SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0429 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will traverse the Interior West today, encouraging surface low development near the Four Corners region. The result will be dry and breezy conditions characterized by 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds overlapping with 10-15 percent RH during the afternoon across much of the Great Basin. Given drying fuels over much of the Basin, Elevated highlights have been maintained. An outside chance for a dry thunderstorm is also possible over portions of the Snake River Plain in southern Idaho. However, modest fuel receptiveness, and low confidence in storm coverage, preclude isolated dry thunderstorm highlights. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0429 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will traverse the Interior West today, encouraging surface low development near the Four Corners region. The result will be dry and breezy conditions characterized by 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds overlapping with 10-15 percent RH during the afternoon across much of the Great Basin. Given drying fuels over much of the Basin, Elevated highlights have been maintained. An outside chance for a dry thunderstorm is also possible over portions of the Snake River Plain in southern Idaho. However, modest fuel receptiveness, and low confidence in storm coverage, preclude isolated dry thunderstorm highlights. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0429 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will traverse the Interior West today, encouraging surface low development near the Four Corners region. The result will be dry and breezy conditions characterized by 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds overlapping with 10-15 percent RH during the afternoon across much of the Great Basin. Given drying fuels over much of the Basin, Elevated highlights have been maintained. An outside chance for a dry thunderstorm is also possible over portions of the Snake River Plain in southern Idaho. However, modest fuel receptiveness, and low confidence in storm coverage, preclude isolated dry thunderstorm highlights. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0429 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will traverse the Interior West today, encouraging surface low development near the Four Corners region. The result will be dry and breezy conditions characterized by 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds overlapping with 10-15 percent RH during the afternoon across much of the Great Basin. Given drying fuels over much of the Basin, Elevated highlights have been maintained. An outside chance for a dry thunderstorm is also possible over portions of the Snake River Plain in southern Idaho. However, modest fuel receptiveness, and low confidence in storm coverage, preclude isolated dry thunderstorm highlights. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0429 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will traverse the Interior West today, encouraging surface low development near the Four Corners region. The result will be dry and breezy conditions characterized by 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds overlapping with 10-15 percent RH during the afternoon across much of the Great Basin. Given drying fuels over much of the Basin, Elevated highlights have been maintained. An outside chance for a dry thunderstorm is also possible over portions of the Snake River Plain in southern Idaho. However, modest fuel receptiveness, and low confidence in storm coverage, preclude isolated dry thunderstorm highlights. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0429 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will traverse the Interior West today, encouraging surface low development near the Four Corners region. The result will be dry and breezy conditions characterized by 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds overlapping with 10-15 percent RH during the afternoon across much of the Great Basin. Given drying fuels over much of the Basin, Elevated highlights have been maintained. An outside chance for a dry thunderstorm is also possible over portions of the Snake River Plain in southern Idaho. However, modest fuel receptiveness, and low confidence in storm coverage, preclude isolated dry thunderstorm highlights. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0406 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 041200Z - 091200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Thursday Central Plains and Lower/Middle MO Valley... Guidance remains in relatively good agreement that a shortwave trough, and strong jet in its base, will overspread the north-central Great Plains toward the Upper Midwest Thursday. Ahead of this mid/upper-level trough, very favorable ingredients, including ample instability and rather strong deep-layer shear for the season, should set up across Missouri, southern Iowa, and southeast Nebraska/northeast Kansas. The potential impacts of convection lingering from Wednesday night remain a key uncertainty regionally regarding the north-northeast extent of the more appreciable severe risk, but the aforementioned areas seemingly have the highest severe potential. ...Day 5/Friday Midwest... While modest predictability precludes a 15+ percent severe risk at this juncture, it seems probable that severe potential will be focused within a moist and unstable air mass near/ahead of an east/southeastward-moving cold front. This may be most focused across the Ohio Valley and other parts of the Midwest/Lake Erie vicinity, with damaging winds expected to be the most common severe hazard. ...Days 6-8 Saturday-Monday... Predictability diminishes into this time frame, although corridors of at least some severe storms can be expected daily, generally spanning the northern/central Plains to the Ohio Valley, and probably parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on Day 6/Saturday. Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0406 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 041200Z - 091200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Thursday Central Plains and Lower/Middle MO Valley... Guidance remains in relatively good agreement that a shortwave trough, and strong jet in its base, will overspread the north-central Great Plains toward the Upper Midwest Thursday. Ahead of this mid/upper-level trough, very favorable ingredients, including ample instability and rather strong deep-layer shear for the season, should set up across Missouri, southern Iowa, and southeast Nebraska/northeast Kansas. The potential impacts of convection lingering from Wednesday night remain a key uncertainty regionally regarding the north-northeast extent of the more appreciable severe risk, but the aforementioned areas seemingly have the highest severe potential. ...Day 5/Friday Midwest... While modest predictability precludes a 15+ percent severe risk at this juncture, it seems probable that severe potential will be focused within a moist and unstable air mass near/ahead of an east/southeastward-moving cold front. This may be most focused across the Ohio Valley and other parts of the Midwest/Lake Erie vicinity, with damaging winds expected to be the most common severe hazard. ...Days 6-8 Saturday-Monday... Predictability diminishes into this time frame, although corridors of at least some severe storms can be expected daily, generally spanning the northern/central Plains to the Ohio Valley, and probably parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on Day 6/Saturday. Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0406 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 041200Z - 091200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Thursday Central Plains and Lower/Middle MO Valley... Guidance remains in relatively good agreement that a shortwave trough, and strong jet in its base, will overspread the north-central Great Plains toward the Upper Midwest Thursday. Ahead of this mid/upper-level trough, very favorable ingredients, including ample instability and rather strong deep-layer shear for the season, should set up across Missouri, southern Iowa, and southeast Nebraska/northeast Kansas. The potential impacts of convection lingering from Wednesday night remain a key uncertainty regionally regarding the north-northeast extent of the more appreciable severe risk, but the aforementioned areas seemingly have the highest severe potential. ...Day 5/Friday Midwest... While modest predictability precludes a 15+ percent severe risk at this juncture, it seems probable that severe potential will be focused within a moist and unstable air mass near/ahead of an east/southeastward-moving cold front. This may be most focused across the Ohio Valley and other parts of the Midwest/Lake Erie vicinity, with damaging winds expected to be the most common severe hazard. ...Days 6-8 Saturday-Monday... Predictability diminishes into this time frame, although corridors of at least some severe storms can be expected daily, generally spanning the northern/central Plains to the Ohio Valley, and probably parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on Day 6/Saturday. Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0406 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 041200Z - 091200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Thursday Central Plains and Lower/Middle MO Valley... Guidance remains in relatively good agreement that a shortwave trough, and strong jet in its base, will overspread the north-central Great Plains toward the Upper Midwest Thursday. Ahead of this mid/upper-level trough, very favorable ingredients, including ample instability and rather strong deep-layer shear for the season, should set up across Missouri, southern Iowa, and southeast Nebraska/northeast Kansas. The potential impacts of convection lingering from Wednesday night remain a key uncertainty regionally regarding the north-northeast extent of the more appreciable severe risk, but the aforementioned areas seemingly have the highest severe potential. ...Day 5/Friday Midwest... While modest predictability precludes a 15+ percent severe risk at this juncture, it seems probable that severe potential will be focused within a moist and unstable air mass near/ahead of an east/southeastward-moving cold front. This may be most focused across the Ohio Valley and other parts of the Midwest/Lake Erie vicinity, with damaging winds expected to be the most common severe hazard. ...Days 6-8 Saturday-Monday... Predictability diminishes into this time frame, although corridors of at least some severe storms can be expected daily, generally spanning the northern/central Plains to the Ohio Valley, and probably parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on Day 6/Saturday. Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0406 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 041200Z - 091200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Thursday Central Plains and Lower/Middle MO Valley... Guidance remains in relatively good agreement that a shortwave trough, and strong jet in its base, will overspread the north-central Great Plains toward the Upper Midwest Thursday. Ahead of this mid/upper-level trough, very favorable ingredients, including ample instability and rather strong deep-layer shear for the season, should set up across Missouri, southern Iowa, and southeast Nebraska/northeast Kansas. The potential impacts of convection lingering from Wednesday night remain a key uncertainty regionally regarding the north-northeast extent of the more appreciable severe risk, but the aforementioned areas seemingly have the highest severe potential. ...Day 5/Friday Midwest... While modest predictability precludes a 15+ percent severe risk at this juncture, it seems probable that severe potential will be focused within a moist and unstable air mass near/ahead of an east/southeastward-moving cold front. This may be most focused across the Ohio Valley and other parts of the Midwest/Lake Erie vicinity, with damaging winds expected to be the most common severe hazard. ...Days 6-8 Saturday-Monday... Predictability diminishes into this time frame, although corridors of at least some severe storms can be expected daily, generally spanning the northern/central Plains to the Ohio Valley, and probably parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on Day 6/Saturday. Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0406 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 041200Z - 091200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Thursday Central Plains and Lower/Middle MO Valley... Guidance remains in relatively good agreement that a shortwave trough, and strong jet in its base, will overspread the north-central Great Plains toward the Upper Midwest Thursday. Ahead of this mid/upper-level trough, very favorable ingredients, including ample instability and rather strong deep-layer shear for the season, should set up across Missouri, southern Iowa, and southeast Nebraska/northeast Kansas. The potential impacts of convection lingering from Wednesday night remain a key uncertainty regionally regarding the north-northeast extent of the more appreciable severe risk, but the aforementioned areas seemingly have the highest severe potential. ...Day 5/Friday Midwest... While modest predictability precludes a 15+ percent severe risk at this juncture, it seems probable that severe potential will be focused within a moist and unstable air mass near/ahead of an east/southeastward-moving cold front. This may be most focused across the Ohio Valley and other parts of the Midwest/Lake Erie vicinity, with damaging winds expected to be the most common severe hazard. ...Days 6-8 Saturday-Monday... Predictability diminishes into this time frame, although corridors of at least some severe storms can be expected daily, generally spanning the northern/central Plains to the Ohio Valley, and probably parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on Day 6/Saturday. Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0235 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday, particularly across parts of the Midwest/Ohio Valley and central Plains. ...Midwest/Ozarks/Ohio Valley... Moderate to strong destabilization is expected within a moist air mass preceding an east/southeastward-moving cold front, potentially effectively augmented by early day convection and residual cloud cover. As a shortwave trough transitions northeastward over the Great Lakes toward Ontario, at least weak height falls and moderately strong mid-level westerlies will generally influence areas as far south as the Ohio River and parts of the Ozark Plateau. Intensifying multicells/banded clusters seem probable into Wednesday afternoon, with bouts of wind damage as the primary hazard through the evening. This scenario currently appears most probable across downstate portions of Illinois/Indiana into Ohio and northern Kentucky. ...High Plains/Central Plains... Height falls and a strengthening of cyclonically curved westerlies are expected ahead (east-southeast) of an amplifying mid/upper-level trough over the northern Rockies. At least isolated severe storms capable of hail/strong wind gusts will be possible within a broad north/south corridor from the western Dakotas and southeast Montana/northeast Wyoming southward into eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and northwest Texas. A more focused area of potentially severe storms, including possible evening-time MCS development, would appear to be across western Nebraska/northeast Colorado into western/northern Kansas. ..Guyer.. 07/01/2024 Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0235 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday, particularly across parts of the Midwest/Ohio Valley and central Plains. ...Midwest/Ozarks/Ohio Valley... Moderate to strong destabilization is expected within a moist air mass preceding an east/southeastward-moving cold front, potentially effectively augmented by early day convection and residual cloud cover. As a shortwave trough transitions northeastward over the Great Lakes toward Ontario, at least weak height falls and moderately strong mid-level westerlies will generally influence areas as far south as the Ohio River and parts of the Ozark Plateau. Intensifying multicells/banded clusters seem probable into Wednesday afternoon, with bouts of wind damage as the primary hazard through the evening. This scenario currently appears most probable across downstate portions of Illinois/Indiana into Ohio and northern Kentucky. ...High Plains/Central Plains... Height falls and a strengthening of cyclonically curved westerlies are expected ahead (east-southeast) of an amplifying mid/upper-level trough over the northern Rockies. At least isolated severe storms capable of hail/strong wind gusts will be possible within a broad north/south corridor from the western Dakotas and southeast Montana/northeast Wyoming southward into eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and northwest Texas. A more focused area of potentially severe storms, including possible evening-time MCS development, would appear to be across western Nebraska/northeast Colorado into western/northern Kansas. ..Guyer.. 07/01/2024 Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0235 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday, particularly across parts of the Midwest/Ohio Valley and central Plains. ...Midwest/Ozarks/Ohio Valley... Moderate to strong destabilization is expected within a moist air mass preceding an east/southeastward-moving cold front, potentially effectively augmented by early day convection and residual cloud cover. As a shortwave trough transitions northeastward over the Great Lakes toward Ontario, at least weak height falls and moderately strong mid-level westerlies will generally influence areas as far south as the Ohio River and parts of the Ozark Plateau. Intensifying multicells/banded clusters seem probable into Wednesday afternoon, with bouts of wind damage as the primary hazard through the evening. This scenario currently appears most probable across downstate portions of Illinois/Indiana into Ohio and northern Kentucky. ...High Plains/Central Plains... Height falls and a strengthening of cyclonically curved westerlies are expected ahead (east-southeast) of an amplifying mid/upper-level trough over the northern Rockies. At least isolated severe storms capable of hail/strong wind gusts will be possible within a broad north/south corridor from the western Dakotas and southeast Montana/northeast Wyoming southward into eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and northwest Texas. A more focused area of potentially severe storms, including possible evening-time MCS development, would appear to be across western Nebraska/northeast Colorado into western/northern Kansas. ..Guyer.. 07/01/2024 Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0235 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday, particularly across parts of the Midwest/Ohio Valley and central Plains. ...Midwest/Ozarks/Ohio Valley... Moderate to strong destabilization is expected within a moist air mass preceding an east/southeastward-moving cold front, potentially effectively augmented by early day convection and residual cloud cover. As a shortwave trough transitions northeastward over the Great Lakes toward Ontario, at least weak height falls and moderately strong mid-level westerlies will generally influence areas as far south as the Ohio River and parts of the Ozark Plateau. Intensifying multicells/banded clusters seem probable into Wednesday afternoon, with bouts of wind damage as the primary hazard through the evening. This scenario currently appears most probable across downstate portions of Illinois/Indiana into Ohio and northern Kentucky. ...High Plains/Central Plains... Height falls and a strengthening of cyclonically curved westerlies are expected ahead (east-southeast) of an amplifying mid/upper-level trough over the northern Rockies. At least isolated severe storms capable of hail/strong wind gusts will be possible within a broad north/south corridor from the western Dakotas and southeast Montana/northeast Wyoming southward into eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and northwest Texas. A more focused area of potentially severe storms, including possible evening-time MCS development, would appear to be across western Nebraska/northeast Colorado into western/northern Kansas. ..Guyer.. 07/01/2024 Read more

SPC Jul 1, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0235 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday, particularly across parts of the Midwest/Ohio Valley and central Plains. ...Midwest/Ozarks/Ohio Valley... Moderate to strong destabilization is expected within a moist air mass preceding an east/southeastward-moving cold front, potentially effectively augmented by early day convection and residual cloud cover. As a shortwave trough transitions northeastward over the Great Lakes toward Ontario, at least weak height falls and moderately strong mid-level westerlies will generally influence areas as far south as the Ohio River and parts of the Ozark Plateau. Intensifying multicells/banded clusters seem probable into Wednesday afternoon, with bouts of wind damage as the primary hazard through the evening. This scenario currently appears most probable across downstate portions of Illinois/Indiana into Ohio and northern Kentucky. ...High Plains/Central Plains... Height falls and a strengthening of cyclonically curved westerlies are expected ahead (east-southeast) of an amplifying mid/upper-level trough over the northern Rockies. At least isolated severe storms capable of hail/strong wind gusts will be possible within a broad north/south corridor from the western Dakotas and southeast Montana/northeast Wyoming southward into eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and northwest Texas. A more focused area of potentially severe storms, including possible evening-time MCS development, would appear to be across western Nebraska/northeast Colorado into western/northern Kansas. ..Guyer.. 07/01/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The mid-level trough responsible for fire weather conditions over the Great Basin today will eject into the Plains states tomorrow (Tuesday). Nonetheless, broad cyclonic mid-level flow will prevail over the Interior West for the Day 2 period. Furthermore, a mid-level jet streak will also approach from the northwest and overspread the Pacific Northwest during the later part of Day 2. Dry downslope flow is likely over the lee of the Cascade Ranges into the Harney Basin in Oregon, as well as the Columbia Basin in eastern Washington. Latest high-resolution guidance consensus depicts Elevated-equivalent conditions constrained to mainly the higher terrain. When also considering modest fuel receptiveness, fire weather highlights have been withheld this outlook. However, Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if Elevated dry and windy conditions become more prevalent in later guidance. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The mid-level trough responsible for fire weather conditions over the Great Basin today will eject into the Plains states tomorrow (Tuesday). Nonetheless, broad cyclonic mid-level flow will prevail over the Interior West for the Day 2 period. Furthermore, a mid-level jet streak will also approach from the northwest and overspread the Pacific Northwest during the later part of Day 2. Dry downslope flow is likely over the lee of the Cascade Ranges into the Harney Basin in Oregon, as well as the Columbia Basin in eastern Washington. Latest high-resolution guidance consensus depicts Elevated-equivalent conditions constrained to mainly the higher terrain. When also considering modest fuel receptiveness, fire weather highlights have been withheld this outlook. However, Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if Elevated dry and windy conditions become more prevalent in later guidance. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The mid-level trough responsible for fire weather conditions over the Great Basin today will eject into the Plains states tomorrow (Tuesday). Nonetheless, broad cyclonic mid-level flow will prevail over the Interior West for the Day 2 period. Furthermore, a mid-level jet streak will also approach from the northwest and overspread the Pacific Northwest during the later part of Day 2. Dry downslope flow is likely over the lee of the Cascade Ranges into the Harney Basin in Oregon, as well as the Columbia Basin in eastern Washington. Latest high-resolution guidance consensus depicts Elevated-equivalent conditions constrained to mainly the higher terrain. When also considering modest fuel receptiveness, fire weather highlights have been withheld this outlook. However, Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if Elevated dry and windy conditions become more prevalent in later guidance. ..Squitieri.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more