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SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0005 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 1 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW BPT TO 30 SW POE TO 25 W ESF TO 25 NNW ESF TO 25 SSW MLU TO 15 E MLU. ..JEWELL..01/05/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC003-011-021-043-059-079-115-052340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE RAPIDES VERNON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

No watches are valid as of Wed Feb 12 17:56:02 UTC 2025.