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SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail, will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains. ...Southern Plains... An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening. Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe threat, could persist into the mid to late evening. ..Broyles.. 06/09/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will rebuild across the Southwest, favoring warm/dry conditions across the region. However, generally light surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) are expected, owing to a weak surface pressure gradient beneath the ridge. Therefore, locally elevated conditions are possible across the Southwest (given receptive fuels), though these conditions appear too localized for highlights. ..Weinman.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more