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SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat will be likely on Sunday across parts of the Southeast and southern Appalachians. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians, Carolinas, and Mid-Atlantic. ...Synopsis... A mid-level jet streak will shift east from the ArkLaTex to the Appalachians during the day Sunday with some amplification of the broader scale mid-level trough by the end of the period. A surface front will also shift east through the period with a weak surface low forecast to move along this boundary from MS/AL Sunday morning to the Carolinas by Sunday night. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of this front which should result in some severe weather threat from southeast Mississippi to Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Southeast/Southern Appalachians... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing at the beginning of the period from eastern Tennessee to southeast Louisiana. Instability should be relatively weak ahead of this line Sunday morning except for where upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints remain. This will initially be from central Alabama southward and perhaps expanding into parts of northern Georgia during the afternoon. Expansive cloudcover in a moist/weak lapse rate environment should limit additional destabilization. However, there should be sufficient instability for maintaining ongoing convection, potentially with some embedded supercells. Severe wind gusts and a tornado or two will be the primary threat. ...Southern Appalachians/Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic... A large MCS will likely be ongoing west of the Appalachians at the beginning of the period. The combination of the terrain, and a drier airmass along and east of the Appalachians will likely result in this line of storms weakening on Sunday morning. Some moistening and at least marginal heating through the cloud cover could result in some weak destabilization east of the Appalachians. A few strong to isolated severe storms will be possible from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic as a mid-level jet streak overspreads the region and the low-level jet intensifies. ..Bentley.. 04/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat will be likely on Sunday across parts of the Southeast and southern Appalachians. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians, Carolinas, and Mid-Atlantic. ...Synopsis... A mid-level jet streak will shift east from the ArkLaTex to the Appalachians during the day Sunday with some amplification of the broader scale mid-level trough by the end of the period. A surface front will also shift east through the period with a weak surface low forecast to move along this boundary from MS/AL Sunday morning to the Carolinas by Sunday night. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of this front which should result in some severe weather threat from southeast Mississippi to Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Southeast/Southern Appalachians... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing at the beginning of the period from eastern Tennessee to southeast Louisiana. Instability should be relatively weak ahead of this line Sunday morning except for where upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints remain. This will initially be from central Alabama southward and perhaps expanding into parts of northern Georgia during the afternoon. Expansive cloudcover in a moist/weak lapse rate environment should limit additional destabilization. However, there should be sufficient instability for maintaining ongoing convection, potentially with some embedded supercells. Severe wind gusts and a tornado or two will be the primary threat. ...Southern Appalachians/Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic... A large MCS will likely be ongoing west of the Appalachians at the beginning of the period. The combination of the terrain, and a drier airmass along and east of the Appalachians will likely result in this line of storms weakening on Sunday morning. Some moistening and at least marginal heating through the cloud cover could result in some weak destabilization east of the Appalachians. A few strong to isolated severe storms will be possible from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic as a mid-level jet streak overspreads the region and the low-level jet intensifies. ..Bentley.. 04/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat will be likely on Sunday across parts of the Southeast and southern Appalachians. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians, Carolinas, and Mid-Atlantic. ...Synopsis... A mid-level jet streak will shift east from the ArkLaTex to the Appalachians during the day Sunday with some amplification of the broader scale mid-level trough by the end of the period. A surface front will also shift east through the period with a weak surface low forecast to move along this boundary from MS/AL Sunday morning to the Carolinas by Sunday night. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of this front which should result in some severe weather threat from southeast Mississippi to Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Southeast/Southern Appalachians... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing at the beginning of the period from eastern Tennessee to southeast Louisiana. Instability should be relatively weak ahead of this line Sunday morning except for where upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints remain. This will initially be from central Alabama southward and perhaps expanding into parts of northern Georgia during the afternoon. Expansive cloudcover in a moist/weak lapse rate environment should limit additional destabilization. However, there should be sufficient instability for maintaining ongoing convection, potentially with some embedded supercells. Severe wind gusts and a tornado or two will be the primary threat. ...Southern Appalachians/Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic... A large MCS will likely be ongoing west of the Appalachians at the beginning of the period. The combination of the terrain, and a drier airmass along and east of the Appalachians will likely result in this line of storms weakening on Sunday morning. Some moistening and at least marginal heating through the cloud cover could result in some weak destabilization east of the Appalachians. A few strong to isolated severe storms will be possible from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic as a mid-level jet streak overspreads the region and the low-level jet intensifies. ..Bentley.. 04/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat will be likely on Sunday across parts of the Southeast and southern Appalachians. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians, Carolinas, and Mid-Atlantic. ...Synopsis... A mid-level jet streak will shift east from the ArkLaTex to the Appalachians during the day Sunday with some amplification of the broader scale mid-level trough by the end of the period. A surface front will also shift east through the period with a weak surface low forecast to move along this boundary from MS/AL Sunday morning to the Carolinas by Sunday night. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of this front which should result in some severe weather threat from southeast Mississippi to Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Southeast/Southern Appalachians... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing at the beginning of the period from eastern Tennessee to southeast Louisiana. Instability should be relatively weak ahead of this line Sunday morning except for where upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints remain. This will initially be from central Alabama southward and perhaps expanding into parts of northern Georgia during the afternoon. Expansive cloudcover in a moist/weak lapse rate environment should limit additional destabilization. However, there should be sufficient instability for maintaining ongoing convection, potentially with some embedded supercells. Severe wind gusts and a tornado or two will be the primary threat. ...Southern Appalachians/Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic... A large MCS will likely be ongoing west of the Appalachians at the beginning of the period. The combination of the terrain, and a drier airmass along and east of the Appalachians will likely result in this line of storms weakening on Sunday morning. Some moistening and at least marginal heating through the cloud cover could result in some weak destabilization east of the Appalachians. A few strong to isolated severe storms will be possible from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic as a mid-level jet streak overspreads the region and the low-level jet intensifies. ..Bentley.. 04/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat will be likely on Sunday across parts of the Southeast and southern Appalachians. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians, Carolinas, and Mid-Atlantic. ...Synopsis... A mid-level jet streak will shift east from the ArkLaTex to the Appalachians during the day Sunday with some amplification of the broader scale mid-level trough by the end of the period. A surface front will also shift east through the period with a weak surface low forecast to move along this boundary from MS/AL Sunday morning to the Carolinas by Sunday night. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of this front which should result in some severe weather threat from southeast Mississippi to Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Southeast/Southern Appalachians... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing at the beginning of the period from eastern Tennessee to southeast Louisiana. Instability should be relatively weak ahead of this line Sunday morning except for where upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints remain. This will initially be from central Alabama southward and perhaps expanding into parts of northern Georgia during the afternoon. Expansive cloudcover in a moist/weak lapse rate environment should limit additional destabilization. However, there should be sufficient instability for maintaining ongoing convection, potentially with some embedded supercells. Severe wind gusts and a tornado or two will be the primary threat. ...Southern Appalachians/Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic... A large MCS will likely be ongoing west of the Appalachians at the beginning of the period. The combination of the terrain, and a drier airmass along and east of the Appalachians will likely result in this line of storms weakening on Sunday morning. Some moistening and at least marginal heating through the cloud cover could result in some weak destabilization east of the Appalachians. A few strong to isolated severe storms will be possible from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic as a mid-level jet streak overspreads the region and the low-level jet intensifies. ..Bentley.. 04/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat will be likely on Sunday across parts of the Southeast and southern Appalachians. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians, Carolinas, and Mid-Atlantic. ...Synopsis... A mid-level jet streak will shift east from the ArkLaTex to the Appalachians during the day Sunday with some amplification of the broader scale mid-level trough by the end of the period. A surface front will also shift east through the period with a weak surface low forecast to move along this boundary from MS/AL Sunday morning to the Carolinas by Sunday night. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of this front which should result in some severe weather threat from southeast Mississippi to Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Southeast/Southern Appalachians... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing at the beginning of the period from eastern Tennessee to southeast Louisiana. Instability should be relatively weak ahead of this line Sunday morning except for where upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints remain. This will initially be from central Alabama southward and perhaps expanding into parts of northern Georgia during the afternoon. Expansive cloudcover in a moist/weak lapse rate environment should limit additional destabilization. However, there should be sufficient instability for maintaining ongoing convection, potentially with some embedded supercells. Severe wind gusts and a tornado or two will be the primary threat. ...Southern Appalachians/Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic... A large MCS will likely be ongoing west of the Appalachians at the beginning of the period. The combination of the terrain, and a drier airmass along and east of the Appalachians will likely result in this line of storms weakening on Sunday morning. Some moistening and at least marginal heating through the cloud cover could result in some weak destabilization east of the Appalachians. A few strong to isolated severe storms will be possible from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic as a mid-level jet streak overspreads the region and the low-level jet intensifies. ..Bentley.. 04/04/2025 Read more

WW 0114 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0114 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0113 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 113 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..04/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 113 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC005-009-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-049-051-053-057-059- 061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-089-091-097-099-101- 103-105-109-113-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-133-135-137-141-145- 147-149-042040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAXTER BOONE CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER FULTON GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MARION MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POLK POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI RANDOLPH SALINE SCOTT SEARCY SEVIER SHARP STONE VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL Read more

MD 0393 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR NORTHEAST TX...SOUTHEAST OK...AR...EXTREME NORTHWEST LA
Mesoscale Discussion 0393 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Areas affected...Northeast TX...southeast OK...AR...extreme northwest LA Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 041720Z - 041915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Supercell development is likely this afternoon. All hazards will be possible, including the potential for strong tornadoes. DISCUSSION...Rich low-level moisture is in place early this afternoon across LA and east TX into southern AR, with mean mixing ratios in the lowest 1 km of greater than 15 g/kg noted on 12Z soundings from SHV, LCH, CRP, and BRO. This moisture will continue to stream northward this afternoon, along and east of a cold front currently draped across east TX. The 12Z LZK sounding depicted a very shallow frontal inversion, and a persistently strong low-level jet should help an outflow-reinforced boundary lift northward as a warm front from AR into the lower OH Valley this afternoon, though cloudiness and persistent elevated convection north of the boundary may slow its northward advance somewhat. Gradually deepening showers are currently noted within the destabilizing environment from AR into northwest MS. Relatively warm temperatures aloft were also noted on regional 12Z soundings. However, continued diurnal heating and removal of MLCINH should eventually allow for surface-based storm development with time into this afternoon, as large-scale ascent gradually increases in advance of an approaching mid/upper-level trough. Moderate to strong buoyancy (with MLCAPE of at least 2000-3000 J/kg) and favorable deep-layer shear will support supercell development. Storm coverage may tend to be greater near the cold front from east TX into western AR, but isolated supercells will also be possible farther east and also in the vicinity of the warm front. All hazards will be possible with any surface-based supercells within this regime. Favorable instability, rich boundary-layer moisture, and relatively strong low-level shear/SRH will support the potential for strong tornadoes with any sustained, mature supercells that remain in the warm sector. One or more Tornado Watches are expected this afternoon in order to cover these threats. ..Dean/Thompson.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... LAT...LON 32569600 33879497 35829387 36329270 36439197 36419124 35829117 35079123 34429152 33429264 32369410 31759541 32569600 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions are possible on western/central portions of the Florida Peninsula, where southeast sustained winds of 10-15 mph, minimum RH of 30-45%, and temperatures in the 80s to low 90s are expected. Additionally, ERCs range from the 60th to 90th percentiles with KBDIs of 600-750 on the peninsula. Some cloud cover will help mitigate the pre-frontal fire environment, but the warming/drying trend will continue. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the western CONUS will slowly move eastward during the day on Saturday. Precipitation accompanying this trough is expected to fall across parts of the southern Rockies as well as the southern Plains, which should keep fire concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more