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Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0840 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2025 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the southern Plains into the Ozarks and mid Mississippi Valley this evening and overnight... * LOCATIONS... Western and Northern Arkansas Missouri Far Eastern Oklahoma North-Central and Northeast Texas Southern Illinois * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. Preparedness actions... Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0840 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2025 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the southern Plains into the Ozarks and mid Mississippi Valley this evening and overnight... * LOCATIONS... Western and Northern Arkansas Missouri Far Eastern Oklahoma North-Central and Northeast Texas Southern Illinois * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. Preparedness actions... Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Read more

WW 0294 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE SZL TO 30 W SZL TO 25 W OJC TO 20 NE FLV TO 25 SE SDA. ..BROYLES..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC091-209-200340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JOHNSON WYANDOTTE MOC003-025-033-047-049-061-063-075-095-101-107-117-147-159-177- 195-227-200340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREW CALDWELL CARROLL CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY JACKSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON NODAWAY PETTIS RAY SALINE WORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0294 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE SZL TO 30 W SZL TO 25 W OJC TO 20 NE FLV TO 25 SE SDA. ..BROYLES..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC091-209-200340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JOHNSON WYANDOTTE MOC003-025-033-047-049-061-063-075-095-101-107-117-147-159-177- 195-227-200340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREW CALDWELL CARROLL CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY JACKSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON NODAWAY PETTIS RAY SALINE WORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0294 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE SZL TO 30 W SZL TO 25 W OJC TO 20 NE FLV TO 25 SE SDA. ..BROYLES..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC091-209-200340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JOHNSON WYANDOTTE MOC003-025-033-047-049-061-063-075-095-101-107-117-147-159-177- 195-227-200340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREW CALDWELL CARROLL CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY JACKSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON NODAWAY PETTIS RAY SALINE WORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0294 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE SZL TO 30 W SZL TO 25 W OJC TO 20 NE FLV TO 25 SE SDA. ..BROYLES..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC091-209-200340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JOHNSON WYANDOTTE MOC003-025-033-047-049-061-063-075-095-101-107-117-147-159-177- 195-227-200340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREW CALDWELL CARROLL CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY JACKSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON NODAWAY PETTIS RAY SALINE WORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0294 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE SZL TO 30 W SZL TO 25 W OJC TO 20 NE FLV TO 25 SE SDA. ..BROYLES..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC091-209-200340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JOHNSON WYANDOTTE MOC003-025-033-047-049-061-063-075-095-101-107-117-147-159-177- 195-227-200340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREW CALDWELL CARROLL CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY JACKSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON NODAWAY PETTIS RAY SALINE WORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0294 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW ICT TO TOP TO 15 NW FLV TO 25 SSE SDA. ..BROYLES..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 294 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC001-003-011-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-045-049-059-073-091- 099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-205-207-209-200240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD DOUGLAS ELK FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JOHNSON LABETTE LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO OSAGE WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE MOC003-009-011-013-015-021-025-029-033-037-039-043-047-049-057- 059-061-063-067-075-077-083-085-087-095-097-101-105-107-109-117- 119-141-145-147-153-159-165-167-177-185-195-209-213-217-225-227- 229-200240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 294 TORNADO KS MO 191840Z - 200200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 294 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 140 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Kansas Western Missouri * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop and intensify across the watch area through the afternoon and early evening. Scattered severe storms including a few supercells are expected, capable of very large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Saint Joseph MO to 50 miles south southwest of Chanute KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 292...WW 293... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23035. ...Hart Read more

WW 0297 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 297 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0893 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 297 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC005-007-009-015-023-029-033-047-049-051-057-061-065-071-081- 083-087-089-091-097-101-105-109-113-115-127-129-131-133-137-141- 143-149-200240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAXTER BENTON BOONE CARROLL CLEBURNE CONWAY CRAWFORD FRANKLIN FULTON GARLAND HEMPSTEAD HOWARD IZARD JOHNSON LITTLE RIVER LOGAN MADISON MARION MILLER MONTGOMERY NEWTON PERRY PIKE POLK POPE SCOTT SEARCY SEBASTIAN SEVIER STONE VAN BUREN WASHINGTON YELL OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-041-061-069-077-079-085-089-095-121- 127-135-200240- OK Read more

MD 0890 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
Mesoscale Discussion 0890 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0702 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Areas affected...Parts of the Tennessee Valley Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 200002Z - 200130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated risk of marginally severe hail and locally damaging wind gusts will persist for a couple hours. A watch is not expected. DISCUSSION...Isolated cellular convection is evolving in the vicinity of a warm front draped across the TN Valley, where earlier heating of a moist boundary layer (upper 60s/lower 70s dewpoints) contributed to moderate surface-based instability. An elongated/straight hodograph (around 30-40 kt of 0-6 km shear) sampled by regional VWP may support marginal/brief splitting supercell structures -- capable of producing marginally severe hail and locally damaging wind gusts. However, with shortwave ridging across the area and loss of daytime heating, the overall severe risk should remain too isolated/limited for a watch. ..Weinman/Gleason.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH... LAT...LON 34358448 34678563 35298680 36018776 36428791 36778771 36978730 36918670 36258573 35698465 35148374 34848363 34358396 34358448 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0298 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 298 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 298 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-005-013-027-051-055-061-077-081-083-087-117-119-121-133- 135-145-153-157-163-181-189-199-200240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER BOND CALHOUN CLINTON FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE JACKSON JEFFERSON JERSEY JOHNSON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR UNION WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON MOC007-009-017-019-023-027-029-031-035-043-051-055-059-065-067- 071-073-077-091-093-099-105-113-123-125-131-133-135-137-139-141- 143-149-151-153-157-161-163-169-173-179-181-183-186-187-189-201- 203-207-209-213-215-219-221-223-225-229-510-200240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUDRAIN BARRY BOLLINGER BOONE BUTLER CALLAWAY Read more

WW 0295 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PRX TO 35 N FTW TO 35 SW ADM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC097-147-181-277-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0295 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PRX TO 35 N FTW TO 35 SW ADM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC097-147-181-277-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0295 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PRX TO 35 N FTW TO 35 SW ADM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC097-147-181-277-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0295 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PRX TO 35 N FTW TO 35 SW ADM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC097-147-181-277-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0295 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PRX TO 35 N FTW TO 35 SW ADM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC097-147-181-277-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0295 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PRX TO 35 N FTW TO 35 SW ADM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC097-147-181-277-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 295 TORNADO TX 191905Z - 200200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 295 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of North Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms will intensify along a dryline over western North Texas this afternoon and track eastward across the Red River Valley. Very large hail and tornadoes are the main concerns. Strong tornadoes are possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Mineral Wells TX to 10 miles northeast of Paris TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 292...WW 293...WW 294... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Hart Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more