Severe Storms

MD 1680 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA
Mesoscale Discussion 1680 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0739 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Areas affected...southeastern Arizona Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 160039Z - 160245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Marginal risk for strong to severe wind will continue through the afternoon. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity continues across portions of southeastern Arizona, with occasional intense cores noted. Temperatures have warmed to the upper 90s to 100 F through the afternoon/evening with dew point spreads of around 40-45 degrees. The large dew point spread and low level lapse rates around 8-9 C/km will promote a few instances of severe wind. This threat looks to remain too localized for watch issuance. ..Thornton.. 07/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TWC... LAT...LON 32171206 32451187 32821104 32831019 32680968 32470936 32270924 31970925 31711011 31691091 31751151 31851180 32171206 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH Read more

WW 0516 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 516 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N OFK TO 30 NNW SUX TO 10 N FSD. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 516 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC035-071-085-093-119-129-133-141-143-149-155-167-193-160340- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEROKEE FREMONT HARRISON IDA LYON MILLS MONONA O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH POTTAWATTAMIE SIOUX WOODBURY KSC089-183-160340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL SMITH MNC101-105-117-133-160340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0514 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE GLD TO 25 NNW MCK TO 30 SSE BBW TO 20 ENE BUB TO 25 NNW OFK. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...OAX...LBF...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC137-147-160340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NORTON PHILLIPS NEC001-011-019-037-039-041-043-047-051-061-063-065-073-077-079- 083-087-093-099-119-121-125-137-139-141-145-163-167-175-179-183- 160340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BOONE BUFFALO COLFAX CUMING CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON DIXON FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS GOSPER GREELEY HALL HARLAN HITCHCOCK HOWARD KEARNEY MADISON MERRICK NANCE PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE RED WILLOW SHERMAN STANTON VALLEY WAYNE Read more

WW 0514 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE GLD TO 25 NNW MCK TO 30 SSE BBW TO 20 ENE BUB TO 25 NNW OFK. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...OAX...LBF...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC137-147-160340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NORTON PHILLIPS NEC001-011-019-037-039-041-043-047-051-061-063-065-073-077-079- 083-087-093-099-119-121-125-137-139-141-145-163-167-175-179-183- 160340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BOONE BUFFALO COLFAX CUMING CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON DIXON FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS GOSPER GREELEY HALL HARLAN HITCHCOCK HOWARD KEARNEY MADISON MERRICK NANCE PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE RED WILLOW SHERMAN STANTON VALLEY WAYNE Read more

WW 0514 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE GLD TO 25 NNW MCK TO 30 SSE BBW TO 20 ENE BUB TO 25 NNW OFK. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...OAX...LBF...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC137-147-160340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NORTON PHILLIPS NEC001-011-019-037-039-041-043-047-051-061-063-065-073-077-079- 083-087-093-099-119-121-125-137-139-141-145-163-167-175-179-183- 160340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BOONE BUFFALO COLFAX CUMING CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON DIXON FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS GOSPER GREELEY HALL HARLAN HITCHCOCK HOWARD KEARNEY MADISON MERRICK NANCE PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE RED WILLOW SHERMAN STANTON VALLEY WAYNE Read more

WW 0514 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE GLD TO 25 NNW MCK TO 30 SSE BBW TO 20 ENE BUB TO 25 NNW OFK. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...OAX...LBF...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC137-147-160340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NORTON PHILLIPS NEC001-011-019-037-039-041-043-047-051-061-063-065-073-077-079- 083-087-093-099-119-121-125-137-139-141-145-163-167-175-179-183- 160340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BOONE BUFFALO COLFAX CUMING CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON DIXON FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS GOSPER GREELEY HALL HARLAN HITCHCOCK HOWARD KEARNEY MADISON MERRICK NANCE PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE RED WILLOW SHERMAN STANTON VALLEY WAYNE Read more

WW 0514 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE GLD TO 25 NNW MCK TO 30 SSE BBW TO 20 ENE BUB TO 25 NNW OFK. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...OAX...LBF...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC137-147-160340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NORTON PHILLIPS NEC001-011-019-037-039-041-043-047-051-061-063-065-073-077-079- 083-087-093-099-119-121-125-137-139-141-145-163-167-175-179-183- 160340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BOONE BUFFALO COLFAX CUMING CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON DIXON FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS GOSPER GREELEY HALL HARLAN HITCHCOCK HOWARD KEARNEY MADISON MERRICK NANCE PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE RED WILLOW SHERMAN STANTON VALLEY WAYNE Read more

WW 514 SEVERE TSTM KS NE SD 152050Z - 160400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 514 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 350 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Kansas Western and Central Nebraska Southeast South Dakota * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop along a front this afternoon into the evening and grow upscale into a linear cluster. Large hail will be the primary severe hazard this afternoon before storms increase in coverage and congeal into one or two linear clusters. Severe gusts will become the primary severe hazard during the evening as this activity moves east-southeast across the Watch area. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast of Chamberlain SD to 20 miles south southeast of Mccook NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 513... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Smith Read more

WW 0515 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 515 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW CPR TO 50 NW CPR TO 30 W GCC. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...RIW... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 515 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS WYC019-025-160340- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JOHNSON NATRONA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 1681 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 515... FOR PARTS PF CENTRAL WYOMING
Mesoscale Discussion 1681 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Areas affected...parts pf central Wyoming Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 515... Valid 160056Z - 160230Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 515 continues. SUMMARY...A small cluster of thunderstorms may pose a continuing risk for severe hail and wind east of Lander toward areas near and south of Casper through 8-9 PM MDT. DISCUSSION...A small cluster of thunderstorms is maintaining intensity east of Lander and appears supported by low-level updraft inflow emanating from a well mixed boundary-layer characterized by CAPE on the order of 500-1000 J/kg. Objective analysis and model output suggest this environment extends in a narrow corridor across and southwest of Casper, into the western slopes of the Laramie Mountains. Although westerly deep-layer mean flow is weak, this is partially due to pronounced veering from low-level easterlies to mid-level westerlies, with Rapid Refresh forecast soundings from around Casper indicating some strengthening of wind fields contributing to strong shear during the next couple of hours. ..Kerr.. 07/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CYS...RIW... LAT...LON 43050782 43240636 42490555 42080624 42550726 43050782 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

WW 0515 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 515 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...RIW... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 515 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS WYC003-013-017-019-025-043-160240- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIG HORN FREMONT HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON NATRONA WASHAKIE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0516 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0516 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0514 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW LBF TO 15 NW BBW TO 15 WSW ONL TO 25 WSW YKN TO 30 N YKN TO 25 NE MHE. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...OAX...LBF...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC137-147-160240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NORTON PHILLIPS NEC001-003-011-019-027-029-037-039-041-043-047-051-061-063-065- 071-073-077-079-083-085-087-089-093-099-101-107-111-115-117-119- 121-125-135-137-139-141-145-163-167-175-179-183-160240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE BUFFALO CEDAR CHASE COLFAX CUMING CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON DIXON FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY HALL HARLAN HAYES HITCHCOCK HOLT HOWARD KEARNEY KEITH KNOX LINCOLN LOUP MCPHERSON Read more

WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

WW 513 SEVERE TSTM MI MN WI LS 151955Z - 160300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 513 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 255 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Upper Peninsula Michigan Central and North-Central Minnesota Northern Wisconsin Lake Superior * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely develop through the remainder of the afternoon and persist into the evening. The stronger thunderstorms will be capable of a risk for large hail and severe gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles south southwest of Alexandria MN to 115 miles east of Ironwood MI. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Smith Read more