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1 year 5 months ago
WW 0030 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 30
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW PNC
TO 10 NW PNC TO 25 SE ICT TO 5 SW EMP.
..THORNTON..03/08/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 30
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-035-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WOODSON
OKC035-071-105-113-147-080240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG KAY NOWATA
OSAGE WASHINGTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
WW 0030 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 30
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW PNC
TO 10 NW PNC TO 25 SE ICT TO 5 SW EMP.
..THORNTON..03/08/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 30
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-035-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WOODSON
OKC035-071-105-113-147-080240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG KAY NOWATA
OSAGE WASHINGTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
WW 30 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 072025Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 30
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Northern Oklahoma
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
900 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
along a warm front near the Kansas/Oklahoma border. Supercells
capable of large hail and perhaps a tornado or two are the main
concern.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest
of Wichita KS to 30 miles southeast of Chanute KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Hart
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong thunderstorms may continue to impact portions of
the southern Great Plains tonight, posing primarily a risk for
severe hail and locally strong gusts.
...01Z Update...
Cold air continues to nose southward through the high plains, and
may advance through much of the Texas South Plains by late tonight,
while advancing more slowly southeastward across the Upper Midwest,
and middle into lower Missouri Valley. A weak wave has evolved
along the front and is forecast to migrate from southeastern Kansas
into the lower Missouri Valley overnight, but with little further
development. Otherwise, generally broad, weak surface troughing
likely will slowly shift eastward across the southern Great Plains
toward the lower Mississippi Valley.
Approaching large-scale mid-level troughing remains largely west of
the southern Rockies, with the lead of two primary embedded short
wave perturbations still progressing across Arizona and not likely
to impact the southern Great Plains until late tonight. However,
the leading edge of relative cool air in mid/upper levels has
contributed to a narrow corridor of modest destabilization near/east
of the Texas South Plains into southwestern through north central
Oklahoma. This is near the northwestern periphery of broad
mid/upper subtropical ridging still overspreading the southern Great
Plains into lower Mississippi Valley.
Residual warm layers aloft probably have continued to impact severe
weather potential with ongoing convective development across much of
central/north central Texas. This does not appear likely to change
soon, but with increasing forcing associated with the approaching
short wave impulse, various model output suggests increasing risk
for strong/severe thunderstorm development could commence near/north
of the Texas Edwards Plateau vicinity toward 07-08z, before
spreading toward the Interstate 35 corridor through daybreak.
Farther north, a couple of small supercell structures have developed
near the frontal wave, while stronger convection has otherwise
evolved into a narrow organizing line within the instability axis
across southwestern into north central Oklahoma. It appears that
this activity could remain fairly vigorous another couple of hours,
posing a risk for mainly severe hail and locally strong surface
gusts, before the instability wanes with continued boundary-layer
cooling.
..Kerr.. 03/08/2024
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong thunderstorms may continue to impact portions of
the southern Great Plains tonight, posing primarily a risk for
severe hail and locally strong gusts.
...01Z Update...
Cold air continues to nose southward through the high plains, and
may advance through much of the Texas South Plains by late tonight,
while advancing more slowly southeastward across the Upper Midwest,
and middle into lower Missouri Valley. A weak wave has evolved
along the front and is forecast to migrate from southeastern Kansas
into the lower Missouri Valley overnight, but with little further
development. Otherwise, generally broad, weak surface troughing
likely will slowly shift eastward across the southern Great Plains
toward the lower Mississippi Valley.
Approaching large-scale mid-level troughing remains largely west of
the southern Rockies, with the lead of two primary embedded short
wave perturbations still progressing across Arizona and not likely
to impact the southern Great Plains until late tonight. However,
the leading edge of relative cool air in mid/upper levels has
contributed to a narrow corridor of modest destabilization near/east
of the Texas South Plains into southwestern through north central
Oklahoma. This is near the northwestern periphery of broad
mid/upper subtropical ridging still overspreading the southern Great
Plains into lower Mississippi Valley.
Residual warm layers aloft probably have continued to impact severe
weather potential with ongoing convective development across much of
central/north central Texas. This does not appear likely to change
soon, but with increasing forcing associated with the approaching
short wave impulse, various model output suggests increasing risk
for strong/severe thunderstorm development could commence near/north
of the Texas Edwards Plateau vicinity toward 07-08z, before
spreading toward the Interstate 35 corridor through daybreak.
Farther north, a couple of small supercell structures have developed
near the frontal wave, while stronger convection has otherwise
evolved into a narrow organizing line within the instability axis
across southwestern into north central Oklahoma. It appears that
this activity could remain fairly vigorous another couple of hours,
posing a risk for mainly severe hail and locally strong surface
gusts, before the instability wanes with continued boundary-layer
cooling.
..Kerr.. 03/08/2024
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong thunderstorms may continue to impact portions of
the southern Great Plains tonight, posing primarily a risk for
severe hail and locally strong gusts.
...01Z Update...
Cold air continues to nose southward through the high plains, and
may advance through much of the Texas South Plains by late tonight,
while advancing more slowly southeastward across the Upper Midwest,
and middle into lower Missouri Valley. A weak wave has evolved
along the front and is forecast to migrate from southeastern Kansas
into the lower Missouri Valley overnight, but with little further
development. Otherwise, generally broad, weak surface troughing
likely will slowly shift eastward across the southern Great Plains
toward the lower Mississippi Valley.
Approaching large-scale mid-level troughing remains largely west of
the southern Rockies, with the lead of two primary embedded short
wave perturbations still progressing across Arizona and not likely
to impact the southern Great Plains until late tonight. However,
the leading edge of relative cool air in mid/upper levels has
contributed to a narrow corridor of modest destabilization near/east
of the Texas South Plains into southwestern through north central
Oklahoma. This is near the northwestern periphery of broad
mid/upper subtropical ridging still overspreading the southern Great
Plains into lower Mississippi Valley.
Residual warm layers aloft probably have continued to impact severe
weather potential with ongoing convective development across much of
central/north central Texas. This does not appear likely to change
soon, but with increasing forcing associated with the approaching
short wave impulse, various model output suggests increasing risk
for strong/severe thunderstorm development could commence near/north
of the Texas Edwards Plateau vicinity toward 07-08z, before
spreading toward the Interstate 35 corridor through daybreak.
Farther north, a couple of small supercell structures have developed
near the frontal wave, while stronger convection has otherwise
evolved into a narrow organizing line within the instability axis
across southwestern into north central Oklahoma. It appears that
this activity could remain fairly vigorous another couple of hours,
posing a risk for mainly severe hail and locally strong surface
gusts, before the instability wanes with continued boundary-layer
cooling.
..Kerr.. 03/08/2024
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong thunderstorms may continue to impact portions of
the southern Great Plains tonight, posing primarily a risk for
severe hail and locally strong gusts.
...01Z Update...
Cold air continues to nose southward through the high plains, and
may advance through much of the Texas South Plains by late tonight,
while advancing more slowly southeastward across the Upper Midwest,
and middle into lower Missouri Valley. A weak wave has evolved
along the front and is forecast to migrate from southeastern Kansas
into the lower Missouri Valley overnight, but with little further
development. Otherwise, generally broad, weak surface troughing
likely will slowly shift eastward across the southern Great Plains
toward the lower Mississippi Valley.
Approaching large-scale mid-level troughing remains largely west of
the southern Rockies, with the lead of two primary embedded short
wave perturbations still progressing across Arizona and not likely
to impact the southern Great Plains until late tonight. However,
the leading edge of relative cool air in mid/upper levels has
contributed to a narrow corridor of modest destabilization near/east
of the Texas South Plains into southwestern through north central
Oklahoma. This is near the northwestern periphery of broad
mid/upper subtropical ridging still overspreading the southern Great
Plains into lower Mississippi Valley.
Residual warm layers aloft probably have continued to impact severe
weather potential with ongoing convective development across much of
central/north central Texas. This does not appear likely to change
soon, but with increasing forcing associated with the approaching
short wave impulse, various model output suggests increasing risk
for strong/severe thunderstorm development could commence near/north
of the Texas Edwards Plateau vicinity toward 07-08z, before
spreading toward the Interstate 35 corridor through daybreak.
Farther north, a couple of small supercell structures have developed
near the frontal wave, while stronger convection has otherwise
evolved into a narrow organizing line within the instability axis
across southwestern into north central Oklahoma. It appears that
this activity could remain fairly vigorous another couple of hours,
posing a risk for mainly severe hail and locally strong surface
gusts, before the instability wanes with continued boundary-layer
cooling.
..Kerr.. 03/08/2024
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong thunderstorms may continue to impact portions of
the southern Great Plains tonight, posing primarily a risk for
severe hail and locally strong gusts.
...01Z Update...
Cold air continues to nose southward through the high plains, and
may advance through much of the Texas South Plains by late tonight,
while advancing more slowly southeastward across the Upper Midwest,
and middle into lower Missouri Valley. A weak wave has evolved
along the front and is forecast to migrate from southeastern Kansas
into the lower Missouri Valley overnight, but with little further
development. Otherwise, generally broad, weak surface troughing
likely will slowly shift eastward across the southern Great Plains
toward the lower Mississippi Valley.
Approaching large-scale mid-level troughing remains largely west of
the southern Rockies, with the lead of two primary embedded short
wave perturbations still progressing across Arizona and not likely
to impact the southern Great Plains until late tonight. However,
the leading edge of relative cool air in mid/upper levels has
contributed to a narrow corridor of modest destabilization near/east
of the Texas South Plains into southwestern through north central
Oklahoma. This is near the northwestern periphery of broad
mid/upper subtropical ridging still overspreading the southern Great
Plains into lower Mississippi Valley.
Residual warm layers aloft probably have continued to impact severe
weather potential with ongoing convective development across much of
central/north central Texas. This does not appear likely to change
soon, but with increasing forcing associated with the approaching
short wave impulse, various model output suggests increasing risk
for strong/severe thunderstorm development could commence near/north
of the Texas Edwards Plateau vicinity toward 07-08z, before
spreading toward the Interstate 35 corridor through daybreak.
Farther north, a couple of small supercell structures have developed
near the frontal wave, while stronger convection has otherwise
evolved into a narrow organizing line within the instability axis
across southwestern into north central Oklahoma. It appears that
this activity could remain fairly vigorous another couple of hours,
posing a risk for mainly severe hail and locally strong surface
gusts, before the instability wanes with continued boundary-layer
cooling.
..Kerr.. 03/08/2024
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong thunderstorms may continue to impact portions of
the southern Great Plains tonight, posing primarily a risk for
severe hail and locally strong gusts.
...01Z Update...
Cold air continues to nose southward through the high plains, and
may advance through much of the Texas South Plains by late tonight,
while advancing more slowly southeastward across the Upper Midwest,
and middle into lower Missouri Valley. A weak wave has evolved
along the front and is forecast to migrate from southeastern Kansas
into the lower Missouri Valley overnight, but with little further
development. Otherwise, generally broad, weak surface troughing
likely will slowly shift eastward across the southern Great Plains
toward the lower Mississippi Valley.
Approaching large-scale mid-level troughing remains largely west of
the southern Rockies, with the lead of two primary embedded short
wave perturbations still progressing across Arizona and not likely
to impact the southern Great Plains until late tonight. However,
the leading edge of relative cool air in mid/upper levels has
contributed to a narrow corridor of modest destabilization near/east
of the Texas South Plains into southwestern through north central
Oklahoma. This is near the northwestern periphery of broad
mid/upper subtropical ridging still overspreading the southern Great
Plains into lower Mississippi Valley.
Residual warm layers aloft probably have continued to impact severe
weather potential with ongoing convective development across much of
central/north central Texas. This does not appear likely to change
soon, but with increasing forcing associated with the approaching
short wave impulse, various model output suggests increasing risk
for strong/severe thunderstorm development could commence near/north
of the Texas Edwards Plateau vicinity toward 07-08z, before
spreading toward the Interstate 35 corridor through daybreak.
Farther north, a couple of small supercell structures have developed
near the frontal wave, while stronger convection has otherwise
evolved into a narrow organizing line within the instability axis
across southwestern into north central Oklahoma. It appears that
this activity could remain fairly vigorous another couple of hours,
posing a risk for mainly severe hail and locally strong surface
gusts, before the instability wanes with continued boundary-layer
cooling.
..Kerr.. 03/08/2024
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong thunderstorms may continue to impact portions of
the southern Great Plains tonight, posing primarily a risk for
severe hail and locally strong gusts.
...01Z Update...
Cold air continues to nose southward through the high plains, and
may advance through much of the Texas South Plains by late tonight,
while advancing more slowly southeastward across the Upper Midwest,
and middle into lower Missouri Valley. A weak wave has evolved
along the front and is forecast to migrate from southeastern Kansas
into the lower Missouri Valley overnight, but with little further
development. Otherwise, generally broad, weak surface troughing
likely will slowly shift eastward across the southern Great Plains
toward the lower Mississippi Valley.
Approaching large-scale mid-level troughing remains largely west of
the southern Rockies, with the lead of two primary embedded short
wave perturbations still progressing across Arizona and not likely
to impact the southern Great Plains until late tonight. However,
the leading edge of relative cool air in mid/upper levels has
contributed to a narrow corridor of modest destabilization near/east
of the Texas South Plains into southwestern through north central
Oklahoma. This is near the northwestern periphery of broad
mid/upper subtropical ridging still overspreading the southern Great
Plains into lower Mississippi Valley.
Residual warm layers aloft probably have continued to impact severe
weather potential with ongoing convective development across much of
central/north central Texas. This does not appear likely to change
soon, but with increasing forcing associated with the approaching
short wave impulse, various model output suggests increasing risk
for strong/severe thunderstorm development could commence near/north
of the Texas Edwards Plateau vicinity toward 07-08z, before
spreading toward the Interstate 35 corridor through daybreak.
Farther north, a couple of small supercell structures have developed
near the frontal wave, while stronger convection has otherwise
evolved into a narrow organizing line within the instability axis
across southwestern into north central Oklahoma. It appears that
this activity could remain fairly vigorous another couple of hours,
posing a risk for mainly severe hail and locally strong surface
gusts, before the instability wanes with continued boundary-layer
cooling.
..Kerr.. 03/08/2024
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong thunderstorms may continue to impact portions of
the southern Great Plains tonight, posing primarily a risk for
severe hail and locally strong gusts.
...01Z Update...
Cold air continues to nose southward through the high plains, and
may advance through much of the Texas South Plains by late tonight,
while advancing more slowly southeastward across the Upper Midwest,
and middle into lower Missouri Valley. A weak wave has evolved
along the front and is forecast to migrate from southeastern Kansas
into the lower Missouri Valley overnight, but with little further
development. Otherwise, generally broad, weak surface troughing
likely will slowly shift eastward across the southern Great Plains
toward the lower Mississippi Valley.
Approaching large-scale mid-level troughing remains largely west of
the southern Rockies, with the lead of two primary embedded short
wave perturbations still progressing across Arizona and not likely
to impact the southern Great Plains until late tonight. However,
the leading edge of relative cool air in mid/upper levels has
contributed to a narrow corridor of modest destabilization near/east
of the Texas South Plains into southwestern through north central
Oklahoma. This is near the northwestern periphery of broad
mid/upper subtropical ridging still overspreading the southern Great
Plains into lower Mississippi Valley.
Residual warm layers aloft probably have continued to impact severe
weather potential with ongoing convective development across much of
central/north central Texas. This does not appear likely to change
soon, but with increasing forcing associated with the approaching
short wave impulse, various model output suggests increasing risk
for strong/severe thunderstorm development could commence near/north
of the Texas Edwards Plateau vicinity toward 07-08z, before
spreading toward the Interstate 35 corridor through daybreak.
Farther north, a couple of small supercell structures have developed
near the frontal wave, while stronger convection has otherwise
evolved into a narrow organizing line within the instability axis
across southwestern into north central Oklahoma. It appears that
this activity could remain fairly vigorous another couple of hours,
posing a risk for mainly severe hail and locally strong surface
gusts, before the instability wanes with continued boundary-layer
cooling.
..Kerr.. 03/08/2024
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong thunderstorms may continue to impact portions of
the southern Great Plains tonight, posing primarily a risk for
severe hail and locally strong gusts.
...01Z Update...
Cold air continues to nose southward through the high plains, and
may advance through much of the Texas South Plains by late tonight,
while advancing more slowly southeastward across the Upper Midwest,
and middle into lower Missouri Valley. A weak wave has evolved
along the front and is forecast to migrate from southeastern Kansas
into the lower Missouri Valley overnight, but with little further
development. Otherwise, generally broad, weak surface troughing
likely will slowly shift eastward across the southern Great Plains
toward the lower Mississippi Valley.
Approaching large-scale mid-level troughing remains largely west of
the southern Rockies, with the lead of two primary embedded short
wave perturbations still progressing across Arizona and not likely
to impact the southern Great Plains until late tonight. However,
the leading edge of relative cool air in mid/upper levels has
contributed to a narrow corridor of modest destabilization near/east
of the Texas South Plains into southwestern through north central
Oklahoma. This is near the northwestern periphery of broad
mid/upper subtropical ridging still overspreading the southern Great
Plains into lower Mississippi Valley.
Residual warm layers aloft probably have continued to impact severe
weather potential with ongoing convective development across much of
central/north central Texas. This does not appear likely to change
soon, but with increasing forcing associated with the approaching
short wave impulse, various model output suggests increasing risk
for strong/severe thunderstorm development could commence near/north
of the Texas Edwards Plateau vicinity toward 07-08z, before
spreading toward the Interstate 35 corridor through daybreak.
Farther north, a couple of small supercell structures have developed
near the frontal wave, while stronger convection has otherwise
evolved into a narrow organizing line within the instability axis
across southwestern into north central Oklahoma. It appears that
this activity could remain fairly vigorous another couple of hours,
posing a risk for mainly severe hail and locally strong surface
gusts, before the instability wanes with continued boundary-layer
cooling.
..Kerr.. 03/08/2024
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
WW 0031 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N CDS TO
30 ENE CSM TO 10 WSW PNC TO 25 N PNC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0200
..THORNTON..03/08/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-033-049-051-055-057-065-067-073-075-083-087-
103-109-137-141-149-080140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KINGFISHER
KIOWA LOGAN MCCLAIN
NOBLE OKLAHOMA STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207-
235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-
451-485-487-503-080140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
WW 0030 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 30
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE AVK
TO 30 NNW PNC TO 10 SW EMP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0201
..THORNTON..03/08/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 30
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-035-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-080140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WOODSON
OKC003-035-053-071-105-113-147-080140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA CRAIG GRANT
KAY NOWATA OSAGE
WASHINGTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
Read more
1 year 5 months ago
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Mar 7 23:39:02 UTC 2024.
1 year 5 months ago
WW 0031 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CDS
TO 15 W CSM TO 25 SW AVK TO 30 WSW P28.
..THORNTON..03/07/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-047-049-051-055-057-065-067-
073-075-083-087-093-103-109-137-141-149-151-080040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE
OKLAHOMA STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODS
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207-
235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-
451-485-487-503-080040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
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1 year 5 months ago
WW 31 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 072100Z - 080400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 31
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Oklahoma
West-central and western North Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are slowly intensifying in vicinity of a
dryline over western Oklahoma and west Texas. This activity will
track eastward through the afternoon and early evening, posing a
risk of large hail and damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles south of San
Angelo TX to 40 miles east northeast of Alva OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 30...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
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1 year 5 months ago
WW 0030 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 30
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..03/07/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 30
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-015-019-035-049-073-077-099-125-133-173-191-205-207-
080040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO SEDGWICK SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
OKC003-035-053-071-105-113-147-080040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA CRAIG GRANT
KAY NOWATA OSAGE
WASHINGTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
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1 year 5 months ago
WW 30 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 072025Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 30
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Northern Oklahoma
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
900 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
along a warm front near the Kansas/Oklahoma border. Supercells
capable of large hail and perhaps a tornado or two are the main
concern.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest
of Wichita KS to 30 miles southeast of Chanute KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Hart
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1 year 5 months ago
WW 0031 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CDS
TO 15 W CSM TO 25 SW AVK TO 30 WSW P28.
..THORNTON..03/07/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-047-049-051-055-057-065-067-
073-075-083-087-093-103-109-137-141-149-151-072340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE
OKLAHOMA STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODS
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207-
235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-
451-485-487-503-072340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
Read more
Checked
5 years 10 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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