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2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO NEW YORK...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe storms are possible Saturday from the
northern Great Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Synopsis and discussion...
On Saturday, an upper low will move from ID into Canada, with a mean
trough over the Northwest. A belt of strong flow aloft will remain
from the eastern Great Basin into eastern MT, coincident with a
tight midlevel temperature gradient. At the surface, low pressure
will extend from MN into the central High Plains, with drier
westerly winds from MT into the Dakotas.
To the east, an upper high will remain situated over the TN Valley,
with ridge building northward across the Great Lakes and parts of
the Northeast. While early day storms are possible in a warm
advection zone from northern WI across MI and into northern OH, the
rising heights associated with this ridge will likely allow these
storms to dissipate by late morning.
Late day/evening storms may develop over parts of NY into southern
New England beneath northwest flow aloft, and this development will
be aided by theta-e advection at 850 mb out of the west. Given this
influx of instability, potential will exist for isolated marginal
storms with hail or gusty winds.
To the west, while the upper Great Lakes/upper MS Valley region will
be quite unstable, daytime/evening development is less certain given
the upper ridge and minimal lift. However, hot temperatures near the
surface trough could be a favored area of isolated development.
Locally damaging gusts or marginal hail would be the most likely
threats.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2025
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0443 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0443 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 1366 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
Mesoscale Discussion 1366
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1247 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Areas affected...central Arkansas into western Mississippi
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 191747Z - 191915Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon
across central/southern Arkansas into western Mississippi
DISCUSSION...Storms have developed along a trailing outflow boundary
across central Arkansas and into western Mississippi early this
afternoon. Shear is relatively weak (25 knots per LZK VWP) and will
be weakening through the day. However, instability is very strong
across the region (2500-3000 J/kg MLCAPE) which will support some
threat for isolated damaging wind gusts. A watch is unlikely due to
the unorganized and expected isolated nature of the threat this
afternoon and perhaps into the early evening hours.
..Bentley/Hart.. 06/19/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...
LAT...LON 34989428 34729222 33979049 33139012 33139116 33669326
33959393 34199434 34429444 34989428
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 1364 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR MID-ATLANTIC REGION
Mesoscale Discussion 1364
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1222 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Areas affected...Mid-Atlantic Region
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 191722Z - 191915Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...Convection will gradually intensify as they move off the
Blue Ridge this afternoon. Damaging winds are the primary hazard,
though isolated large hail and a brief tornado or two are also
possible. A watch is likely.
DISCUSSION...Visible satellite shows convection gradually deepening
along the Blue Ridge in advance of an upper-level trough. Given the
upper 60s to low 70s F dewpoints and clear skies ahead of this
activity, the boundary-layer will continue to destabilize through
the afternoon. 30-35 kts of effective shear will likely mean broken
line segments as well as a few supercells.
The primary hazard this afternoon will be damaging winds,
particularly with any line segments that develop. Isolated large
hail is possible, but weak winds at upper levels and poor mid-level
lapse rates (sample by morning soundings across the region) should
limit that threat. Modest enhancement to the 850 mb winds will
promote sufficient low-level shear for the threat of a brief tornado
or two.
..Wendt/Hart.. 06/19/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...
LAT...LON 37618051 38657993 40287794 40817698 40697497 40177473
37627670 36947781 36707996 37018057 37618051
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
MD 1365 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 1365
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1232 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Areas affected...northeast Georgia...western South Carolina and
western North Carolina
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 191732Z - 191900Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected this
afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Low 70s dewpoints and mid 80s temperatures have yielded
1500 to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE from northeast Georgia to western North
Carolina. This moderate shear and convergence within a lee trough
and uncapped environment should result in scattered thunderstorm
activity this afternoon. Around 30 knots of shear is being sampled
by the GSP VWP which will be sufficient for some storm organization
across western South Carolina and western North Carolina. Farther
south, much weaker shear is present (15 knots per FFC VWP).
Therefore, despite very strong instability, the severe weather
threat should remain more isolated.
..Bentley/Hart.. 06/19/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...FFC...
LAT...LON 34268386 35198279 36388164 36628072 36648011 36477919
35547939 34228112 33558207 33438280 33548368 33798394
34268386
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0442 Status Updates
940-
STATUS REPORT ON WW 442
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..06/19/25
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...RNK...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 442
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-191940-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
DCC001-191940-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-
037-039-041-043-045-510-191940-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES DORCHESTER FREDERICK
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0442 Status Updates
940-
STATUS REPORT ON WW 442
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..06/19/25
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...RNK...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 442
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-191940-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
DCC001-191940-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-
037-039-041-043-045-510-191940-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES DORCHESTER FREDERICK
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0441 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 441
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..06/19/25
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...BGM...BTV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 441
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-003-005-007-009-013-015-191940-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD
MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN TOLLAND
WINDHAM
MAC003-011-013-015-027-191940-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE FRANKLIN HAMPDEN
HAMPSHIRE WORCESTER
NJC003-013-017-031-039-191940-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERGEN ESSEX HUDSON
PASSAIC UNION
Read more
2 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0441 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 441
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..06/19/25
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...BGM...BTV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 441
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-003-005-007-009-013-015-191940-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD
MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN TOLLAND
WINDHAM
MAC003-011-013-015-027-191940-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE FRANKLIN HAMPDEN
HAMPSHIRE WORCESTER
NJC003-013-017-031-039-191940-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERGEN ESSEX HUDSON
PASSAIC UNION
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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