer ascent with a mid-level trough grazing the Upper MS Valley, and strong diurnal heating, is contributing to the increase in coverage and intensity of thunderstorms over southern MN into northern IA. These storms will progress southeast in an environment characterized by steep low-level lapse rates, which will encourage strong wind gusts (perhaps a couple reaching severe limits) this afternoon. Given elongated hodographs, the longer-lasting multicells will be capable of producing some hail as well. However, the overall severe threat is expected to remain isolated and a WW issuance is not anticipated. ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD... LAT...LON 43799556 44239431 44089316 43559182 43119114 42439090 41889078 41189113 40809149 40729181 40869236 41399367 41919448 42509524 43409573 43799556 Read more

WW 0333 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 333 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NJC003-005-007-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-039- 041-272040- NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN ESSEX HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SOMERSET SUSSEX UNION WARREN NYC001-005-007-011-015-017-023-025-027-035-039-041-043-045-047- 049-053-057-061-065-067-071-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-093- 095-097-099-105-107-109-111-113-117-119-123-272040- NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBANY BRONX BROOME CAYUGA CHEMUNG CHENANGO CORTLAND DELAWARE DUTCHESS FULTON GREENE HAMILTON HERKIMER JEFFERSON KINGS Read more

MD 1014 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 1014 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Areas affected...portions of southeast Alabama into central and southern Georgia...southern South Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 271741Z - 271915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat will gradually increase into the afternoon. Large hail and damaging gusts are both a concern. A WW issuance will be needed in the next hour or so to address the severe threat. DISCUSSION...In addition to an ongoing supercell over western Georgia, thunderstorm development and intensification is underway over eastern AL. These storms are forming within an environment characterized by 80+ F surface temperatures and low to mid 70s F dewpoints, yielding 2000+ J/kg MLCAPE. Strong mid-level westerly flow is overspreading the region, contributing to 50+ kts of effective bulk shear. As such, multicell clusters and transient supercells should develop through the afternoon. Given steep low and mid-level lapse rates, these storms will be accompanied by severe hail and wind. A WW issuance will be needed in the next hour or so to address the impending severe threat. ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 31478808 32828525 33858301 33358046 32908022 32188041 31848099 31378402 31108540 30928624 30988755 31478808 Read more

WW 0334 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0334 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0334 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0334 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0334 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0334 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more