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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A dearth of buoyancy adequate for thunderstorm potential will persist across the CONUS on Tuesday. Gradual low-level moistening amid easterly flow should occur across south FL and the Keys. A few low-topped showers may graze this region late in the period as some convective potential develops over the FL Straits. Scant elevated buoyancy may also develop near the end of the period across far south NM and the TX Trans-Pecos, as moistening around 700 mb occurs downstream of a shortwave impulse digging from the northern Great Basin to the Lower CO Valley. Thunderstorm probabilities in both areas appear to be less than 10 percent. ..Grams.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A dearth of buoyancy adequate for thunderstorm potential will persist across the CONUS on Tuesday. Gradual low-level moistening amid easterly flow should occur across south FL and the Keys. A few low-topped showers may graze this region late in the period as some convective potential develops over the FL Straits. Scant elevated buoyancy may also develop near the end of the period across far south NM and the TX Trans-Pecos, as moistening around 700 mb occurs downstream of a shortwave impulse digging from the northern Great Basin to the Lower CO Valley. Thunderstorm probabilities in both areas appear to be less than 10 percent. ..Grams.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A dearth of buoyancy adequate for thunderstorm potential will persist across the CONUS on Tuesday. Gradual low-level moistening amid easterly flow should occur across south FL and the Keys. A few low-topped showers may graze this region late in the period as some convective potential develops over the FL Straits. Scant elevated buoyancy may also develop near the end of the period across far south NM and the TX Trans-Pecos, as moistening around 700 mb occurs downstream of a shortwave impulse digging from the northern Great Basin to the Lower CO Valley. Thunderstorm probabilities in both areas appear to be less than 10 percent. ..Grams.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A dearth of buoyancy adequate for thunderstorm potential will persist across the CONUS on Tuesday. Gradual low-level moistening amid easterly flow should occur across south FL and the Keys. A few low-topped showers may graze this region late in the period as some convective potential develops over the FL Straits. Scant elevated buoyancy may also develop near the end of the period across far south NM and the TX Trans-Pecos, as moistening around 700 mb occurs downstream of a shortwave impulse digging from the northern Great Basin to the Lower CO Valley. Thunderstorm probabilities in both areas appear to be less than 10 percent. ..Grams.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A dearth of buoyancy adequate for thunderstorm potential will persist across the CONUS on Tuesday. Gradual low-level moistening amid easterly flow should occur across south FL and the Keys. A few low-topped showers may graze this region late in the period as some convective potential develops over the FL Straits. Scant elevated buoyancy may also develop near the end of the period across far south NM and the TX Trans-Pecos, as moistening around 700 mb occurs downstream of a shortwave impulse digging from the northern Great Basin to the Lower CO Valley. Thunderstorm probabilities in both areas appear to be less than 10 percent. ..Grams.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A dearth of buoyancy adequate for thunderstorm potential will persist across the CONUS on Tuesday. Gradual low-level moistening amid easterly flow should occur across south FL and the Keys. A few low-topped showers may graze this region late in the period as some convective potential develops over the FL Straits. Scant elevated buoyancy may also develop near the end of the period across far south NM and the TX Trans-Pecos, as moistening around 700 mb occurs downstream of a shortwave impulse digging from the northern Great Basin to the Lower CO Valley. Thunderstorm probabilities in both areas appear to be less than 10 percent. ..Grams.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A dearth of buoyancy adequate for thunderstorm potential will persist across the CONUS on Tuesday. Gradual low-level moistening amid easterly flow should occur across south FL and the Keys. A few low-topped showers may graze this region late in the period as some convective potential develops over the FL Straits. Scant elevated buoyancy may also develop near the end of the period across far south NM and the TX Trans-Pecos, as moistening around 700 mb occurs downstream of a shortwave impulse digging from the northern Great Basin to the Lower CO Valley. Thunderstorm probabilities in both areas appear to be less than 10 percent. ..Grams.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ..Wendt.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more