SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge. The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana, where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC MD 1750

1 year ago
MD 1750 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 568... FOR SOUTHEAST IA...NORTHEAST MO...AND WEST-CENTRAL IL
Mesoscale Discussion 1750 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Areas affected...southeast IA...northeast MO...and west-central IL Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568... Valid 302036Z - 302200Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568 continues. SUMMARY...Isolated cells may produce sporadic large hail to around 1.5 inches in diameter over the next couple of hours. Local extensions of WW 568 are possible. DISCUSSION...A band of supercells has persisted across southeast IA in a modest warm advection regime atop a capped boundary-layer. Moderate instability exists downstream, along with favorable vertical shear. However, multiple rounds of convection have impacted parts of the area in the past 12 hours. This will likely preclude upscale development, though some hail and gusty wind risk may linger for a couple more hours. WW 568 is set to expire at 21z, though local watch extensions are possible. ..Leitman.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX... LAT...LON 41449288 41049150 40479066 39809060 39679112 39709193 39989228 40839277 41269311 41449288 Read more

SPC MD 1748

1 year ago
MD 1748 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 570... FOR FAR SOUTHERN KY...MIDDLE AND EASTERN TN...WESTERN NC/SC...AND NORTHERN GA
Mesoscale Discussion 1748 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0301 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Areas affected...far southern KY...Middle and eastern TN...western NC/SC...and northern GA Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 570... Valid 302001Z - 302200Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 570 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 570. Some severe risk may extend southeast into parts of the western Carolinas and northern Georgia. This area is being monitored for possible downstream watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Ongoing linear cluster near the KY/TN border continues to produce sporadic wind damage this afternoon as convection develops southeast at around 40-45 kt. Additional more supercellular activity over eastern TN also have been sporadically severe. These areas of convection are occurring within a moderate to strongly unstable airmass within 30-40 kt northwesterly mid/upper flow regime. Deep-layer flow weakens with southward extent into SC and GA, but an overall favorable environment supporting at least sporadic strong to severe storms exists downstream from WW 570. Convective trends will continue to be monitored across Middle and eastern TN, and some potential for a downstream watch exists over parts of western NC/SC and northern GA. ..Leitman/Gleason.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX... LAT...LON 36638341 36018253 35488220 34848216 34398264 34248363 34648464 35518593 36658659 36908650 37028573 37018510 37008433 36638341 Read more

SPC MD 1749

1 year ago
MD 1749 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTH AND SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1749 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0303 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Areas affected...North and South Dakota Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 302003Z - 302200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is anticipated in the next 1-2 hours across the western Dakotas. Storms are expected to intensify as they migrate east into central North and South Dakota. Watch issuance is possible later this afternoon/evening as the severe threat becomes more prominent. DISCUSSION...Recent GOES visible imagery shows a gradual increase in cumulus along a surface trough and within the Black Hills in western SD. Mid to upper-level cirrus overspreading the region from the west is indicative of gradually increasing synoptic-scale ascent ahead of a mid-level shortwave trough over ID/MT. Thunderstorm development appears likely in the coming hours as ascent continues to increase and continued daytime heating erodes any lingering MLCIN. Initial thunderstorms across the western Dakotas will develop within a relatively dry/well-mixed environment with LCL heights between 3.0 to 3.5 km. This environment will favor strong downdraft accelerations and rapid cold pool development/expansion with an attendant severe wind risk. Convection is expected to intensify as it moves east through the evening hours and encounters a reservoir of richer low-level moisture (well-sampled by a recent 19 UTC ABR sounding). Adequate deep-layer wind shear (around 30-35 knots) should support organized convection. Storm coverage remains somewhat uncertain given weak forcing for ascent. While the environment may support a supercell or two this evening, clustering of initial cells is possible and may promote upscale growth and a more robust wind threat. Trends will be monitored and watch issuance may be needed later this afternoon or evening to address this concern. ..Moore/Gleason.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR... LAT...LON 44930049 44030188 43840218 43790254 43850287 44170313 44510327 44810330 46100323 46540311 46740298 47060283 47900222 48380147 48400078 48060016 47429973 46649967 46039979 45490003 44930049 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 571 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0571 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 571 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..07/30/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 571 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-005-013-021-025-027-049-051-055-059-061-065-069-077-081- 083-087-117-119-121-127-133-135-145-151-153-157-163-165-173-181- 189-191-193-199-302240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER BOND CALHOUN CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN GREENE HAMILTON HARDIN JACKSON JEFFERSON JERSEY JOHNSON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASSAC MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SALINE SHELBY UNION WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON KYC007-033-035-039-055-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-221-302240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 570 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0570 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 570 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N BNA TO 30 W CSV TO 40 SSW LOZ TO 40 SSE LOZ. ..KERR..07/30/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 570 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC039-043-302240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEROKEE CLAY TNC001-003-007-009-011-013-015-025-029-031-035-041-057-061-063- 065-089-093-105-107-115-117-121-123-129-139-141-143-145-149-151- 153-155-173-175-177-185-302240- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BEDFORD BLEDSOE BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON CLAIBORNE COCKE COFFEE CUMBERLAND DE KALB GRAINGER GRUNDY HAMBLEN HAMILTON JEFFERSON KNOX LOUDON MCMINN MARION MARSHALL MEIGS MONROE MORGAN POLK PUTNAM RHEA ROANE RUTHERFORD Read more

Stage 1 fire restrictions for Nebraska national forests and grasslands

1 year ago
Stage 1 Fire Restriction began Tuesday, July 30, due to the rapidly drying wildland fuels in Nebraska and predicted hot, dry weather. The restricted areas included Wall, Fall River and Pine Ridge Ranger Districts. The restrictions will remain in effect until conditions improve significantly to reduce the risk of human-caused wildfires. KNOP News 2 (North Platte, Neb.), July 29, 2024