Aggregator

MD 0034 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR EASTERN/CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0034 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Areas affected...Eastern/Central North Carolina and southern Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 091832Z - 091930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Strong southeasterly flow is destabilizing eastern North Carolina and southern Virginia. This will increase the severe weather threat this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Instability is currently weak across much of North Carolina. However, southeasterly moisture advection is gradually destabilizing the airmass. By later this afternoon, some damaging wind threat is expected to materialize as the squall line moves into more substantial Gulf Stream moisture. Given the very strong wind field, even the current weak instability could support some damaging wind gusts with the threat increasing through the afternoon. The strong low-level speed and directional shear will support some tornado threat, but mid 60s dewpoints will likely be needed for a more substantial threat, which will not arrive until later this afternoon across eastern North Carolina. A watch will be issued soon to address this threat. ..Bentley/Hart.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK... LAT...LON 35618023 36108034 36448043 36758043 37017936 37117857 37007748 36317702 35737698 34917672 34677671 34517703 34247752 33807783 33677800 33687836 34707955 35618023 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more