Aggregator

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z ...Day 3-4/Thursday-Friday... An upper-level low will usher in deeper monsoon moisture into the Desert Southwest and Greater Four Corners region through the end of the week aiding in promoting heavier rainfall with primarily diurnally driven thunderstorms over higher terrain. Dry thunderstorm threat will remain on the fringes of the deeper monsoon moisture across the eastern Great Basin, northern UT and Western Slope on Day 3/Thursday, moving even further north into the central ID/southwest MT mountains on Day 4/Friday. Increasing westerly flow associated with an approaching mid-level short wave will usher in stronger onshore winds into the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Friday, increasing fire weather concerns east of the Cascades in WA/OR. ...Day 5-6/Saturday-Sunday... Breezy and dry conditions expand into the Northwestern U.S. as the mid-level trough moves into the region. 40 percent probabilities of critical fire weather conditions were added to the Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain where fuels are receptive to fire spread. The aforementioned trough and enhanced deep layer westerly flow will aid in the evacuation of monsoon moisture from the Western U.S., pushing thunderstorm development primarily along and east of the Continental Divide, south of the Mogollon Rim by Day 6/Sunday. ...Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday... Uncertainty increases early next week regarding strength of troughing across the Pacific Northwest, precluding introduction of critical probabilities at this time. However, ensemble guidance does indicate a general troughing pattern holding on into early next week, which typically would bring dry, southwest flow and fire weather concerns to the Great Basin and portions of the Intermountain West. ..Williams.. 07/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..07/15/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-061-071-103-131-152240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC HOUGHTON IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON MNC001-003-009-017-023-025-035-059-065-067-093-095-097-115-121- 141-145-151-153-171-152240- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN ANOKA BENTON CARLTON CHIPPEWA CHISAGO CROW WING ISANTI KANABEC KANDIYOHI MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON PINE POPE SHERBURNE STEARNS SWIFT TODD WRIGHT WIC003-005-007-013-031-051-095-099-107-113-125-129-152240- Read more

WW 0514 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0514 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0514 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0514 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more