Severe Storms

MD 0954 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR MUCH OF WESTERN INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST TEXAS...AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0954 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0256 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Areas affected...much of western into central Oklahoma...northwest Texas...and south-central Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 251956Z - 252330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Tornadic supercells capable of dangerous tornadoes and extreme hail are expected to develop from northwest Texas into much of southwest and southern Oklahoma through evening. A similar threat is expected to develop with rapidly changing conditions this evening from northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas. DISCUSSION...Moisture continues to rapidly increase from northwest TX into southern OK, with 70s F dewpoints and increasing shear. Extreme instability will favor particularly large supercells, with right-moving cells possibly traveling for over 100 miles, producing periodic tornadoes and giant hail. The initial threat is from activity now developing over northwest TX, and this should spread north of the Red River and move into south-central OK by evening. Farther north, destabilization and a rapidly increasing low-level jet will result in a developing tornadic supercell threat into the evening. Storms may initialize near the TX Panhandle/OK border ot even toward the KS border over the next few hours. ..Jewell/Bunting.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 33370044 35180015 36779989 37479925 37759846 37849755 37779704 37569676 37079671 34199711 33789729 33429769 33369801 33370044 Read more

WW 0310 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0310 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 310 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 252325Z - 260600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 310 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 625 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado Northwest Kansas Southwest and Central Nebraska * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 625 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop this evening and potentially be capable of severe gusts and large hail. A couple of severe clusters may evolve with time as this activity moves east across southern Nebraska through the evening and into the early overnight hours. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west southwest of Imperial NE to 40 miles east of Grand Island NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 306...WW 307...WW 308...WW 309... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Smith Read more

WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO 30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS TO 15 SSE VDI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COFFEE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON PIKE FLC059-063-131-133-252340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOLMES JACKSON WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275- 252340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO 30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS TO 15 SSE VDI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COFFEE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON PIKE FLC059-063-131-133-252340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOLMES JACKSON WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275- 252340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 306 SEVERE TSTM AL FL GA 251655Z - 260000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 306 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Alabama Western Florida Panhandle Central and Southern Georgia * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms will move southeast across the watch area this afternoon, posing a risk for damaging wind gusts and large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles south of Troy AL to 85 miles northeast of Moultrie GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30025. ...Bunting Read more

WW 0309 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0309 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0309 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0309 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 309 TORNADO KS 252220Z - 260600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 309 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 520 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Northern Kansas * Effective this Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning from 520 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms, including supercells, are forecast to develop this evening on the northern periphery of increasing low-level moisture and buoyancy. The atmosphere will become increasingly favorable for the risk of tornadoes and large to very large hail into the evening as storms mature and move east across central and northern KS. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west of Russell KS to 30 miles east northeast of Manhattan KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 306...WW 307...WW 308... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Smith Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more