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3 days 3 hours ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The upper-level trough within the Great Basin will make little
eastward progress on Thursday. The closed upper low will also
broaden through the period. Overall, mid-level winds will become
less intense across the eastern Great Basin. Furthermore, the
surface trough in the High Plains will weaken and shift east,
reducing the surface pressure gradient as well.
...Southern/Eastern Great Basin...
Despite the weakening trends in the mid-level winds, dry and breezy
conditions will still be possible during the afternoon. Models
suggest some potential for higher RH values than on Wednesday. This
will likely be due to slightly cooler temperatures and perhaps some
upper-level clouds. Surface winds may reach 15-20 mph and RH of
15-20% can be expected. Fire weather conditions will be locally
elevated as ERCs continue to show below average fuel dryness.
..Wendt.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
3 days 3 hours ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The upper-level trough within the Great Basin will make little
eastward progress on Thursday. The closed upper low will also
broaden through the period. Overall, mid-level winds will become
less intense across the eastern Great Basin. Furthermore, the
surface trough in the High Plains will weaken and shift east,
reducing the surface pressure gradient as well.
...Southern/Eastern Great Basin...
Despite the weakening trends in the mid-level winds, dry and breezy
conditions will still be possible during the afternoon. Models
suggest some potential for higher RH values than on Wednesday. This
will likely be due to slightly cooler temperatures and perhaps some
upper-level clouds. Surface winds may reach 15-20 mph and RH of
15-20% can be expected. Fire weather conditions will be locally
elevated as ERCs continue to show below average fuel dryness.
..Wendt.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
3 days 3 hours ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The upper-level trough within the Great Basin will make little
eastward progress on Thursday. The closed upper low will also
broaden through the period. Overall, mid-level winds will become
less intense across the eastern Great Basin. Furthermore, the
surface trough in the High Plains will weaken and shift east,
reducing the surface pressure gradient as well.
...Southern/Eastern Great Basin...
Despite the weakening trends in the mid-level winds, dry and breezy
conditions will still be possible during the afternoon. Models
suggest some potential for higher RH values than on Wednesday. This
will likely be due to slightly cooler temperatures and perhaps some
upper-level clouds. Surface winds may reach 15-20 mph and RH of
15-20% can be expected. Fire weather conditions will be locally
elevated as ERCs continue to show below average fuel dryness.
..Wendt.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
3 days 3 hours ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...Synopsis...
The upper-level trough in the West will continue its slow eastward
progress into the Great Basin. The mid-level jet will intensify
within the southern and eastern Great Basin. Cooler air aloft and
marginal mid-level ascent will also promote some convection in
Washington.
...Washington...
A pocket of drier fuels exists in the Columbia Basin and nearby
vicinity. Recent lightning activity has led to fire starts. Given
the current convection in Oregon moving north and west around the
upper-low, some lightning activity can be expected early this
morning. Additional thunderstorms appear possible during the
afternoon and perhaps again overnight tonight. However, those storms
may pose a lesser lightning ignition threat given increasing PWAT
values through the period.
...Eastern Nevada/western Utah...
Strong surface winds of 15-25 mph will overspread parts of the Great
Basin beneath the mid-level jet. RH could fall near 10% locally, but
15-20% will be more common. Given the potential for critical
meteorological conditions, elevated fire weather concerns are
expected despite the unfavorable to marginal fuel receptiveness in
these areas.
..Wendt.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
3 days 3 hours ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...Synopsis...
The upper-level trough in the West will continue its slow eastward
progress into the Great Basin. The mid-level jet will intensify
within the southern and eastern Great Basin. Cooler air aloft and
marginal mid-level ascent will also promote some convection in
Washington.
...Washington...
A pocket of drier fuels exists in the Columbia Basin and nearby
vicinity. Recent lightning activity has led to fire starts. Given
the current convection in Oregon moving north and west around the
upper-low, some lightning activity can be expected early this
morning. Additional thunderstorms appear possible during the
afternoon and perhaps again overnight tonight. However, those storms
may pose a lesser lightning ignition threat given increasing PWAT
values through the period.
...Eastern Nevada/western Utah...
Strong surface winds of 15-25 mph will overspread parts of the Great
Basin beneath the mid-level jet. RH could fall near 10% locally, but
15-20% will be more common. Given the potential for critical
meteorological conditions, elevated fire weather concerns are
expected despite the unfavorable to marginal fuel receptiveness in
these areas.
..Wendt.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
3 days 3 hours ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...Synopsis...
The upper-level trough in the West will continue its slow eastward
progress into the Great Basin. The mid-level jet will intensify
within the southern and eastern Great Basin. Cooler air aloft and
marginal mid-level ascent will also promote some convection in
Washington.
...Washington...
A pocket of drier fuels exists in the Columbia Basin and nearby
vicinity. Recent lightning activity has led to fire starts. Given
the current convection in Oregon moving north and west around the
upper-low, some lightning activity can be expected early this
morning. Additional thunderstorms appear possible during the
afternoon and perhaps again overnight tonight. However, those storms
may pose a lesser lightning ignition threat given increasing PWAT
values through the period.
...Eastern Nevada/western Utah...
Strong surface winds of 15-25 mph will overspread parts of the Great
Basin beneath the mid-level jet. RH could fall near 10% locally, but
15-20% will be more common. Given the potential for critical
meteorological conditions, elevated fire weather concerns are
expected despite the unfavorable to marginal fuel receptiveness in
these areas.
..Wendt.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
3 days 3 hours ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...Synopsis...
The upper-level trough in the West will continue its slow eastward
progress into the Great Basin. The mid-level jet will intensify
within the southern and eastern Great Basin. Cooler air aloft and
marginal mid-level ascent will also promote some convection in
Washington.
...Washington...
A pocket of drier fuels exists in the Columbia Basin and nearby
vicinity. Recent lightning activity has led to fire starts. Given
the current convection in Oregon moving north and west around the
upper-low, some lightning activity can be expected early this
morning. Additional thunderstorms appear possible during the
afternoon and perhaps again overnight tonight. However, those storms
may pose a lesser lightning ignition threat given increasing PWAT
values through the period.
...Eastern Nevada/western Utah...
Strong surface winds of 15-25 mph will overspread parts of the Great
Basin beneath the mid-level jet. RH could fall near 10% locally, but
15-20% will be more common. Given the potential for critical
meteorological conditions, elevated fire weather concerns are
expected despite the unfavorable to marginal fuel receptiveness in
these areas.
..Wendt.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
3 days 3 hours ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...Synopsis...
The upper-level trough in the West will continue its slow eastward
progress into the Great Basin. The mid-level jet will intensify
within the southern and eastern Great Basin. Cooler air aloft and
marginal mid-level ascent will also promote some convection in
Washington.
...Washington...
A pocket of drier fuels exists in the Columbia Basin and nearby
vicinity. Recent lightning activity has led to fire starts. Given
the current convection in Oregon moving north and west around the
upper-low, some lightning activity can be expected early this
morning. Additional thunderstorms appear possible during the
afternoon and perhaps again overnight tonight. However, those storms
may pose a lesser lightning ignition threat given increasing PWAT
values through the period.
...Eastern Nevada/western Utah...
Strong surface winds of 15-25 mph will overspread parts of the Great
Basin beneath the mid-level jet. RH could fall near 10% locally, but
15-20% will be more common. Given the potential for critical
meteorological conditions, elevated fire weather concerns are
expected despite the unfavorable to marginal fuel receptiveness in
these areas.
..Wendt.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
3 days 3 hours ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...Synopsis...
The upper-level trough in the West will continue its slow eastward
progress into the Great Basin. The mid-level jet will intensify
within the southern and eastern Great Basin. Cooler air aloft and
marginal mid-level ascent will also promote some convection in
Washington.
...Washington...
A pocket of drier fuels exists in the Columbia Basin and nearby
vicinity. Recent lightning activity has led to fire starts. Given
the current convection in Oregon moving north and west around the
upper-low, some lightning activity can be expected early this
morning. Additional thunderstorms appear possible during the
afternoon and perhaps again overnight tonight. However, those storms
may pose a lesser lightning ignition threat given increasing PWAT
values through the period.
...Eastern Nevada/western Utah...
Strong surface winds of 15-25 mph will overspread parts of the Great
Basin beneath the mid-level jet. RH could fall near 10% locally, but
15-20% will be more common. Given the potential for critical
meteorological conditions, elevated fire weather concerns are
expected despite the unfavorable to marginal fuel receptiveness in
these areas.
..Wendt.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
3 days 4 hours ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible over parts of the
Northwest and northern Rockies with more isolated storms over the
High Plains. Severe potential is generally low.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
An upper low will remain nearly stationary over the western states
with a large area of cyclonic flow aloft from southern CA into the
eastern Great Basin and central Rockies. Meanwhile, another broad
but weaker upper trough will affect the eastern states with cool air
aloft extending from the MS Valley into the Northeast. Between these
two troughs, an upper ridge will exist over the Plains, with upper
high over western TX.
At the surface, high pressure will extend southward across the Great
Lakes and into much of the East, resulting in stable conditions.
Weak southerly winds across the Plains will maintain pockets of 50s
and low 60s F dewpoints, with greater moisture along the TX Coast.
Early day storms are likely to be ongoing over KS into northern OK,
but are expected to dwindle during the day. A few strong wind gusts
cannot be ruled out prior to this activity weakening. Otherwise, a
few isolated cells may occur from northeast NM into eastern WY
during the late afternoon with heating and weak upslope flow.
Warming aloft is expected to mitigate overall potential.
Elsewhere, scattered afternoon storms will occur beneath the upper
trough from northern NV into OR and western ID, and a few of these
storms could produce at least small hail given such cool
temperatures aloft and modest deep-layer shear.
..Jewell/Wendt.. 09/10/2025
Read more
3 days 4 hours ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible over parts of the
Northwest and northern Rockies with more isolated storms over the
High Plains. Severe potential is generally low.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
An upper low will remain nearly stationary over the western states
with a large area of cyclonic flow aloft from southern CA into the
eastern Great Basin and central Rockies. Meanwhile, another broad
but weaker upper trough will affect the eastern states with cool air
aloft extending from the MS Valley into the Northeast. Between these
two troughs, an upper ridge will exist over the Plains, with upper
high over western TX.
At the surface, high pressure will extend southward across the Great
Lakes and into much of the East, resulting in stable conditions.
Weak southerly winds across the Plains will maintain pockets of 50s
and low 60s F dewpoints, with greater moisture along the TX Coast.
Early day storms are likely to be ongoing over KS into northern OK,
but are expected to dwindle during the day. A few strong wind gusts
cannot be ruled out prior to this activity weakening. Otherwise, a
few isolated cells may occur from northeast NM into eastern WY
during the late afternoon with heating and weak upslope flow.
Warming aloft is expected to mitigate overall potential.
Elsewhere, scattered afternoon storms will occur beneath the upper
trough from northern NV into OR and western ID, and a few of these
storms could produce at least small hail given such cool
temperatures aloft and modest deep-layer shear.
..Jewell/Wendt.. 09/10/2025
Read more
3 days 4 hours ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible over parts of the
Northwest and northern Rockies with more isolated storms over the
High Plains. Severe potential is generally low.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
An upper low will remain nearly stationary over the western states
with a large area of cyclonic flow aloft from southern CA into the
eastern Great Basin and central Rockies. Meanwhile, another broad
but weaker upper trough will affect the eastern states with cool air
aloft extending from the MS Valley into the Northeast. Between these
two troughs, an upper ridge will exist over the Plains, with upper
high over western TX.
At the surface, high pressure will extend southward across the Great
Lakes and into much of the East, resulting in stable conditions.
Weak southerly winds across the Plains will maintain pockets of 50s
and low 60s F dewpoints, with greater moisture along the TX Coast.
Early day storms are likely to be ongoing over KS into northern OK,
but are expected to dwindle during the day. A few strong wind gusts
cannot be ruled out prior to this activity weakening. Otherwise, a
few isolated cells may occur from northeast NM into eastern WY
during the late afternoon with heating and weak upslope flow.
Warming aloft is expected to mitigate overall potential.
Elsewhere, scattered afternoon storms will occur beneath the upper
trough from northern NV into OR and western ID, and a few of these
storms could produce at least small hail given such cool
temperatures aloft and modest deep-layer shear.
..Jewell/Wendt.. 09/10/2025
Read more
3 days 4 hours ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible over parts of the
Northwest and northern Rockies with more isolated storms over the
High Plains. Severe potential is generally low.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
An upper low will remain nearly stationary over the western states
with a large area of cyclonic flow aloft from southern CA into the
eastern Great Basin and central Rockies. Meanwhile, another broad
but weaker upper trough will affect the eastern states with cool air
aloft extending from the MS Valley into the Northeast. Between these
two troughs, an upper ridge will exist over the Plains, with upper
high over western TX.
At the surface, high pressure will extend southward across the Great
Lakes and into much of the East, resulting in stable conditions.
Weak southerly winds across the Plains will maintain pockets of 50s
and low 60s F dewpoints, with greater moisture along the TX Coast.
Early day storms are likely to be ongoing over KS into northern OK,
but are expected to dwindle during the day. A few strong wind gusts
cannot be ruled out prior to this activity weakening. Otherwise, a
few isolated cells may occur from northeast NM into eastern WY
during the late afternoon with heating and weak upslope flow.
Warming aloft is expected to mitigate overall potential.
Elsewhere, scattered afternoon storms will occur beneath the upper
trough from northern NV into OR and western ID, and a few of these
storms could produce at least small hail given such cool
temperatures aloft and modest deep-layer shear.
..Jewell/Wendt.. 09/10/2025
Read more
3 days 4 hours ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible over parts of the
Northwest and northern Rockies with more isolated storms over the
High Plains. Severe potential is generally low.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
An upper low will remain nearly stationary over the western states
with a large area of cyclonic flow aloft from southern CA into the
eastern Great Basin and central Rockies. Meanwhile, another broad
but weaker upper trough will affect the eastern states with cool air
aloft extending from the MS Valley into the Northeast. Between these
two troughs, an upper ridge will exist over the Plains, with upper
high over western TX.
At the surface, high pressure will extend southward across the Great
Lakes and into much of the East, resulting in stable conditions.
Weak southerly winds across the Plains will maintain pockets of 50s
and low 60s F dewpoints, with greater moisture along the TX Coast.
Early day storms are likely to be ongoing over KS into northern OK,
but are expected to dwindle during the day. A few strong wind gusts
cannot be ruled out prior to this activity weakening. Otherwise, a
few isolated cells may occur from northeast NM into eastern WY
during the late afternoon with heating and weak upslope flow.
Warming aloft is expected to mitigate overall potential.
Elsewhere, scattered afternoon storms will occur beneath the upper
trough from northern NV into OR and western ID, and a few of these
storms could produce at least small hail given such cool
temperatures aloft and modest deep-layer shear.
..Jewell/Wendt.. 09/10/2025
Read more
3 days 4 hours ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible over parts of the
Northwest and northern Rockies with more isolated storms over the
High Plains. Severe potential is generally low.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
An upper low will remain nearly stationary over the western states
with a large area of cyclonic flow aloft from southern CA into the
eastern Great Basin and central Rockies. Meanwhile, another broad
but weaker upper trough will affect the eastern states with cool air
aloft extending from the MS Valley into the Northeast. Between these
two troughs, an upper ridge will exist over the Plains, with upper
high over western TX.
At the surface, high pressure will extend southward across the Great
Lakes and into much of the East, resulting in stable conditions.
Weak southerly winds across the Plains will maintain pockets of 50s
and low 60s F dewpoints, with greater moisture along the TX Coast.
Early day storms are likely to be ongoing over KS into northern OK,
but are expected to dwindle during the day. A few strong wind gusts
cannot be ruled out prior to this activity weakening. Otherwise, a
few isolated cells may occur from northeast NM into eastern WY
during the late afternoon with heating and weak upslope flow.
Warming aloft is expected to mitigate overall potential.
Elsewhere, scattered afternoon storms will occur beneath the upper
trough from northern NV into OR and western ID, and a few of these
storms could produce at least small hail given such cool
temperatures aloft and modest deep-layer shear.
..Jewell/Wendt.. 09/10/2025
Read more
3 days 7 hours ago
WW 0609 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 609
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..09/10/25
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 609
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-017-061-063-099-125-100340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CHEYENNE KIOWA
KIT CARSON PROWERS YUMA
KSC023-055-067-071-075-081-093-109-171-181-187-193-199-203-
100340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE FINNEY GRANT
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LOGAN SCOTT
SHERMAN STANTON THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
3 days 7 hours ago
WW 609 SEVERE TSTM CO KS 092050Z - 100300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 609
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM MDT Tue Sep 9 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Western Kansas
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop and intensify
through the late afternoon and early evening across the watch area.
Large hail will be the main concern, along with gusty winds in the
strongest storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest
of Burlington CO to 30 miles north of Garden City KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
34015.
...Hart
Read more
3 days 8 hours ago
MD 2056 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 609... FOR CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 2056
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0726 PM CDT Tue Sep 09 2025
Areas affected...Central High Plains
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 609...
Valid 100026Z - 100230Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 609
continues.
SUMMARY...Hail threat is expected to persist with storms this
evening, along with some wind risk.
DISCUSSION...Isolated strong-severe thunderstorms are shifting
slowly southeast across the central High Plains this evening. Strong
boundary-layer heating has proven instrumental in this activity
attaining severe levels as lapse rates are seasonally steep across
this region. However, over the next few hours, nocturnal cooling
will lead to increasing CINH and surface-based updrafts should being
to struggle as they decouple from the boundary layer. 00z sounding
from DDC exhibits this trend with weak inhibition noted around 1km.
Even so, LLJ is forecast to increase after sunset and this should
aid one or more elevated thunderstorm clusters that should propagate
across western KS. Hail is the primary concern with this activity.
..Darrow.. 09/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 40000304 39380072 37350072 37980304 40000304
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
3 days 8 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Tue Sep 09 2025
Valid 100100Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible over the central and
southern High Plains this evening.
...Central High Plains...
Widely scattered strong to severe storms persist this evening from
far eastern CO and western KS into the TX Panhandle. The most likely
area for continued severe storms producing hail and strong gusts
appears to be over western KS, beneath the cooler temperatures
aloft, and currently within instability axis. Increasing winds
around 850 mb may further support storms through the evening with
southeastward-moving cells.
For more information see mesoscale discussion 2056.
..Jewell.. 09/10/2025
Read more
3 days 8 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Tue Sep 09 2025
Valid 100100Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible over the central and
southern High Plains this evening.
...Central High Plains...
Widely scattered strong to severe storms persist this evening from
far eastern CO and western KS into the TX Panhandle. The most likely
area for continued severe storms producing hail and strong gusts
appears to be over western KS, beneath the cooler temperatures
aloft, and currently within instability axis. Increasing winds
around 850 mb may further support storms through the evening with
southeastward-moving cells.
For more information see mesoscale discussion 2056.
..Jewell.. 09/10/2025
Read more
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5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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