Severe Storms

WW 0174 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0174 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0174 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0174 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0171 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 171 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N BGS TO 30 E LBB TO 20 NNW PVW. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0596 ..SQUITIERI..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 171 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-009-045-055-057-065-129-153-020240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER BECKHAM ELLIS GREER HARMON JACKSON ROGER MILLS WOODWARD TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-155-169-179-191-195- 197-211-233-263-269-275-295-345-357-393-433-437-483-020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD FOARD GARZA GRAY HALL HANSFORD HARDEMAN HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING KNOX Read more

WW 0172 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 172 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 172 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-067-069-081-083-093-097- 101-109-119-135-145-151-165-167-171-175-185-189-195-203- 020140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY FORD GOVE GRANT GRAY HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE LOGAN MEADE NESS PAWNEE PRATT RUSH RUSSELL SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STEVENS TREGO WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0593 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170... FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0593 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0658 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Areas affected...southwestern Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170... Valid 012358Z - 020100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170 continues. SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW170. Instances of severe hail and damaging wind will continue over the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity continues in the northern and southern portions of WW170. To the north, clustered cell activity with transient supercell structures will continue to support risk of instances of large hail and damaging wind. Recent reports of hail as large as 1.5 in and gusts 50+ mph have been noted in this region. Further south, storms have made attempts to grow upscale along outflow, which will likely support a shift to increase in threat for damaging wind (possibly as high as 70 mph) threat in the short term, though instances of large hail will be possible. Activity is largely supported dryline forcing and will likely wane in coverage after sunset with the end of daytime heating. The propensity for anvil spread downwind has also likely limited the threat of further development with eastern extent, as witnessed by meager development along a northward moving outflow boundary near Upton and Reagan Counties. ..Thornton/Guyer.. 05/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 30130285 30890251 32380238 32890232 33020170 32930130 31940128 31340140 30550159 30080179 29820190 29750208 29750239 29880286 30130285 Read more

WW 0173 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0173 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 0592 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 171... FOR EASTERN TX PANHANDLE...FAR NORTHWESTERN TX...FAR SOUTHWESTERN/WESTERN OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0592 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0607 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Areas affected...Eastern TX Panhandle...Far Northwestern TX...Far Southwestern/Western OK Concerning...Tornado Watch 171... Valid 012307Z - 020030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 171 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for all severe hazards, including very large hail from 2.5" to 3.5" in diameter, strong gusts up to 75 mph, and tornadoes continues across the eastern TX Panhandle. DISCUSSION...Several supercells are currently ongoing across the eastern TX Panhandle, including a pair of tornadic storms, one over Roberts Ochiltree Counties in the northeast TX Panhandle and the other farther south in Briscoe and Hail Counties. Both of these storms, as well as the other supercells developing southwestward from the Panhandle into the Texas South Plains, are in a favorable environment for persistence. Main factor influencing overall updraft maintenance and storm persistence will be storm mergers/interactions. Some secondary influence from anvil shading and resulting boundary-layer cooling is possible, although this could be offset by continuing low-level moisture advection. The general expectation is for storms to persist, with perhaps one substantial storm eventually emerging out of the cluster over Briscoe and Hall Counties. Given the unimpeded inflow and anticipated strengthening of low-level flow, this storm would likely represent the best candidate for a significant severe weather, including very large hail, strong gusts, and tornadoes, over the next hour or two. Storm motion has been relatively slow thus far, generally 15 to 20 kt, with a few storm moving even slower. As such, this activity will likely remain in the eastern TX Panhandle (i.e. within Tornado Watch 171) for the next few hours. Even so, trends will be monitored for faster storm motion and the potential for activity to move into western OK earlier. ..Mosier.. 05/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 36030139 36650085 36369982 34399974 33330031 33380173 35130151 36030139 Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..05/01/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-043-081-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-227-235-317-329- 335-353-371-383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-020040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COKE CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOWARD IRION MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0171 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 171 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0592 ..SQUITIERI..05/01/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 171 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-057-020040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER HARMON TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-155-169-179-189-191- 195-197-211-233-263-269-275-295-303-305-345-357-393-433-437-483- 020040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD FOARD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HARDEMAN HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING KNOX LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY OCHILTREE Read more

WW 0172 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0172 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 0592 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 171... FOR EASTERN TX PANHANDLE...FAR NORTHWESTERN TX...FAR SOUTHWESTERN/WESTERN OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0592 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0607 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Areas affected...Eastern TX Panhandle...Far Northwestern TX...Far Southwestern/Western OK Concerning...Tornado Watch 171... Valid 012307Z - 020030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 171 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for all severe hazards, including very large hail from 2.5" to 3.5" in diameter, strong gusts up to 75 mph, and tornadoes continues across the eastern TX Panhandle. DISCUSSION...Several supercells are currently ongoing across the eastern TX Panhandle, including a pair of tornadic storms, one over Roberts Ochiltree Counties in the northeast TX Panhandle and the other farther south in Briscoe and Hail Counties. Both of these storms, as well as the other supercells developing southwestward from the Panhandle into the Texas South Plains, are in a favorable environment for persistence. Main factor influencing overall updraft maintenance and storm persistence will be storm mergers/interactions. Some secondary influence from anvil shading and resulting boundary-layer cooling is possible, although this could be offset by continuing low-level moisture advection. The general expectation is for storms to persist, with perhaps one substantial storm eventually emerging out of the cluster over Briscoe and Hall Counties. Given the unimpeded inflow and anticipated strengthening of low-level flow, this storm would likely represent the best candidate for a significant severe weather, including very large hail, strong gusts, and tornadoes, over the next hour or two. Storm motion has been relatively slow thus far, generally 15 to 20 kt, with a few storm moving even slower. As such, this activity will likely remain in the eastern TX Panhandle (i.e. within Tornado Watch 171) for the next few hours. Even so, trends will be monitored for faster storm motion and the potential for activity to move into western OK earlier. ..Mosier.. 05/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 36030139 36650085 36369982 34399974 33330031 33380173 35130151 36030139 Read more

WW 0171 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 171 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0592 ..SQUITIERI..05/01/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 171 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-057-020040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER HARMON TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-155-169-179-189-191- 195-197-211-233-263-269-275-295-303-305-345-357-393-433-437-483- 020040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD FOARD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HARDEMAN HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING KNOX LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY OCHILTREE Read more

WW 171 TORNADO OK TX 012025Z - 020400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 171 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 325 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Oklahoma Eastern Texas Panhandle * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely SUMMARY...Widely scattered but intense thunderstorms are expected to affect the watch area through the afternoon and evening. Very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes will be possible with these storms. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles east and west of a line from 5 miles west northwest of Liberal KS to 105 miles south southwest of Childress TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..05/01/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-043-081-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-227-235-317-329- 335-353-371-383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-020040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COKE CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOWARD IRION MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 170 SEVERE TSTM TX 011825Z - 020200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 170 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 125 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify this afternoon along the dryline, tracking eastward through the early evening. Very large hail and damaging winds are possible, along with an isolated tornado or two. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX to 40 miles southwest of Dryden TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0172 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0172 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 172 TORNADO KS 012155Z - 020500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 172 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 455 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western and central Kansas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms including supercells are expected to develop through early evening, initially near a surface low and dryline and warm/nearly stationary front across western Kansas. Even if storms remain relatively isolated, they will be capable of very large hail, tornadoes, and very strong wind gusts. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west of Garden City KS to 55 miles south southeast of Russell KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Relatively benign fire weather conditions are expected late this week and over the weekend. However, by the end of the weekend and into early next week a strong tough is expected to develop across the western CONUS with strong mid-level flow across the Southwest and lee cyclogenesis in the Plains. This will result in several days of severe weather concern across portions of the southern High Plains. ...D5/Sunday - Southern New Mexico.... Stronger mid-level flow will start to spread east on Sunday as the western CONUS mid-level trough advances east. There is still some uncertainty with timing of this trough and slightly faster timing could lead to Critical fire weather conditions on Sunday. ...D6/Mon-D8/Wed - Eastern New Mexico and vicinity.... Critical fire weather conditions are likely across eastern New Mexico and vicinity Monday/Day6 and Tuesday/Day7 as moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreads the southern High Plains with a deeply mixed airmass and very dry surface conditions expected. These winds will be further supported by the tightening pressure gradient from cyclogenesis in the Plains. Critical fire weather conditions may continue for most of next week to Day 8 and beyond, but there is enough model uncertainty to precede 70% Critical probabilities at this time. ..Bentley.. 05/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Relatively benign fire weather conditions are expected late this week and over the weekend. However, by the end of the weekend and into early next week a strong tough is expected to develop across the western CONUS with strong mid-level flow across the Southwest and lee cyclogenesis in the Plains. This will result in several days of severe weather concern across portions of the southern High Plains. ...D5/Sunday - Southern New Mexico.... Stronger mid-level flow will start to spread east on Sunday as the western CONUS mid-level trough advances east. There is still some uncertainty with timing of this trough and slightly faster timing could lead to Critical fire weather conditions on Sunday. ...D6/Mon-D8/Wed - Eastern New Mexico and vicinity.... Critical fire weather conditions are likely across eastern New Mexico and vicinity Monday/Day6 and Tuesday/Day7 as moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreads the southern High Plains with a deeply mixed airmass and very dry surface conditions expected. These winds will be further supported by the tightening pressure gradient from cyclogenesis in the Plains. Critical fire weather conditions may continue for most of next week to Day 8 and beyond, but there is enough model uncertainty to precede 70% Critical probabilities at this time. ..Bentley.. 05/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Relatively benign fire weather conditions are expected late this week and over the weekend. However, by the end of the weekend and into early next week a strong tough is expected to develop across the western CONUS with strong mid-level flow across the Southwest and lee cyclogenesis in the Plains. This will result in several days of severe weather concern across portions of the southern High Plains. ...D5/Sunday - Southern New Mexico.... Stronger mid-level flow will start to spread east on Sunday as the western CONUS mid-level trough advances east. There is still some uncertainty with timing of this trough and slightly faster timing could lead to Critical fire weather conditions on Sunday. ...D6/Mon-D8/Wed - Eastern New Mexico and vicinity.... Critical fire weather conditions are likely across eastern New Mexico and vicinity Monday/Day6 and Tuesday/Day7 as moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreads the southern High Plains with a deeply mixed airmass and very dry surface conditions expected. These winds will be further supported by the tightening pressure gradient from cyclogenesis in the Plains. Critical fire weather conditions may continue for most of next week to Day 8 and beyond, but there is enough model uncertainty to precede 70% Critical probabilities at this time. ..Bentley.. 05/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more