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MD 0011 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 1... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LA
Mesoscale Discussion 0011 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Areas affected...portions of central and northern LA Concerning...Tornado Watch 1... Valid 051823Z - 052000Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 1 continues. SUMMARY...Some increase in tornado potential is expected over the next 1-3 hours across portions of central and northern Louisiana and vicinity. DISCUSSION...Surface dewpoints have increased to the 64-67 F degree range in a relatively narrow corridor ahead of the eastward-advancing cold front and QLCS. Convection within this corridor is strengthening within a zone of modest low-level confluence. Isolated, semi-discrete cells have occasionally shown moderate low and midlevel rotation. If this convection can continue to mature as it moves through the moist axis and a zone of relatively higher 0-1 km SRH, tornado potential may increase the next couple of hours. Additionally, convection along the cold front may also intensify as it moves into this more favorable environment. ..Leitman.. 01/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV... LAT...LON 31069257 30959282 30879302 30859321 30859355 30969374 31039384 31289384 31759356 32689271 32799246 32879210 32799188 32549182 32009200 31309235 31069257 Read more

WW 0002 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 2 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..01/05/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LCH...JAN...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 2 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC107-052240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PHILLIPS LAC009-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-065-077-083-091-097-107-121- 123-125-052240- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE AVOYELLES CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE FRANKLIN MADISON POINTE COUPEE RICHLAND ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TENSAS WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA MSC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-037-043-049- 051-053-055-063-065-071-077-079-083-085-089-095-097-099-105-107- 113-115-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-147-149-151-155-157-159- 161-163-052240- Read more

WW 0002 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0002 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0002 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0002 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0001 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 1 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW UTS TO 45 NE LFK TO 15 SSE ELD TO 10 ENE PBF. ..LEITMAN..01/05/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-011-017-041-043-079-139-052040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY BRADLEY CHICOT DESHA DREW LINCOLN UNION LAC003-011-013-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-067-069-073-079-081- 085-111-115-127-052040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE UNION VERNON WINN Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...Discussion... In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS. In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern Mexico. Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving overnight across central and southern Arizona. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period. ..Goss.. 01/05/2025 Read more

WW 0001 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 1 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N UTS TO 20 SE GGG TO 35 SE TXK TO 30 W PBF. ..LEITMAN..01/05/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-079-103-139-051940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY BRADLEY CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA DREW LINCOLN OUACHITA UNION LAC003-011-013-015-017-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-067-069-073- 079-081-085-111-115-119-127-051940- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE UNION VERNON WEBSTER WINN Read more