SPC Aug 9, 2023 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 11 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1229 PM CDT Wed Aug 09 2023 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS/MID MISSOURI VALLEY AREA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the northern Plains, and from the Alabama vicinity to the coastal Carolinas/southeast Virginia on Thursday. ...Synopsis... Within the belt of moderate west-southwesterly mid-level flow across the U.S. Thursday, two short-wave troughs will be associated with two distinct areas of convective/severe potential. The first of these troughs is expected to cross the central and southern Appalachians region during the day, and then should move off the Mid-Atlantic/Carolina Coasts during the evening. Meanwhile, the second trough -- expected over the northern and central High Plains area early in the day --will move east-southeastward across the Plains through the afternoon, and to the Mid and Upper Mississippi Valley region by the end of the period. At the surface, a compact low/frontal system is forecast to cross the central and southern Appalachians region early, and then across Virginia and the Carolinas through the day. The front should clear the East coast from New Jersey southward through late afternoon/early evening, with the low then continuing across southern New England into the overnight hours. Meanwhile, a weaker low/trough is forecast to cross the Plains through the afternoon/evening hours. ...Parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions... Thunderstorms -- possibly in the form of an at least loosely organized band -- will likely be ongoing at the start of the period across the western Carolinas vicinity. These storms may be accompanied by ongoing risk for locally damaging wind gusts, and possibly a tornado. Some decrease in intensity may occur with this convection into the afternoon, though indications are that subsequent storm redevelopment may occur across the southeastern Virginia/eastern Carolinas area during the afternoon, ahead of the advancing cold front. These storms would also likely pose a risk for damaging winds locally, along with potential for hail and a tornado or two before storms move offshore during the evening. ...Northern Plains and Mid-Missouri Valley area... Diurnal heating ahead of an advancing/weak cool front will result in moderate afternoon warm-sector destabilization across the central and northern Plains region. As the boundary advances in tandem with weak upper short-wave troughing, isolated to widely scattered storm development is expected by latter stages of the afternoon period. CAM output from various models differs, with respect to storm coverage, though several suggest upscale/linear growth with time, and possibly even an eventual southeastward-moving, bowing MCS across the Mid-Missouri Valley area during the evening and possibly into the overnight hours. In any case, with 35 to 45 kt mid-level west-northwesterlies across the area, atop low-level southerly warm-sector winds, shear will support potential for organized storms, and attendant risks for locally damaging wind gusts, and severe-caliber hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out, mainly across the eastern South Dakota vicinity where slightly backed low-level flow is anticipated ahead of the weak surface low. While storm coverage remains uncertain, current indications are that upgrade to SLGT risk is warranted for the afternoon and evening hours. ...Southern New England... As a deepening surface low crosses southern New England during the second half of Thursday, meager CAPE may support a few thunderstorms. Within the northeast quadrant of the low -- across southeastern New England -- a very favorable flow field is anticipated, with low-level winds veering/increasing rapidly with height. While the thermodynamic deficiency that is anticipated should substantially limit overall potential, conditional risk for a couple of stronger wind gusts and/or a tornado or two is evident, mainly from late afternoon through late evening, until the low and associated front sweep northeastward/offshore. ..Goss.. 08/09/2023 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614 Status Reports

1 year 11 months ago
WW 0614 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 614 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WEINMAN..08/08/23 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 614 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC001-005-017-039-063-073-075-087-095-115-121-123-125-082240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE ELBERT KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD YUMA KSC023-153-181-193-199-082240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE RAWLINS SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-049-057-069-075-085-087-091-101- 105-111-113-117-123-135-157-161-165-171-082240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614

1 year 11 months ago
WW 614 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE WY 082035Z - 090400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 614 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 235 PM MDT Tue Aug 8 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado Northwest Kansas Western Nebraska Southeast Wyoming * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until 1000 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Widely scattered severe storms will develop through late afternoon/early evening across the region, including supercells capable of very large hail and some tornado risk, especially with the storms across far northeast Colorado/far northwest Kansas/far southwest Nebraska. Storms will gradually cluster by early evening with an increased potential for damaging winds, some of them capable of significantly strong and destructive winds. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 135 statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles south southwest of Torrington WY to 45 miles northeast of Imperial NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 613... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613 Status Reports

1 year 11 months ago
WW 0613 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 613 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE CEW TO 20 S DHN TO 15 WNW ABY TO 25 NW MCN. ..WEINMAN..08/08/23 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 613 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC069-082240- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOUSTON FLC059-063-131-133-082240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOLMES JACKSON WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-017-019-021-023-027-071-075-079-081-087-091-093-095-099- 131-153-155-173-177-185-193-201-205-225-235-253-261-271-275-277- 287-289-315-321-082240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613

1 year 11 months ago
WW 613 SEVERE TSTM AL FL GA 081905Z - 090100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 613 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 305 PM EDT Tue Aug 8 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Alabama Florida Panhandle Southern Georgia * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...Within a hot/very moist air mass, storms should continue to intensify across the region as they move eastward, including the potential development of some semi-organized clusters capable of wind damage. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles south of Troy AL to 60 miles northeast of Moultrie GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 11 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0429 PM CDT Tue Aug 08 2023 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z ...Texas... Extremely dry and warm conditions, with daily highs 100+ F degrees, will continue across central and southern Texas through the extended period. While light rainfall will be possible across portions of southwest/north central Texas, much of central Texas will likely remain dry through D8. High pressure building in across the Four Corners to the Southern Plains will keep winds mostly light, though locally breezy conditions may occur. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather concerns will be likely daily, with low confidence in any one corridor where sustained winds will support Critical risk probabilities. Though the winds will largely stay below criteria, expect continued potential for new fire starts and rapid fire growth in hot and unstable conditions and extremely critically dry fuels. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Potential remnants of tropical storm activity will spread northward into California and southern Oregon beginning D3 - Thursday through D4 - Friday. Recent model runs have been slower and drier with northern extent of the incoming moisture. Initial activity across central/northern California will likely be isolated, with low potential for a dry thunderstorm or two. Potential for thunderstorms will increase into D5 - Saturday and D6 - Sunday as better instability spreads across northern California. A mix of wet/dry storms with gusty and erratic winds may be possible. Confidence in coverage remains too low to include any areas at this time but this will be monitored in the coming days. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 615

1 year 11 months ago
WW 615 SEVERE TSTM FL GA SC CW 082130Z - 090300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 615 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 530 PM EDT Tue Aug 8 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Extreme northeast Florida Southeast Georgia Extreme southern South Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 530 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms will continue to spread eastward through late evening with the potential to produce occasional wind damage. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles northwest of Waycross GA to 60 miles east northeast of Brunswick GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 613...WW 614... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Thompson Read more

SPC Aug 8, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 11 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Tue Aug 08 2023 Valid 082000Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...FOCUSED ON THE NORTHEASTERN COLORADO VICINITY... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS REGION...AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorm potential persists across parts of the central Plains during the late afternoon into tonight. Large to very large hail, severe gusts, and a tornado or two are possible. Scattered damaging winds and isolated severe hail will also remain possible through early evening across parts of the Southeast. ...Discussion... The MRGL risk area over southeastern New England is being removed in this update, as earlier storms have moved offshore, and any risk with subsequent convection should remain low. Otherwise, no changes appear to be needed to existing lines and associated forecast reasoning, as evolution of the scenario continues according to prior expectations. ..Goss.. 08/08/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Tue Aug 08 2023/ ...Wyoming/northern Colorado to Central Plains... A prominent summertime shortwave trough will continue to advance southeastward over southeast Idaho/northern Utah into Wyoming today, with downstream height falls influencing the High Plains by evening. This scenario will enhance lee troughing, aiding a north-northwestward surge of low-level moisture through late afternoon/evening toward much of the Colorado Front Range and southeast Wyoming/Nebraska Panhandle. Initial high-based thunderstorm development is expected over the mountains/higher terrain of northern Colorado/southern Wyoming by mid-afternoon, with a subsequent increase/eastward spread, along with additional development into the larger buoyancy environment across the central High Plains including northeast Colorado/southwest Nebraska/northwest Kansas. Strengthening late-day westerlies (35-45 kt) will contribute to elongated, nearly-straight hodographs, while buoyancy with 2500-3000 J/kg MLCAPE should be maximized across northeast Colorado and southwest Nebraska. Splitting supercells are expected with a north/south-oriented cluster likely evolving relatively quickly as outflows consolidate towards the Colorado/Nebraska/Kansas border vicinity. The potential for a longer-track discrete supercell or two appears greatest along the southern periphery of convective development owing to lack of interference from other storms. Very large hail, significant severe wind gusts, and a tornado or two are all possible. A strengthening nocturnal low-level jet and enhanced warm/moist advection near/above the surface could help maintain or even reinvigorate the MCS east-southeastward into central/eastern Kansas overnight, with damaging wind potential and possibly some hail risk. ...Lower Mississippi Valley/Southeast... The leading edge of a residual MCS is ongoing across the Lower Mississippi Valley at late morning, with a considerable amount of trailing stratiform precipitation. Much of this MCS will continue to interface with the cooler/more stable side of the front that arcs roughly west-to-east across Louisiana/Mississippi/Alabama and Georgia, with some of the MCS-related cloud canopy extending across the downstream warm sector. But even a glancing influence of the MCS/any MCV and related outflows should contribute to at least isolated/widely scattered thunderstorm development near the front this afternoon as the boundary layer becomes moderately to strongly unstable, with upper 70s F warm-sector surface dewpoints common. Upstream WSR-88D VWP data (such as Fort Smith AR and Little Rock this morning) does sample a seasonally strong 50+ kt belt of westerlies between 3-8 km AGL, with the stronger winds grazing the frontal zone/adjacent warm sector. This is likely to support sustained/relatively organized multicellular clusters with scattered damaging winds as the most common hazard. ...New England... A relatively short duration severe risk may briefly linger early this afternoon across coastal southeast New England in association with a narrow warm/moist sector ahead of a secondary surface low, including the possibly of a localized wind damage and/or a brief tornado. Otherwise, convective development this afternoon is anticipated over western New England where deep-layer shear will be weak in closer proximity to the trough axis, with the potential for organized severe thunderstorm development expected to remain low. ...Northern Minnesota/eastern North Dakota... A shortwave trough over northern Manitoba and northwest Ontario will continue to dig southeastward, with a cold front settling southward across North Dakota/northern Minnesota through tonight. Thunderstorms should be focused along the front particularly late this afternoon through early evening. An adequate combination of deep-layer shear and instability should support an isolated severe wind/hail risk. Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 11 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Tue Aug 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL TO NORTH TEXAS... The current D2 Fire Weather Outlook remains on track with no updates needed. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Tue Aug 08 2023/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will persist across central to north Texas on Wednesday as a surface trough moves through the region and strengthens low-level winds. More localized concerns may emerge across parts of the Southwest and Great Basin. ...Texas... The upper trough currently approaching the central Rockies is forecast to slowly meander east into the mid-MS Valley by late Wednesday. As this occurs, an attendant surface trough trailing into central TX will migrate east. This will strengthen region pressure gradient winds, with ensemble guidance showing reasonably high probability for sustained 15-20 mph south/southwesterly winds. With exceptionally dry fuels already in place and temperatures exceeding 100 F expected by mid-afternoon, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected. There is some uncertainty regarding 1) the potential for wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours (and its impact on fuel status), and 2) the potential for isolated to scattered thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon along the surface trough. These storms may produce beneficial rain and modulate the overall fire threat, or could produce gusty outflow winds and locally exacerbate fire concerns. ...Southwest and Great Basin... More localized elevated fire weather conditions are expected across central NM and western to central NV. Across NM, 15-20 mph gradient winds in the wake of the surface trough are likely and should overlap with RH values in the teens to low 20s. However, recent rainfall has likely mitigated fuel status across this region. To the west, downslope flow in the lee of the Sierra Nevada may support localized elevated conditions across western/southern NV. Ensemble guidance suggests these conditions will remain fairly localized and confined to the immediate lee of the terrain. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Aug 8, 2023 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 11 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0111 PM CDT Tue Aug 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI AND NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday from eastern Oklahoma/Kansas eastward to the Lower Ohio and Tennessee Valley vicinity. ...Synopsis... A mid-level short wave trough, embedded in a belt of enhanced west-southwesterly flow across the central and eastern U.S., will advance steadily east-southeastward, crossing the Mid Mississippi Valley overnight. A belt of enhanced flow in the lower and middle troposphere (40 to 60 kt at mid levels) will spread across the Ozarks through the day, and across the Mid Mississippi Valley into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys during the evening and overnight. At the surface, a cold front -- trailing from a weak low initially progged over eastern Kansas -- is forecast to shift eastward into the Ozarks and southeastern Oklahoma through the day, and then across the Mid Mississippi and Lower Ohio Valley overnight. By the end of the period, the front should extend from a low over the Ohio vicinity west-southwestward to North Texas. ...Eastern portions of KS/OK eastward into the Ohio Valley/Mid-South/Southeast... Expectations remain that fairly widespread convection will be ongoing at the start of the period across eastern Kansas and Missouri, which should shift eastward through the day into/across the Mid Mississippi/Lower Ohio/Tennessee Valleys. Very limited/local severe risk may be ongoing early, and should increase through the day as the airmass ahead of the convection destabilizes. Locally damaging winds should be the primary severe risk assuming storms intensify as expected, along with potential for hail and a tornado or two. Meanwhile, a second round of convection is forecast to develop in the recovering airmass across the Ozarks vicinity ahead of the advancing cold front during the afternoon/evening, with timing and initial intensity of the convection modulated by prior storms and any lingering cloud cover. Eventually, storms should intensify and grow upscale into one or more clusters -- aided by a 35-45 kt southwesterly low-level jet. At this time, it appears that overall risk for damaging winds -- potential from two separate rounds of storms -- warrants upgrade to ENH risk/30% wind probability across parts of the Mid Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, which would continue well into the evening hours. ..Goss.. 08/08/2023 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 606 Status Reports

1 year 11 months ago
WW 0606 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 606 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOSIER..08/07/23 ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 606 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC001-005-009-011-017-025-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-089-095- 099-115-121-123-125-072340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN MORGAN OTERO PHILLIPS PROWERS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD YUMA KSC023-039-071-109-153-179-181-193-199-203-072340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR GREELEY LOGAN RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 606

1 year 11 months ago
WW 606 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE WY 072000Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 606 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 200 PM MDT Mon Aug 7 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Colorado Northwest Kansas Western Nebraska Southeast Wyoming * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until 900 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to develop across the region this afternoon. This will include supercells capable of very large hail, and possibly some (mostly brief) tornado risk. Damaging wind potential may also increase by late afternoon/early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles north of Scottsbluff NE to 15 miles east of Springfield CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 599...WW 600...WW 601...WW 602...WW 603...WW 604...WW 605... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 605 Status Reports

1 year 11 months ago
WW 0605 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 605 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOSIER..08/07/23 ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 605 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DEC001-003-005-072340- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX MDC011-029-035-041-072340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAROLINE KENT QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-033-041-072340- NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER HUNTERDON MERCER SALEM WARREN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 605

1 year 11 months ago
WW 605 TORNADO DE MD NJ NY PA CW 071915Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 605 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 315 PM EDT Mon Aug 7 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Delaware Eastern Maryland New Jersey Southeast New York Eastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop into the region by late afternoon and early evening, which will include a risk for tornadoes aside from potentially widespread damaging winds. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast of Binghamton NY to 25 miles south southwest of Dover DE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 599...WW 600...WW 601...WW 602...WW 603...WW 604... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 604 Status Reports

1 year 11 months ago
WW 0604 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 604 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE AHN TO 30 NNE CLT. ..MOSIER..08/07/23 ATTN...WFO...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 604 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC105-072240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELBERT NCC025-119-179-072240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CABARRUS MECKLENBURG UNION SCC001-023-047-059-087-091-072240- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ABBEVILLE CHESTER GREENWOOD LAURENS UNION YORK Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 604

1 year 11 months ago
WW 604 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC 071845Z - 080100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 604 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 PM EDT Mon Aug 7 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Georgia Western North Carolina Upstate South Carolina * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Storms will continue to move eastward and intensify into the region, with potentially widespread damaging winds as the most common severe hazard through early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north northwest of Charlotte NC to 30 miles south southwest of Anderson SC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 599...WW 600...WW 601...WW 602...WW 603... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 602 Status Reports

1 year 11 months ago
WW 0602 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 602 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE EKN TO HGR TO 35 ESE UNV TO 35 SW ELM. ..MOSIER..08/07/23 ATTN...WFO...LWX...CTP...AKQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 602 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-072240- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MDC003-005-009-013-015-017-021-025-027-031-033-037-043-510- 072240- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CARROLL CECIL CHARLES FREDERICK HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 602

1 year 11 months ago
WW 602 TORNADO DC MD PA VA WV CW 071720Z - 080100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 602 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 120 PM EDT Mon Aug 7 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Southern and Central Pennsylvania Virginia Eastern West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A very favorable setup for severe thunderstorms including tornadoes and widespread damaging winds is unfolding across the region, with severe storms expected to steadily develop and increase across the region this afternoon. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles southeast of Charlottesville VA to 50 miles northwest of Williamsport PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 599...WW 600...WW 601... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Guyer Read more
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