Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND LINCOLN NATIONAL FORREST REGION... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds. In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area. Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND LINCOLN NATIONAL FORREST REGION... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds. In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area. Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND LINCOLN NATIONAL FORREST REGION... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds. In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area. Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND LINCOLN NATIONAL FORREST REGION... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds. In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area. Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND LINCOLN NATIONAL FORREST REGION... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds. In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area. Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND LINCOLN NATIONAL FORREST REGION... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds. In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area. Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND LINCOLN NATIONAL FORREST REGION... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds. In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area. Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0922 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 298... FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0922 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Areas affected...south-central Oklahoma into northeastern Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298... Valid 240544Z - 240715Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298 continues. SUMMARY...Local risk for very large hail and/or strong/damaging winds continues. DISCUSSION...A couple of clusters of storms -- one over south-central Oklahoma and a separate one over southeastern Oklahoma and into northeastern Texas -- continue at this hour. Storms have maintained intensity, with a supercell now near the Fannin/Hunt County Line in Texas having turned strongly to the right over the past hour or so. This storm is likely producing very large hail -- potentially in excess of 2" in diameter -- at this time, and will near the southern bounds of the WW in the next hour or so. Local extension of the watch in area, south/southeast of this storm, may be needed. Elsewhere, the storm cluster over southeastern Oklahoma has also maintained intensity, with a 73 MPH gust recently measured in Stephens County OK. With an amply moist/unstable airmass downstream from this convection, expect the storms -- and attendant severe potential -- to continue over the next couple of hours. ..Goss.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 34739767 34749686 34159520 33339460 32909460 32579584 33399679 33759715 34739767 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will continue to dig down the Pacific coast today, and start to move inland near central CA and into the Great Basin this afternoon. A deepening surface cyclone will accompany this feature, and a tightening pressure gradient is expected from southern CA through northern NV. As a result, breezy southwest sustained surface winds will combine with low RH and increasingly receptive fuels across extreme southeastern NV and far western/northwestern AZ. The Elevated area has been extended westward to include the aforementioned region. Further east across southern AZ and western NM, low RH will remain common albeit with lower wind speeds. ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more