Severe Storms

MD 0244 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR CENTRAL WI...SOUTHERN MI UPPER PENINSULA
Mesoscale Discussion 0244 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Areas affected...Central WI...southern MI Upper Peninsula Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 191717Z - 192015Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow, with rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour, will continue and expand northeast across the discussion area this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Upper-level low pressure over northeast KS will continue moving steadily east as an accompanying surface low moves from northern MO into northern IL by late afternoon. As surface temperatures cool, snow will expand in coverage in response to increasing large-scale ascent and spread northeast through late afternoon. Intensifying frontogenetic forcing within the 850-700 mb layer will contribute to snowfall rates of one inch per hour becoming widespread, and weak elevated buoyancy/embedded convective elements will result in areas of locally higher rates of up to 2 inches per hour. As the surface low moves east-northeast, strong/gusty north to northeast winds of 30 to 45 mph with higher gusts will result in areas of whiteout conditions. ..Bunting.. 03/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX... LAT...LON 44879176 45958887 45948825 45868769 45548739 45218731 44858762 44588854 44408918 44069019 43859097 43959155 44229180 44429185 44679185 44879176 Read more

WW 0057 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 57 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE BRL TO 30 SE MLI TO 40 E MLI. ..KERR..03/19/25 ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...LOT...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 57 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-011-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-045-049-051- 053-057-063-075-079-091-093-095-099-101-105-107-113-115-121-123- 125-129-135-139-143-147-155-159-167-173-175-179-183-197-203- 192040- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND BUREAU CHAMPAIGN CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FORD FULTON GRUNDY IROQUOIS JASPER KANKAKEE KENDALL KNOX LA SALLE LAWRENCE LIVINGSTON LOGAN MCLEAN MACON MARION MARSHALL MASON MENARD MONTGOMERY MOULTRIE PEORIA PIATT PUTNAM RICHLAND SANGAMON SHELBY STARK TAZEWELL VERMILION WILL WOODFORD Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well. A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to 25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph. A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to the Gold Coast and Miami Metro. ..Thornton.. 03/19/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%) expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20 mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions. Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more