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WW 337 SEVERE TSTM AL FL CW 272210Z - 280300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 337 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 510 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Alabama Western Florida Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 510 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...A couple of clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely continue to develop late this afternoon into the evening. The stronger storms will potentially yield a risk for large hail and strong to severe gusts (55-70 mph) capable of wind damage. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles northwest of Mobile AL to 30 miles south southeast of Troy AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 333...WW 334...WW 335...WW 336... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27020. ...Smith Read more

MD 1021 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 335... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 1021 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Areas affected...portions of eastern North Carolina and eastern Virginia Concerning...Tornado Watch 335... Valid 272049Z - 272215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 335 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 335. Large hail and damaging gusts remain a concern. The best chance for tornadoes would be closer to the coastline ahead of ongoing storms. DISCUSSION...Multicells and transient supercells persist across northeastern NC and are moving northeast toward southeast VA. At the moment, these are the most robust storms across eastern NC/VA, though an increase in thunderstorm coverage is possible later this afternoon. Given widespread 1000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE and 40+ kts of effective bulk shear, most thunderstorms should maintain a multicellular or transient supercell mode through the afternoon. While a tornado or two cannot be ruled out anywhere across Tornado Watch 335 in eastern NC/VA, the best chance for tornadoes appears to be far southeast VA/northeast NC closer to the coast, where backed low-level winds are contributing to slightly larger low-level hodographs. ..Squitieri.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH... LAT...LON 35287618 35107687 35097749 35227810 35597877 38577787 39197739 39497704 39557671 39477624 38787584 37327586 35967591 35287618 Read more

MD 1020 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 333... FOR PORTIONS OF NY...PA AND NJ
Mesoscale Discussion 1020 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Areas affected...portions of NY...PA and NJ Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333... Valid 272040Z - 272215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333 continues. SUMMARY...Additional bands of thunderstorms are expected into early evening. Strong gusts and hail will be possible with these storms across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333. DISCUSSION...Some clearing is evident across western portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333, especially across central PA. Additional bands of thunderstorms are expected to develop as a cold front shifts east through evening. Surface dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s F are supporting modest instability amid moderate to strong deep-layer southwesterly flow. This should be sufficient for isolated severe thunderstorms producing gusts to near 60 mph. Any stronger cells also may produce small hail approaching 1 inch diameter. The severe risk should quickly diminish around sunset. ..Leitman.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...LWX... LAT...LON 44977493 43617407 39697437 39667742 44427669 44977493 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US. This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds. Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more