SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0505 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. ...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas... Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation. ...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains... Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4 Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this threat. ...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains... Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley for both days with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 31 Status Reports

5 months ago
WW 0031 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 31 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE FNB TO 20 SSE LNK TO 45 E HSI. ..LYONS..03/14/25 ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC001-003-007-009-013-015-017-023-025-027-029-039-047-049-051- 053-069-071-073-075-077-079-083-085-091-099-117-121-123-125-127- 129-133-135-137-145-151-153-155-157-159-161-165-169-171-173-175- 179-181-185-187-197-142240- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE AUDUBON BLACK HAWK BOONE BREMER BUTLER CALHOUN CARROLL CASS CLARKE CRAWFORD DALLAS DAVIS DECATUR FRANKLIN FREMONT GREENE GRUNDY GUTHRIE HAMILTON HARDIN HARRISON HUMBOLDT JASPER LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA MARION MARSHALL MILLS MONONA MONROE MONTGOMERY PAGE POCAHONTAS POLK POTTAWATTAMIE POWESHIEK RINGGOLD SAC SHELBY STORY TAMA TAYLOR UNION WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE WEBSTER Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30 Status Reports

5 months ago
WW 0030 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 30 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW GMJ TO 30 NNW JLN TO 5 E OJC TO 20 SE STJ TO 15 NE STJ TO 15 ENE FNB. ..LYONS..03/14/25 ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...TOP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 30 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC003-005-009-011-013-025-037-039-047-049-057-061-063-075-081- 083-087-095-097-101-107-109-119-145-147-177-185-209-217-227- 142240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREW ATCHISON BARRY BARTON BATES CALDWELL CASS CEDAR CLAY CLINTON DADE DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY HARRISON HENRY HOLT JACKSON JASPER JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON NODAWAY RAY ST. CLAIR STONE VERNON WORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more