Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0318 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0318 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 0975 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR FAR EASTERN KENTUCKY...FAR NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...FAR SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...EXTREME WESTERN VIRGINIA...EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 0975 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1213 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Areas affected...far eastern Kentucky...far northeast Tennessee...far southern West Virginia...extreme western Virginia...extreme western North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 261713Z - 261845Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat is increasing across portions of the central Appalachians region as a line of storms approaches from the west. Damaging gusts are the main threat, though a QLCS tornado cannot be ruled out. A WW issuance will be needed soon to address the increasing severe threat. DISCUSSION...A mature QLCS continues to rapidly track eastward across the OH and TN Valley areas with an extensive history of damaging gusts, and numerous measured 45+ mph gusts (as sampled by the Kentucky Mesonet). Surface temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s to near 80F amid mid 60s F dewpoints, with MLCAPE exceeding 1000 J/kg. Effective bulk shear (with vectors oriented normal to the leading line of the approaching storms) is rapidly increasing to 50 kts as a 500 mb speed max approaches the central Appalachians. As such, damaging gusts are expected to continue east of Tornado Watch 315 for at least a few more hours, and a WW issuance will be needed downstream. ..Squitieri/Bunting.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL... LAT...LON 36168080 35708159 35618242 35798314 36018352 37078335 38048243 38328141 37858071 37098055 36168080 Read more

WW 0315 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE CHA TO 50 SE LOZ. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...JKL...MRX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC009-093-105-173-262340- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT KNOX LOUDON UNION THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0315 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE CHA TO 50 SE LOZ. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...JKL...MRX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC009-093-105-173-262340- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT KNOX LOUDON UNION THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0315 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HOP TO 10 ENE CKV TO 15 NE BWG TO 45 SSE SDF TO 30 NE SDF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0000 ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...JKL...MRX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-005-009-013-021-045-049-051-053-057-065-067-079-087- 109-113-121-125-129-137-141-147-151-155-167-169-171-173-179-189- 197-199-203-207-211-213-215-217-219-227-229-231-235-239- 261940- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON BARREN BELL BOYLE CASEY CLARK CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND ESTILL FAYETTE GARRARD GREEN JACKSON JESSAMINE KNOX LAUREL LEE LINCOLN LOGAN MCCREARY MADISON MARION MERCER METCALFE MONROE MONTGOMERY NELSON OWSLEY POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL SHELBY SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR TODD WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITLEY WOODFORD Read more

WW 0315 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HOP TO 10 ENE CKV TO 15 NE BWG TO 45 SSE SDF TO 30 NE SDF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0000 ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...JKL...MRX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-005-009-013-021-045-049-051-053-057-065-067-079-087- 109-113-121-125-129-137-141-147-151-155-167-169-171-173-179-189- 197-199-203-207-211-213-215-217-219-227-229-231-235-239- 261940- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON BARREN BELL BOYLE CASEY CLARK CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND ESTILL FAYETTE GARRARD GREEN JACKSON JESSAMINE KNOX LAUREL LEE LINCOLN LOGAN MCCREARY MADISON MARION MERCER METCALFE MONROE MONTGOMERY NELSON OWSLEY POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL SHELBY SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR TODD WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITLEY WOODFORD Read more

WW 0315 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HOP TO 10 ENE CKV TO 15 NE BWG TO 45 SSE SDF TO 30 NE SDF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0000 ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...JKL...MRX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-005-009-013-021-045-049-051-053-057-065-067-079-087- 109-113-121-125-129-137-141-147-151-155-167-169-171-173-179-189- 197-199-203-207-211-213-215-217-219-227-229-231-235-239- 261940- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON BARREN BELL BOYLE CASEY CLARK CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND ESTILL FAYETTE GARRARD GREEN JACKSON JESSAMINE KNOX LAUREL LEE LINCOLN LOGAN MCCREARY MADISON MARION MERCER METCALFE MONROE MONTGOMERY NELSON OWSLEY POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL SHELBY SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR TODD WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITLEY WOODFORD Read more

WW 0315 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HOP TO 10 ENE CKV TO 15 NE BWG TO 45 SSE SDF TO 30 NE SDF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0000 ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...JKL...MRX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 315 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-005-009-013-021-045-049-051-053-057-065-067-079-087- 109-113-121-125-129-137-141-147-151-155-167-169-171-173-179-189- 197-199-203-207-211-213-215-217-219-227-229-231-235-239- 261940- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON BARREN BELL BOYLE CASEY CLARK CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND ESTILL FAYETTE GARRARD GREEN JACKSON JESSAMINE KNOX LAUREL LEE LINCOLN LOGAN MCCREARY MADISON MARION MERCER METCALFE MONROE MONTGOMERY NELSON OWSLEY POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL SHELBY SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR TODD WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITLEY WOODFORD Read more

WW 315 TORNADO IN KY TN 261355Z - 262000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 315 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 855 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Indiana Western and Central Kentucky Western and Middle Tennessee * Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 855 AM until 300 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...A bowing complex of severe thunderstorms will continue moving rapidly east, with widespread damaging winds likely. Some gusts may exceed 75 mph. A few tornadoes are also possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles northwest of Fort Campbell KY to 40 miles south southeast of London KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 314... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27045. ...Bunting Read more

WW 0316 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 316 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...IWX...ILN...IND...JKL...LMK...RLX...CLE... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 316 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC001-003-009-029-031-035-041-047-065-075-115-135-137-139-155- 161-177-179-261940- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD DEARBORN DECATUR DELAWARE FAYETTE FRANKLIN HENRY JAY OHIO RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH SWITZERLAND UNION WAYNE WELLS KYC011-015-017-019-023-037-041-043-063-069-077-081-089-097-115- 117-127-135-161-165-175-181-187-191-201-205-237-261940- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BOONE BOURBON BOYD BRACKEN CAMPBELL CARROLL CARTER ELLIOTT FLEMING GALLATIN GRANT GREENUP HARRISON JOHNSON KENTON LAWRENCE LEWIS Read more

WW 0316 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 316 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/26/24 ATTN...WFO...IWX...ILN...IND...JKL...LMK...RLX...CLE... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 316 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC001-003-009-029-031-035-041-047-065-075-115-135-137-139-155- 161-177-179-261940- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD DEARBORN DECATUR DELAWARE FAYETTE FRANKLIN HENRY JAY OHIO RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH SWITZERLAND UNION WAYNE WELLS KYC011-015-017-019-023-037-041-043-063-069-077-081-089-097-115- 117-127-135-161-165-175-181-187-191-201-205-237-261940- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BOONE BOURBON BOYD BRACKEN CAMPBELL CARROLL CARTER ELLIOTT FLEMING GALLATIN GRANT GREENUP HARRISON JOHNSON KENTON LAWRENCE LEWIS Read more