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Despite the dry weather and low flows on the Rivanna River, an outfitting business on the river was doing its best to stay open and was still offering some trips down the river. WVIR-TV NBC29 (Charlottesville, Va.), June 28, 2024

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Broad zonal flow over the CONUS will transition to strong western ridging through the first part of this week and continue through the extended forecast period. Gradually intensifying through mid week, the ridge will shunt stronger mid-level flow to the northeast over the eastern Great Basin and northern Rockies. Still, several weak mid-level perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the trough supporting occasional gusty winds at the surface across parts of the Northwest and northern Great Basin. Otherwise, extreme heat is likely under the ridge over much of the West with near record temperatures and very dry conditions. Area fuels will undergo significant drying through the period, setting the stage for increased fire-weather concerns as the ridge begins to break down at the end of the forecast period. ...Northwest to the Great Basin... As the ridge quickly intensifies, northwesterly flow aloft should develop on the eastern periphery over parts of the interior Northwest and northern Great Basin. A modest upper-level trough passing over the northern Rockies will bring a weak cold front through the region on D2/Tuesday with dry and breezy winds likely behind it D3/Wednesday. Very warm afternoon temperatures behind the front should support several hours of 15-20% RH and wind gusts of 10-20 mph over parts of southern OR/ID and northern NV into western UT. A few hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions appear likely to develop, though there remains some uncertainty on the spatial and temporal coverage. Gusty winds are again possible later in the week into the weekend, as a second trough moves along the eastern part of the ridge D5/Friday and D7/Sunday. However, confidence in the overlap of hot, dry and windy conditions this weekend is much less certain, owing to the stronger ridging aloft. Still, some increase in fire-weather potential may occur toward the weekend as extreme heat and dry conditions continue to develop. ...CA... Beneath the ridge, extreme heat is likely through almost the entirety of the extended forecast period. The extreme heat will support the development of a low-level thermal trough across parts of northern and central CA. This may enhance northerly flow over parts of the Sacramento Valley D3/Wednesday. A period of offshore flow may also develop late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday as the ridge center shifts slightly farther west. While uncertain in regard to the magnitude of the offshore flow, very low humidity (sub 10%) could overlap with wind gusts of 25-30 mph over parts of the Transverse and Peninsular ranges. Otherwise, very dry and warm conditions may support locally elevated fire-weather potential. Highlights will be withheld due to the lack of greater synoptic winds, but fire-weather concerns should continue to generally increase through next week and into the weekend. ..Lyons.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

The North Carolina Forest Service discouraged outdoor burning and the lighting of personal fireworks. Instead, they recommended that people enjoy professional fireworks displays. WITN-TV NBC 7 Greenville (N.C.), June 28, 2024

Fayette County Water System sought and received a Level 1 Drought variance from the Georgia Environmental Protection Division due to high water demand for irrigation which has led to low water pressure in parts of the service area. Under a Level 1 Drought response, the county water system can initiate a public information campaign to help the public better understand drought, its impact on water supplies, and the importance of water conservation. Fayette County News (Fayetteville, Ga.), July 1, 2024

MD 1503 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR FAR SOUTHEASTERN WY...NE PANHANDLE...WESTERN/CENTRAL SD...CENTRAL ND
Mesoscale Discussion 1503 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 Areas affected...Far Southeastern WY...NE Panhandle...Western/Central SD...Central ND Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 011916Z - 012115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm intensity and coverage is expected to increase over the next few hours from the central Dakotas into the Nebraska Panhandle and far southeast Wyoming. Some severe thunderstorms capable of 1 to 1.75" hail and gusts from 60 to 70 mph are possible. DISCUSSION...Satellite imagery shows a broad shortwave trough progressing eastward across the northern Rockies/northern High Plains. The airmass downstream from the NE Panhandle into the central Dakotas continues to destabilize amid filtered daytime heating and ample low-level moisture. Recent surface observations show upper 60s dewpoints extending northward in the vicinity of a pre-frontal trough from far southeast WY into central ND. Expectation is for scattered to numerous thunderstorm development to occur over the next few hours ahead of the approaching shortwave, both along the cold front and pre-frontal trough. A predominately linear mode is anticipated along the front, but a few supercells are possible farther east along the lee trough where the buoyancy is greater and the vertical shear vector is a bit more southwesterly/westerly. Large hail around 1.75" is the primary threat with any more cellular development. Gusts from 60 to 70 mph will be the primary threat with the more linear storms. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed to address this severe potential. ..Mosier/Gleason.. 07/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...LBF...UNR...CYS... LAT...LON 41570443 44910407 47630129 47109926 41580127 41570443 Read more

WW 0496 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0496 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more