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6 years ago
WW 0556 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 556
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW PIR TO
45 SSW ABR TO 35 W BKX.
..JEWELL..08/07/19
ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 556
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC031-103-070340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FOSTER WELLS
SDC017-059-065-069-075-085-115-117-119-070340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO HAND HUGHES
HYDE JONES LYMAN
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
6 years ago
WW 556 SEVERE TSTM ND SD 061950Z - 070400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 556
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
central and southern North Dakota
northern South Dakota
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to increase in coverage this
afternoon and continue into the evening. Initial primary threat will
be supercells with large to very large hail and downburst winds,
though a brief tornado cannot be ruled out. Threat will transition
to damaging wind as storms develop southeast into South Dakota this
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast
of Garrison ND to 75 miles south southwest of Aberdeen SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 555...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31035.
...Dial
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0557 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0557 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0557 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0557 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0557 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0557 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
6 years ago
MD 1656 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR MIDDLE TN...SOUTH-CENTRAL KY
Mesoscale Discussion 1656
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0819 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2019
Areas affected...Middle TN...South-central KY
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 070119Z - 070245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated damaging winds are possible until around 02-03Z
with ongoing thunderstorm complex, but a gradual weakening trend is
expected with time. Watch issuance is not anticipated.
DISCUSSION...Consolidation of earlier thunderstorms across KY has
resulted in a forward-propagating cluster moving into middle TN.
KOHX radar depicts surging outflow approaching the Nashville metro
area, which will result in a short-term damaging wind risk between
now and at least 02Z.
The 00Z BNA sounding was moderately unstable (MLCAPE ~1500 J/kg),
though low-level flow was weak and deep-layer shear only marginally
favorable for organized convection. With these factors in mind, a
gradual weakening trend is expected with time as the boundary layer
stabilizes this evening. However, some threat for damaging wind will
likely continue until around the 02-03Z timeframe as the complex and
associated cold pool continue southeastward across middle TN. Due to
the relatively limited duration of the anticipated threat, watch
issuance is not expected.
..Dean/Thompson.. 08/07/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...MEG...
LAT...LON 36408833 36528699 36878632 37148594 37338582 37288527
36548507 36098532 35578589 35348677 35358746 35398785
35558828 36088851 36408833
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0556 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 556
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE PHP
TO 40 SSW MBG TO 15 SSE MBG TO 45 NNE MBG TO 45 NE BIS TO 50 W
DVL.
..JEWELL..08/07/19
ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 556
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC021-031-043-045-047-051-093-103-070240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DICKEY FOSTER KIDDER
LAMOURE LOGAN MCINTOSH
STUTSMAN WELLS
SDC013-017-021-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-107-115-117-119-
129-070240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUFFALO CAMPBELL
EDMUNDS FAULK HAND
HUGHES HYDE JONES
LYMAN MCPHERSON POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
WALWORTH
Read more
6 years ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0757 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2019
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening into the
overnight hours across parts of the northern Plains, mainly across
parts of the central and eastern Dakotas into northern Nebraska.
...01Z Outlook Update...
...Dakotas/Nebraska...
Latest observational data and model output indicate that low-level
ridging remains a fairly prominent feature, centered across the mid
Missouri Valley, roughly between Pierre SD and Omaha NE. Some
erosion/weakening appears possible later this evening into the
overnight hours, as lower/mid tropospheric warm advection
strengthens across parts of south central South Dakota into northern
Nebraska, well ahead of a vigorous short wave trough and deepening
embedded mid-level low digging across Manitoba and northern Ontario.
Scattered thunderstorm development which initiated across
southwestern and central North Dakota, in response to a subtle
preceding perturbation migrating around the periphery of the western
U.S. mid/upper ridging, has shown recent signs of diminishing.
However, the environment across western and central Nebraska into
south central South Dakota, on the western periphery of the
low-level ridging into weak surface troughing, remains characterized
by moderate to strong potential instability (CAPE of 1500-3000
J/kg).
The latest Rapid Refresh continues to suggest that new vigorous
thunderstorm development is possible during the 03-06Z time frame in
response to forcing for ascent with the warm advection, perhaps
aided by a modest southwesterly low-level jet across the Nebraska
panhandle into the central South Dakota/Nebraska border area. In
the presence of strong shear beneath 30-40 kt northwesterly 500 mb
flow, some of this activity may become capable of producing severe
hail and strong wind gusts, with the evolution of an upscale growing
and organizing cluster of thunderstorms possible overnight.
...Parts of Tennessee Valley...
Instability ahead a conglomerate southward advancing, convectively
generated surface cold pool, modest deep-layer shear, and perhaps
forcing for ascent associated with a subtle perturbation within
broadly cyclonic mid-level flow, may maintain vigorous thunderstorm
activity south of the Kentucky/Tennessee border. This may be
accompanied by at least some continuing risk for wind gusts
approaching severe limits, across much of western and middle
Tennessee through 03-05Z, before activity begins to diminish in
weaker/waning instability.
..Kerr.. 08/07/2019
Read more
6 years ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0757 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2019
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening into the
overnight hours across parts of the northern Plains, mainly across
parts of the central and eastern Dakotas into northern Nebraska.
...01Z Outlook Update...
...Dakotas/Nebraska...
Latest observational data and model output indicate that low-level
ridging remains a fairly prominent feature, centered across the mid
Missouri Valley, roughly between Pierre SD and Omaha NE. Some
erosion/weakening appears possible later this evening into the
overnight hours, as lower/mid tropospheric warm advection
strengthens across parts of south central South Dakota into northern
Nebraska, well ahead of a vigorous short wave trough and deepening
embedded mid-level low digging across Manitoba and northern Ontario.
Scattered thunderstorm development which initiated across
southwestern and central North Dakota, in response to a subtle
preceding perturbation migrating around the periphery of the western
U.S. mid/upper ridging, has shown recent signs of diminishing.
However, the environment across western and central Nebraska into
south central South Dakota, on the western periphery of the
low-level ridging into weak surface troughing, remains characterized
by moderate to strong potential instability (CAPE of 1500-3000
J/kg).
The latest Rapid Refresh continues to suggest that new vigorous
thunderstorm development is possible during the 03-06Z time frame in
response to forcing for ascent with the warm advection, perhaps
aided by a modest southwesterly low-level jet across the Nebraska
panhandle into the central South Dakota/Nebraska border area. In
the presence of strong shear beneath 30-40 kt northwesterly 500 mb
flow, some of this activity may become capable of producing severe
hail and strong wind gusts, with the evolution of an upscale growing
and organizing cluster of thunderstorms possible overnight.
...Parts of Tennessee Valley...
Instability ahead a conglomerate southward advancing, convectively
generated surface cold pool, modest deep-layer shear, and perhaps
forcing for ascent associated with a subtle perturbation within
broadly cyclonic mid-level flow, may maintain vigorous thunderstorm
activity south of the Kentucky/Tennessee border. This may be
accompanied by at least some continuing risk for wind gusts
approaching severe limits, across much of western and middle
Tennessee through 03-05Z, before activity begins to diminish in
weaker/waning instability.
..Kerr.. 08/07/2019
Read more
6 years ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0757 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2019
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening into the
overnight hours across parts of the northern Plains, mainly across
parts of the central and eastern Dakotas into northern Nebraska.
...01Z Outlook Update...
...Dakotas/Nebraska...
Latest observational data and model output indicate that low-level
ridging remains a fairly prominent feature, centered across the mid
Missouri Valley, roughly between Pierre SD and Omaha NE. Some
erosion/weakening appears possible later this evening into the
overnight hours, as lower/mid tropospheric warm advection
strengthens across parts of south central South Dakota into northern
Nebraska, well ahead of a vigorous short wave trough and deepening
embedded mid-level low digging across Manitoba and northern Ontario.
Scattered thunderstorm development which initiated across
southwestern and central North Dakota, in response to a subtle
preceding perturbation migrating around the periphery of the western
U.S. mid/upper ridging, has shown recent signs of diminishing.
However, the environment across western and central Nebraska into
south central South Dakota, on the western periphery of the
low-level ridging into weak surface troughing, remains characterized
by moderate to strong potential instability (CAPE of 1500-3000
J/kg).
The latest Rapid Refresh continues to suggest that new vigorous
thunderstorm development is possible during the 03-06Z time frame in
response to forcing for ascent with the warm advection, perhaps
aided by a modest southwesterly low-level jet across the Nebraska
panhandle into the central South Dakota/Nebraska border area. In
the presence of strong shear beneath 30-40 kt northwesterly 500 mb
flow, some of this activity may become capable of producing severe
hail and strong wind gusts, with the evolution of an upscale growing
and organizing cluster of thunderstorms possible overnight.
...Parts of Tennessee Valley...
Instability ahead a conglomerate southward advancing, convectively
generated surface cold pool, modest deep-layer shear, and perhaps
forcing for ascent associated with a subtle perturbation within
broadly cyclonic mid-level flow, may maintain vigorous thunderstorm
activity south of the Kentucky/Tennessee border. This may be
accompanied by at least some continuing risk for wind gusts
approaching severe limits, across much of western and middle
Tennessee through 03-05Z, before activity begins to diminish in
weaker/waning instability.
..Kerr.. 08/07/2019
Read more
6 years ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0757 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2019
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening into the
overnight hours across parts of the northern Plains, mainly across
parts of the central and eastern Dakotas into northern Nebraska.
...01Z Outlook Update...
...Dakotas/Nebraska...
Latest observational data and model output indicate that low-level
ridging remains a fairly prominent feature, centered across the mid
Missouri Valley, roughly between Pierre SD and Omaha NE. Some
erosion/weakening appears possible later this evening into the
overnight hours, as lower/mid tropospheric warm advection
strengthens across parts of south central South Dakota into northern
Nebraska, well ahead of a vigorous short wave trough and deepening
embedded mid-level low digging across Manitoba and northern Ontario.
Scattered thunderstorm development which initiated across
southwestern and central North Dakota, in response to a subtle
preceding perturbation migrating around the periphery of the western
U.S. mid/upper ridging, has shown recent signs of diminishing.
However, the environment across western and central Nebraska into
south central South Dakota, on the western periphery of the
low-level ridging into weak surface troughing, remains characterized
by moderate to strong potential instability (CAPE of 1500-3000
J/kg).
The latest Rapid Refresh continues to suggest that new vigorous
thunderstorm development is possible during the 03-06Z time frame in
response to forcing for ascent with the warm advection, perhaps
aided by a modest southwesterly low-level jet across the Nebraska
panhandle into the central South Dakota/Nebraska border area. In
the presence of strong shear beneath 30-40 kt northwesterly 500 mb
flow, some of this activity may become capable of producing severe
hail and strong wind gusts, with the evolution of an upscale growing
and organizing cluster of thunderstorms possible overnight.
...Parts of Tennessee Valley...
Instability ahead a conglomerate southward advancing, convectively
generated surface cold pool, modest deep-layer shear, and perhaps
forcing for ascent associated with a subtle perturbation within
broadly cyclonic mid-level flow, may maintain vigorous thunderstorm
activity south of the Kentucky/Tennessee border. This may be
accompanied by at least some continuing risk for wind gusts
approaching severe limits, across much of western and middle
Tennessee through 03-05Z, before activity begins to diminish in
weaker/waning instability.
..Kerr.. 08/07/2019
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0555 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE VIH TO
40 SSW FAM TO 10 ENE POF TO 30 SSW CGI TO 25 S CGI TO 5 SSE CGI
TO 15 E CGI TO 20 NNE PAH TO 45 E OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1654
..DEAN..08/06/19
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...IND...LMK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-127-153-070040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER MASSAC PULASKI
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-
177-183-219-221-233-070040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG OHIO TODD
TRIGG WEBSTER
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0555 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE VIH TO
40 SSW FAM TO 10 ENE POF TO 30 SSW CGI TO 25 S CGI TO 5 SSE CGI
TO 15 E CGI TO 20 NNE PAH TO 45 E OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1654
..DEAN..08/06/19
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...IND...LMK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-127-153-070040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER MASSAC PULASKI
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-
177-183-219-221-233-070040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG OHIO TODD
TRIGG WEBSTER
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0555 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE VIH TO
40 SSW FAM TO 10 ENE POF TO 30 SSW CGI TO 25 S CGI TO 5 SSE CGI
TO 15 E CGI TO 20 NNE PAH TO 45 E OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1654
..DEAN..08/06/19
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...IND...LMK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-127-153-070040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER MASSAC PULASKI
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-
177-183-219-221-233-070040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG OHIO TODD
TRIGG WEBSTER
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0555 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE VIH TO
40 SSW FAM TO 10 ENE POF TO 30 SSW CGI TO 25 S CGI TO 5 SSE CGI
TO 15 E CGI TO 20 NNE PAH TO 45 E OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1654
..DEAN..08/06/19
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...IND...LMK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-127-153-070040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER MASSAC PULASKI
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-
177-183-219-221-233-070040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG OHIO TODD
TRIGG WEBSTER
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0555 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE VIH TO
40 SSW FAM TO 10 ENE POF TO 30 SSW CGI TO 25 S CGI TO 5 SSE CGI
TO 15 E CGI TO 20 NNE PAH TO 45 E OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1654
..DEAN..08/06/19
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...IND...LMK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-127-153-070040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER MASSAC PULASKI
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-
177-183-219-221-233-070040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG OHIO TODD
TRIGG WEBSTER
Read more
6 years ago
WW 555 SEVERE TSTM IL IN KY MO 061850Z - 070200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 555
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
southern Illinois
southern Indiana
western Kentucky
southeast Missouri
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered multicell storms will continue to intensify
within a strongly unstable environment and become capable of
producing isolated damaging wind and possibly some hail through
early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles north
northwest of Farmington MO to 30 miles east northeast of Evansville
IN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Dial
Read more
6 years ago
MD 1655 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 556... FOR FAR SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1655
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0619 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2019
Areas affected...far southern North Dakota into central South Dakota
and Nebraska
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 556...
Valid 062319Z - 070115Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 556
continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for damaging hail and wind continues, and will
likely extend south of watch 556. A new watch is likely for parts of
southern South Dakota into Nebraska by about 01Z.
DISCUSSION...Storms that formed near the surface trough have
solidified into large cells, with supercell characteristics at
times. Forecast soundings show a deep layer of steep lapse rates
owing to heating and cool temperatures aloft. Low-level winds are
weak currently, but hodographs are quite long with strong northwest
flow aloft.
Ongoing storms are currently within the surface theta-e axis, which
extends from the central Dakotas into central NE. East of this axis,
the air mass is much less unstable near the surface high, from
southeast SD across eastern NE and points east.
In the near term, storms are expected to continue
south/southeastward near the instability gradient, remaining mainly
cellular. Very large hail and localized wind damage will be
possible. Increasing southwesterly 850 mb winds this evening may aid
lift into eastern SD and NE, but the warm advection profiles are not
to be very pronounced. As such, the corridor of maximum threat
should generally extend south/southeast from the ongoing storm
cluster near the MO River in central SD.
..Jewell.. 08/06/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...
LAT...LON 44420068 44429825 43919791 43079760 42119749 41289728
41229730 41069785 40949860 41069907 41339949 42079988
44420068
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0556 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 556
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE Y22 TO
40 NW MBG TO 25 SE BIS TO 40 NNE BIS TO 45 ESE MOT AND 25 W Y22
TO 30 NNW Y22 TO 45 ENE DIK TO 35 SSW N60 TO 30 SE N60 TO 45 ESE
MOT.
..JEWELL..08/06/19
ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 556
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC015-021-029-031-043-045-047-051-083-085-093-103-070040-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURLEIGH DICKEY EMMONS
FOSTER KIDDER LAMOURE
LOGAN MCINTOSH SHERIDAN
SIOUX STUTSMAN WELLS
SDC013-017-021-031-041-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-107-115-
117-119-129-070040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JONES LYMAN
MCPHERSON POTTER SPINK
STANLEY SULLY WALWORTH
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0555 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE VIH
TO 20 SSW FAM TO 15 E CGI TO 20 ENE CGI TO 20 SE MDH TO 25 SSW
EVV TO 45 W SDF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1654
..DEAN..08/06/19
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...IND...LMK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-069-087-127-151-153-181-070040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
UNION
INC123-147-173-070040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PERRY SPENCER WARRICK
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-091-101-105-107-139-143-
145-149-157-177-183-219-221-225-233-070040-
KY
Read more
Checked
5 years 10 months ago
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