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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few general thunderstorms may occur over the upper Mississippi Valley on Thursday. Severe weather is unlikely. ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a large upper trough will affect much of the western and central CONUS, with a primary embedded shortwave trough developing from the central Plains into the mid MS Valley. The parent upper low will deepen slightly through the period as it moves from the Dakotas into MN. At the surface, low pressure will follow a similar path to the upper low, being vertically stacked. A broad fetch of southwesterly low-level flow will spread northward ahead of the low, but low-level moisture will lag, as will destabilization. While cold air aloft and areas of daytime heating may lead to weak instability over the upper MS Valley, substantial midlevel drying will also occur. As such, the plume of 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints across the Sabine Valley is expected to remain inactive as ascent will be well north of that area. Elevated CAPE up to 250 J/kg may support scattered weak convection north of the midlevel jet, most likely from MN into WI during the afternoon. The weak instability levels should preclude any severe threat. ..Jewell.. 02/06/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will progress toward the East Coast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the Plains states tomorrow/Wednesday. Surface high pressure and associated dry air (i.e. RH below 35 percent in spots) will linger around the Appalachians and points east. A surface cyclone will develop over the northern High Plains, encouraging moisture return across the southern and central Plains, but dry downslope flow across portions of far western Texas. In general, fuels remain poorly receptive to fire spread in most locations, precluding the introduction of fire weather highlights anywhere across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will progress toward the East Coast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the Plains states tomorrow/Wednesday. Surface high pressure and associated dry air (i.e. RH below 35 percent in spots) will linger around the Appalachians and points east. A surface cyclone will develop over the northern High Plains, encouraging moisture return across the southern and central Plains, but dry downslope flow across portions of far western Texas. In general, fuels remain poorly receptive to fire spread in most locations, precluding the introduction of fire weather highlights anywhere across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will progress toward the East Coast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the Plains states tomorrow/Wednesday. Surface high pressure and associated dry air (i.e. RH below 35 percent in spots) will linger around the Appalachians and points east. A surface cyclone will develop over the northern High Plains, encouraging moisture return across the southern and central Plains, but dry downslope flow across portions of far western Texas. In general, fuels remain poorly receptive to fire spread in most locations, precluding the introduction of fire weather highlights anywhere across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will progress toward the East Coast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the Plains states tomorrow/Wednesday. Surface high pressure and associated dry air (i.e. RH below 35 percent in spots) will linger around the Appalachians and points east. A surface cyclone will develop over the northern High Plains, encouraging moisture return across the southern and central Plains, but dry downslope flow across portions of far western Texas. In general, fuels remain poorly receptive to fire spread in most locations, precluding the introduction of fire weather highlights anywhere across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will progress toward the East Coast as a pronounced mid-level trough ejects into the Plains states tomorrow/Wednesday. Surface high pressure and associated dry air (i.e. RH below 35 percent in spots) will linger around the Appalachians and points east. A surface cyclone will develop over the northern High Plains, encouraging moisture return across the southern and central Plains, but dry downslope flow across portions of far western Texas. In general, fuels remain poorly receptive to fire spread in most locations, precluding the introduction of fire weather highlights anywhere across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the central and eastern CONUS today as a mid-level trough impinges on the Rocky Mountains. Rain and snow accompanying the mid-level trough will continue across California into the Interior West while surface high pressure will encourage relatively weak surface winds atop poorly receptive fuels east of the Rockies. The net result will be quiescent fire weather conditions across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the central and eastern CONUS today as a mid-level trough impinges on the Rocky Mountains. Rain and snow accompanying the mid-level trough will continue across California into the Interior West while surface high pressure will encourage relatively weak surface winds atop poorly receptive fuels east of the Rockies. The net result will be quiescent fire weather conditions across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the central and eastern CONUS today as a mid-level trough impinges on the Rocky Mountains. Rain and snow accompanying the mid-level trough will continue across California into the Interior West while surface high pressure will encourage relatively weak surface winds atop poorly receptive fuels east of the Rockies. The net result will be quiescent fire weather conditions across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the central and eastern CONUS today as a mid-level trough impinges on the Rocky Mountains. Rain and snow accompanying the mid-level trough will continue across California into the Interior West while surface high pressure will encourage relatively weak surface winds atop poorly receptive fuels east of the Rockies. The net result will be quiescent fire weather conditions across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the central and eastern CONUS today as a mid-level trough impinges on the Rocky Mountains. Rain and snow accompanying the mid-level trough will continue across California into the Interior West while surface high pressure will encourage relatively weak surface winds atop poorly receptive fuels east of the Rockies. The net result will be quiescent fire weather conditions across the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

The Flathead River was flowing at a third of its normal average for this time of year. Flathead Lake was two feet lower than normal, causing many boat owners to take their boats out of the lake. Business owners that cater to the recreationists worry about lost revenue as boaters stay away. Full fishing closures began on Wednesday, July 26 and hoot-owl restrictions for numerous rivers and streams in western Montana as intense heat continued. Full fishing closures included the Madison River from the Warm Springs Day Use Area to the Madison Dam and portions of the Clark Fork River, specifically within 100 yards of where that river meets the St. Regis River, Cedar Creek or Fish Creek. Hoot-owl restrictions, which prohibit fishing between 2 p.m. and midnight, were announced for the Clark Fork River from the confluence with the Flathead River to the confluence of Warm Springs Creek and Silver Bow Creek; sections of the Big Hole River; and the Gallatin River from the confluence with the Missouri River to Nixon Bridge near the confluence with the East Gallatin River. Stage I fire restrictions begin on Saturday, July 29 and prohibit campfires in most areas and smoking outside unless inside a vehicle or in an area cleared of flammable materials. The campfire ban includes Flathead, Lincoln and Sanders counties, the Flathead and Kootenai national forests, Glacier National Park, and land managed by the Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation and Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks. A fire warden in Flathead County said that firefighters have dealt with two to three new wildfires every afternoon. Montana Free Press (Helena, Mont.), July 26, 2023

Saguaro cacti in Arizona are leaning, losing arms and sometimes falling over amid the state's extreme heat. Summer monsoon rains have not yet arrived. Plant physiologists at the Desert Botanical Garden in Phoenix thought that the plants were well adapted to heat and drought, but cacti succumbing to the harsh conditions have disproved that assumption. Reuters (New York), July 26, 2023

Lafourche Parish restaurants were beginning to get crawfish in, and prices were $6 to $7 per pound or more, which was higher than customers were used to paying for the mudbugs after the heat and drought of last summer. Recent rain will improve availability as the crawfish season wears on, but prices should remain high over the next several weeks. Cold temperatures have affected spawning with fewer juvenile crawfish around, which points toward a smaller crop. Despite the high prices, restaurants routinely sold out of the item. Lafourche Gazette (Raceland, La.), Feb 6, 2024 The poor crawfish harvest in Louisiana after drought and heat in 2023 means a shortage of crawfish for Mardi Gras. One tavern always celebrates Fat Tuesday (Feb. 13 this year) with a crawfish boil, but will have to switch to a low country boil with shrimp this year. WBRC-TV Fox 6 Birmingham (Ala.), Feb 5, 2024

Mandatory water use restrictions for Hanover have been lifted and replaced by voluntary ones. The Sheppard Myers Reservoir, Hanover’s primary water source, was at full capacity. York Dispatch (Pa.), Feb 6, 2024 Hanover water customers were ordered to mandatorily conserve water, due to low rainfall and the ongoing renovation of the Sheppard-Myers reservoir. Those who violate the mandate may lose water service. Water customers in Penn and Heidelberg townships in York County and Conewago Township and McSherrystown in Adams County were expected to abide by the same mandate as they receive water from Hanover. York Dispatch (Pa.), Nov 21, 2023

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Feb 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will remain over the West on Wednesday, with an intense shortwave moving from northern Mexico into the southern Plains. Behind this lead wave, low heights with cold temperatures aloft will remain over the West Coast as a backside wave pushes south along the coast. Preceding the Plains wave, low pressure will develop over the central and northern Plains, with increasing southerly winds at the surface. However, given the prominent surface ridge over the East, poor moisture return is forecast. Indeed, little to no instability is forecast to develop over the central High Plains in the synoptically favored area, though weak elevated instability cannot be ruled out. Overall, the threat of thunderstorms across the warm sector is very low. A greater chance of scattered thunderstorms will occur beneath the cold air aloft and mainly confined to the Four Corners states, and perhaps near the Coastal Range in southern CA. Favored areas for diurnal development will be along the Mogollon Rim and perhaps over the higher terrain of northern NM. While sporadic lightning flashes cannot be ruled out over parts of the central Plains, chances appear less than 10% at this time. ..Jewell.. 02/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Feb 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will remain over the West on Wednesday, with an intense shortwave moving from northern Mexico into the southern Plains. Behind this lead wave, low heights with cold temperatures aloft will remain over the West Coast as a backside wave pushes south along the coast. Preceding the Plains wave, low pressure will develop over the central and northern Plains, with increasing southerly winds at the surface. However, given the prominent surface ridge over the East, poor moisture return is forecast. Indeed, little to no instability is forecast to develop over the central High Plains in the synoptically favored area, though weak elevated instability cannot be ruled out. Overall, the threat of thunderstorms across the warm sector is very low. A greater chance of scattered thunderstorms will occur beneath the cold air aloft and mainly confined to the Four Corners states, and perhaps near the Coastal Range in southern CA. Favored areas for diurnal development will be along the Mogollon Rim and perhaps over the higher terrain of northern NM. While sporadic lightning flashes cannot be ruled out over parts of the central Plains, chances appear less than 10% at this time. ..Jewell.. 02/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Feb 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will remain over the West on Wednesday, with an intense shortwave moving from northern Mexico into the southern Plains. Behind this lead wave, low heights with cold temperatures aloft will remain over the West Coast as a backside wave pushes south along the coast. Preceding the Plains wave, low pressure will develop over the central and northern Plains, with increasing southerly winds at the surface. However, given the prominent surface ridge over the East, poor moisture return is forecast. Indeed, little to no instability is forecast to develop over the central High Plains in the synoptically favored area, though weak elevated instability cannot be ruled out. Overall, the threat of thunderstorms across the warm sector is very low. A greater chance of scattered thunderstorms will occur beneath the cold air aloft and mainly confined to the Four Corners states, and perhaps near the Coastal Range in southern CA. Favored areas for diurnal development will be along the Mogollon Rim and perhaps over the higher terrain of northern NM. While sporadic lightning flashes cannot be ruled out over parts of the central Plains, chances appear less than 10% at this time. ..Jewell.. 02/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Feb 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will remain over the West on Wednesday, with an intense shortwave moving from northern Mexico into the southern Plains. Behind this lead wave, low heights with cold temperatures aloft will remain over the West Coast as a backside wave pushes south along the coast. Preceding the Plains wave, low pressure will develop over the central and northern Plains, with increasing southerly winds at the surface. However, given the prominent surface ridge over the East, poor moisture return is forecast. Indeed, little to no instability is forecast to develop over the central High Plains in the synoptically favored area, though weak elevated instability cannot be ruled out. Overall, the threat of thunderstorms across the warm sector is very low. A greater chance of scattered thunderstorms will occur beneath the cold air aloft and mainly confined to the Four Corners states, and perhaps near the Coastal Range in southern CA. Favored areas for diurnal development will be along the Mogollon Rim and perhaps over the higher terrain of northern NM. While sporadic lightning flashes cannot be ruled out over parts of the central Plains, chances appear less than 10% at this time. ..Jewell.. 02/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 PM CST Mon Feb 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will remain over the West on Wednesday, with an intense shortwave moving from northern Mexico into the southern Plains. Behind this lead wave, low heights with cold temperatures aloft will remain over the West Coast as a backside wave pushes south along the coast. Preceding the Plains wave, low pressure will develop over the central and northern Plains, with increasing southerly winds at the surface. However, given the prominent surface ridge over the East, poor moisture return is forecast. Indeed, little to no instability is forecast to develop over the central High Plains in the synoptically favored area, though weak elevated instability cannot be ruled out. Overall, the threat of thunderstorms across the warm sector is very low. A greater chance of scattered thunderstorms will occur beneath the cold air aloft and mainly confined to the Four Corners states, and perhaps near the Coastal Range in southern CA. Favored areas for diurnal development will be along the Mogollon Rim and perhaps over the higher terrain of northern NM. While sporadic lightning flashes cannot be ruled out over parts of the central Plains, chances appear less than 10% at this time. ..Jewell.. 02/06/2024 Read more