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WW 0009 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more

WW 0009 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more

WW 0009 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more

WW 0009 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more

WW 0009 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more

MD 0048 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHEAST AR...WESTERN TN...EXTREME NORTHWEST MS...MO BOOTHEEL REGION
Mesoscale Discussion 0048 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Areas affected...Northeast AR...Western TN...Extreme northwest MS...MO Bootheel region Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 120713Z - 120915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Some threat for isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts is expected early this morning. Short-term watch issuance is unlikely, though another round of potentially severe storms is expected later this morning. DISCUSSION...Multiple bowing storm clusters are moving across east-central/northeast AR early this morning, with observed wind gusts in the 40-45 kt (with one 54 kt gust recently noted at KARG in the wake of the line) and potentially large hail noted in MRMS data. These storms are generally northeast of the primary low-level moist axis, and will likely continue to be somewhat elevated as they move east-northeastward toward western TN and the MO Bootheel region. However, steepening midlevel lapse rates and strong deep-layer flow/shear (as noted in the 06Z LZK sounding and regional VWPs) in advance of a strong mid/upper-level shortwave trough will continue to support organized convection early this morning, with some threat for isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts. Given the somewhat elevated nature of the ongoing storms and a likely tendency for this convection to move out of the primary instability axis, short-term watch issuance is unlikely. However, another round of organized convection is expected later this morning, as the upstream shortwave and its attendant strong forcing and powerful flow fields overspread the region. ..Dean/Edwards.. 01/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG... LAT...LON 36499058 36728991 36678924 36138923 35628917 34958952 34728977 34558993 34519031 34599059 34689077 34889087 35359086 36499058 Read more

WW 9 TORNADO AR LA OK TX 120355Z - 121000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 9 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 955 PM CST Thu Jan 11 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of parts of western and central Arkansas northwestern Louisiana southeastern Oklahoma northeast Texas * Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 955 PM until 400 AM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Strong/locally severe thunderstorms have developed this evening across the Arkansas vicinity, with additional storm development expected over the next couple of hours along the cold front, across northeastern Texas and spreading across the Arklatex region overnight. The strongest storms across this region will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail, with a couple of tornadoes also possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles north of Corsicana TX to 45 miles east of Hot Springs AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 23040. ...Goss Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more