Severe Storms

WW 0033 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 33 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE MOB TO 10 NNW PNS TO 15 NW CEW TO 30 W DHN TO 10 NNE DHN TO 30 NE DHN TO 40 WNW ABY TO 40 SSE CSG. ..JEWELL..03/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC045-061-067-069-091140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON FLC059-063-091-113-131-133-091140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-037-061-071-087-095-099-131-177-201-205-243-253-273-275- 287-321-091140- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 33 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 090805Z - 091600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 33 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle Southwestern Georgia Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday morning from 205 AM until 1000 AM CST. * Primary threats include... A couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A band of thunderstorms will continue shifting slowly eastward over the watch area through the remainder of the morning, as embedded strong-severe thunderstorms move rapidly along its axis. The environment has become and will remain favorable for occasional, embedded, potentially tornadic circulations. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west southwest of Pensacola FL to 25 miles north northeast of Moultrie GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Edwards Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... As upper trough amplification occurs over the West, low-level moisture return will ensue across the southern Plains and ArkLaTex through the early/mid part of the week including Days 4/5 Tuesday/Wednesday. Little severe potential is currently expected on Day 4/Tuesday. However, at least some risk for severe thunderstorms will probably exist on Day 5/Wednesday near the Texas/southern Oklahoma dryline, northeastward along the synoptic front across the lower Missouri Valley/Midwest. Lingering uncertainties regarding initial moisture return and destabilization preclude a 15% severe risk area at this time for Wednesday. A somewhat higher probability (15 percent) severe potential is perceived for Day 6/Thursday, particularly across central/northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex and southeast Oklahoma. This will be well ahead of the Southwest States upper low, with moderately strong southwesterly winds aloft expected atop 60s F surface dewpoints to the east of the dryline and near/southeast of the synoptic front across the southern Plains to lower Missouri Valley/Ozarks. At least some severe risk may expand eastward toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast into Day 7/Friday, but predictability is considerably more limited into this time frame. Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... Overall convective potential will be limited on Monday. A progressive and modestly amplified upper-level pattern will prevail over the CONUS with high pressure remaining prevalent east of the Rockies. Increasing moisture and steepening lapse rates associated with an inland-spreading upper trough over the Pacific Northwest could yield a few thunderstorms across the region, with little if any thunderstorm potential elsewhere. ..Guyer.. 03/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... Overall convective potential will be limited on Monday. A progressive and modestly amplified upper-level pattern will prevail over the CONUS with high pressure remaining prevalent east of the Rockies. Increasing moisture and steepening lapse rates associated with an inland-spreading upper trough over the Pacific Northwest could yield a few thunderstorms across the region, with little if any thunderstorm potential elsewhere. ..Guyer.. 03/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... Overall convective potential will be limited on Monday. A progressive and modestly amplified upper-level pattern will prevail over the CONUS with high pressure remaining prevalent east of the Rockies. Increasing moisture and steepening lapse rates associated with an inland-spreading upper trough over the Pacific Northwest could yield a few thunderstorms across the region, with little if any thunderstorm potential elsewhere. ..Guyer.. 03/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... Overall convective potential will be limited on Monday. A progressive and modestly amplified upper-level pattern will prevail over the CONUS with high pressure remaining prevalent east of the Rockies. Increasing moisture and steepening lapse rates associated with an inland-spreading upper trough over the Pacific Northwest could yield a few thunderstorms across the region, with little if any thunderstorm potential elsewhere. ..Guyer.. 03/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... Overall convective potential will be limited on Monday. A progressive and modestly amplified upper-level pattern will prevail over the CONUS with high pressure remaining prevalent east of the Rockies. Increasing moisture and steepening lapse rates associated with an inland-spreading upper trough over the Pacific Northwest could yield a few thunderstorms across the region, with little if any thunderstorm potential elsewhere. ..Guyer.. 03/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... Overall convective potential will be limited on Monday. A progressive and modestly amplified upper-level pattern will prevail over the CONUS with high pressure remaining prevalent east of the Rockies. Increasing moisture and steepening lapse rates associated with an inland-spreading upper trough over the Pacific Northwest could yield a few thunderstorms across the region, with little if any thunderstorm potential elsewhere. ..Guyer.. 03/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... Overall convective potential will be limited on Monday. A progressive and modestly amplified upper-level pattern will prevail over the CONUS with high pressure remaining prevalent east of the Rockies. Increasing moisture and steepening lapse rates associated with an inland-spreading upper trough over the Pacific Northwest could yield a few thunderstorms across the region, with little if any thunderstorm potential elsewhere. ..Guyer.. 03/09/2024 Read more