Aggregator

MD 1271 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN KANSAS...EASTERN NEBRASKA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY
Mesoscale Discussion 1271 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0305 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Areas affected...parts of northeastern Kansas...eastern Nebraska and adjacent portions of the Missouri Valley Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 152005Z - 152230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development appears increasingly probable through 5-7 PM CDT, including the evolution of a few supercells accompanied by the risk for large hail and a couple of tornadoes. DISCUSSION...Modification of the boundary layer, along the western flank of a convectively reinforced surface front, is well underway across portions of northeastern Kansas into eastern Nebraska. Moistening within a confluent regime includes surface dew points rising into the lower 70s, as insolation contributes to continuing surface heating. Mixed-layer CAPE appears to be increasing well in excess of 2000 J/kg, as mid-level inhibition gradually weakens. While the corridor of strongest destabilization is currently near/north and east of an axis (roughly) from Topeka KS through the Concordia KS and Grand Island NE vicinities, this is forecast to continue to shift slowly northward and eastward through early evening, in advance of weak mid-level troughing shifting toward the Missouri Valley (between Omaha and Sioux Falls). As an associated mid-level speed maximum (40+ kt around 700 mb) noses northeast of the central Kansas/Nebraska border, low-level warm advection and enlarging clockwise-curved low-level hodographs may become focused across the Columbus NE through Omaha vicinity, and provide support for intensifying thunderstorm development by 22-00Z. This may include a few supercells, with potential to produce large hail and a couple of tornadoes. ..Kerr/Gleason.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF... LAT...LON 41009827 42049849 42739714 41709593 39819581 39249677 39789781 41009827 Read more

WW 0418 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 418 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..06/15/24 ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...EAX...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 418 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC035-071-085-093-119-129-133-141-143-149-155-167-193-152340- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEROKEE FREMONT HARRISON IDA LYON MILLS MONONA O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH POTTAWATTAMIE SIOUX WOODBURY KSC013-117-131-157-201-152340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN MARSHALL NEMAHA REPUBLIC WASHINGTON MNC105-133-152340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0419 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 419 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..06/15/24 ATTN...WFO...EAX...ICT...TOP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 419 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC005-015-017-027-035-041-045-061-073-077-079-085-087-095-111- 113-115-127-139-143-149-155-161-169-173-177-191-197-152340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATCHISON BUTLER CHASE CLAY COWLEY DICKINSON DOUGLAS GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON KINGMAN LYON MCPHERSON MARION MORRIS OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO RILEY SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SUMNER WABAUNSEE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0420 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0420 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0420 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0420 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 420 SEVERE TSTM MT 152155Z - 160300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 420 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 355 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Montana * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until 900 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 85 mph likely Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...An intensifying broken band of thunderstorms is forecast to grow upscale into a squall line this afternoon and into the evening across the Watch area. Severe gusts (60-85 mph) will be the primary hazard with the band of storms. Large hail may accompany any more discrete storm on the south flank of the evolving thunderstorm activity during the evening, as well as perhaps a brief risk for a tornado. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast of Glasgow MT to 35 miles south southwest of Miles City MT. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 417...WW 418...WW 419... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 75 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 26040. ...Smith Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California Central Valley. On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is too low to highlight specific areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more