Severe Storms

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY TO NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND FROM SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... A large area of strong to severe storms are possible today from the mid-Missouri River Valley to northern Minnesota with large hail and severe wind gusts. Additional strong to severe storms are possible from southern Oklahoma to southern Mississippi where damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough across the northern Rockies will amplify and sharpen as it moves across the northern/central Plains today. Additional mid-level shortwave troughs will move along the OK/TX Panhandle and through the Midwest. A well-defined cold front will move through the Upper Midwest with a secondary surface low somewhere in the OK Panhandle vicinity. ...Northern Minnesota to Northeast Kansas... Temperatures will warm into the 80s ahead of a cold front in the Upper Midwest this afternoon where low to mid 60s will also be present. This will result MLCAPE around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Strong thunderstorms are expected to develop by mid-afternoon as convergence strengthens along the cold front and ascent increases from the approaching mid-level shortwave trough. Modest, unidirectional southwesterly flow across the region will support multicell clusters/transient supercells with a threat for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Oklahoma to central Mississippi... 00Z CAM guidance had a consistent signal for extensive convection (ongoing at 06Z) to congeal into a forward propagating MCS somewhere near southeast Oklahoma at 12Z. Ahead of this MCS, a moist airmass is present and with some heating, expect an uncapped and very unstable environment by late morning to early afternoon. Therefore, this MCS will likely continue through the day and intensify by early afternoon as inhibition erodes. The primary threat from this activity will be damaging wind gusts as the MCS moves southeast along the instability gradient. Similar to the last few days across the Texas Panhandle, an outflow boundary will likely extend westward from the morning MCS with warming/recovery in its wake as the EML advects across the region. This will likely lead to a complicated surface pattern across southwest Oklahoma as a surface low is forecast to develop and strengthen amid mid to upper 70s dewpoints and a potential outflow boundary from morning convection. A few supercells are possible with extreme instability (6000+ MLCAPE) and effective shear around 35 knots (forecast by the 04Z RAP). Any supercells which develop will pose the threat for large to very large hail and perhaps a tornado, with eventual upscale growth into a MCS with a damaging wind threat across north Texas the most likely evolution. ...Missouri into Illinois and Wisconsin... Scattered storms may develop in the vicinity of a northeastward moving upper-level trough as it moves from Kansas to Wisconsin during the day. Moderate instability (1500 to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE) will support strong updrafts with a threat for isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. However, weak shear should limit a more organized threat. ..Bentley/Lyons.. 06/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY TO NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND FROM SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... A large area of strong to severe storms are possible today from the mid-Missouri River Valley to northern Minnesota with large hail and severe wind gusts. Additional strong to severe storms are possible from southern Oklahoma to southern Mississippi where damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough across the northern Rockies will amplify and sharpen as it moves across the northern/central Plains today. Additional mid-level shortwave troughs will move along the OK/TX Panhandle and through the Midwest. A well-defined cold front will move through the Upper Midwest with a secondary surface low somewhere in the OK Panhandle vicinity. ...Northern Minnesota to Northeast Kansas... Temperatures will warm into the 80s ahead of a cold front in the Upper Midwest this afternoon where low to mid 60s will also be present. This will result MLCAPE around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Strong thunderstorms are expected to develop by mid-afternoon as convergence strengthens along the cold front and ascent increases from the approaching mid-level shortwave trough. Modest, unidirectional southwesterly flow across the region will support multicell clusters/transient supercells with a threat for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Oklahoma to central Mississippi... 00Z CAM guidance had a consistent signal for extensive convection (ongoing at 06Z) to congeal into a forward propagating MCS somewhere near southeast Oklahoma at 12Z. Ahead of this MCS, a moist airmass is present and with some heating, expect an uncapped and very unstable environment by late morning to early afternoon. Therefore, this MCS will likely continue through the day and intensify by early afternoon as inhibition erodes. The primary threat from this activity will be damaging wind gusts as the MCS moves southeast along the instability gradient. Similar to the last few days across the Texas Panhandle, an outflow boundary will likely extend westward from the morning MCS with warming/recovery in its wake as the EML advects across the region. This will likely lead to a complicated surface pattern across southwest Oklahoma as a surface low is forecast to develop and strengthen amid mid to upper 70s dewpoints and a potential outflow boundary from morning convection. A few supercells are possible with extreme instability (6000+ MLCAPE) and effective shear around 35 knots (forecast by the 04Z RAP). Any supercells which develop will pose the threat for large to very large hail and perhaps a tornado, with eventual upscale growth into a MCS with a damaging wind threat across north Texas the most likely evolution. ...Missouri into Illinois and Wisconsin... Scattered storms may develop in the vicinity of a northeastward moving upper-level trough as it moves from Kansas to Wisconsin during the day. Moderate instability (1500 to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE) will support strong updrafts with a threat for isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. However, weak shear should limit a more organized threat. ..Bentley/Lyons.. 06/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY TO NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND FROM SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... A large area of strong to severe storms are possible today from the mid-Missouri River Valley to northern Minnesota with large hail and severe wind gusts. Additional strong to severe storms are possible from southern Oklahoma to southern Mississippi where damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough across the northern Rockies will amplify and sharpen as it moves across the northern/central Plains today. Additional mid-level shortwave troughs will move along the OK/TX Panhandle and through the Midwest. A well-defined cold front will move through the Upper Midwest with a secondary surface low somewhere in the OK Panhandle vicinity. ...Northern Minnesota to Northeast Kansas... Temperatures will warm into the 80s ahead of a cold front in the Upper Midwest this afternoon where low to mid 60s will also be present. This will result MLCAPE around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Strong thunderstorms are expected to develop by mid-afternoon as convergence strengthens along the cold front and ascent increases from the approaching mid-level shortwave trough. Modest, unidirectional southwesterly flow across the region will support multicell clusters/transient supercells with a threat for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Oklahoma to central Mississippi... 00Z CAM guidance had a consistent signal for extensive convection (ongoing at 06Z) to congeal into a forward propagating MCS somewhere near southeast Oklahoma at 12Z. Ahead of this MCS, a moist airmass is present and with some heating, expect an uncapped and very unstable environment by late morning to early afternoon. Therefore, this MCS will likely continue through the day and intensify by early afternoon as inhibition erodes. The primary threat from this activity will be damaging wind gusts as the MCS moves southeast along the instability gradient. Similar to the last few days across the Texas Panhandle, an outflow boundary will likely extend westward from the morning MCS with warming/recovery in its wake as the EML advects across the region. This will likely lead to a complicated surface pattern across southwest Oklahoma as a surface low is forecast to develop and strengthen amid mid to upper 70s dewpoints and a potential outflow boundary from morning convection. A few supercells are possible with extreme instability (6000+ MLCAPE) and effective shear around 35 knots (forecast by the 04Z RAP). Any supercells which develop will pose the threat for large to very large hail and perhaps a tornado, with eventual upscale growth into a MCS with a damaging wind threat across north Texas the most likely evolution. ...Missouri into Illinois and Wisconsin... Scattered storms may develop in the vicinity of a northeastward moving upper-level trough as it moves from Kansas to Wisconsin during the day. Moderate instability (1500 to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE) will support strong updrafts with a threat for isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. However, weak shear should limit a more organized threat. ..Bentley/Lyons.. 06/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY TO NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND FROM SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... A large area of strong to severe storms are possible today from the mid-Missouri River Valley to northern Minnesota with large hail and severe wind gusts. Additional strong to severe storms are possible from southern Oklahoma to southern Mississippi where damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough across the northern Rockies will amplify and sharpen as it moves across the northern/central Plains today. Additional mid-level shortwave troughs will move along the OK/TX Panhandle and through the Midwest. A well-defined cold front will move through the Upper Midwest with a secondary surface low somewhere in the OK Panhandle vicinity. ...Northern Minnesota to Northeast Kansas... Temperatures will warm into the 80s ahead of a cold front in the Upper Midwest this afternoon where low to mid 60s will also be present. This will result MLCAPE around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Strong thunderstorms are expected to develop by mid-afternoon as convergence strengthens along the cold front and ascent increases from the approaching mid-level shortwave trough. Modest, unidirectional southwesterly flow across the region will support multicell clusters/transient supercells with a threat for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Oklahoma to central Mississippi... 00Z CAM guidance had a consistent signal for extensive convection (ongoing at 06Z) to congeal into a forward propagating MCS somewhere near southeast Oklahoma at 12Z. Ahead of this MCS, a moist airmass is present and with some heating, expect an uncapped and very unstable environment by late morning to early afternoon. Therefore, this MCS will likely continue through the day and intensify by early afternoon as inhibition erodes. The primary threat from this activity will be damaging wind gusts as the MCS moves southeast along the instability gradient. Similar to the last few days across the Texas Panhandle, an outflow boundary will likely extend westward from the morning MCS with warming/recovery in its wake as the EML advects across the region. This will likely lead to a complicated surface pattern across southwest Oklahoma as a surface low is forecast to develop and strengthen amid mid to upper 70s dewpoints and a potential outflow boundary from morning convection. A few supercells are possible with extreme instability (6000+ MLCAPE) and effective shear around 35 knots (forecast by the 04Z RAP). Any supercells which develop will pose the threat for large to very large hail and perhaps a tornado, with eventual upscale growth into a MCS with a damaging wind threat across north Texas the most likely evolution. ...Missouri into Illinois and Wisconsin... Scattered storms may develop in the vicinity of a northeastward moving upper-level trough as it moves from Kansas to Wisconsin during the day. Moderate instability (1500 to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE) will support strong updrafts with a threat for isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. However, weak shear should limit a more organized threat. ..Bentley/Lyons.. 06/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY TO NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND FROM SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... A large area of strong to severe storms are possible today from the mid-Missouri River Valley to northern Minnesota with large hail and severe wind gusts. Additional strong to severe storms are possible from southern Oklahoma to southern Mississippi where damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough across the northern Rockies will amplify and sharpen as it moves across the northern/central Plains today. Additional mid-level shortwave troughs will move along the OK/TX Panhandle and through the Midwest. A well-defined cold front will move through the Upper Midwest with a secondary surface low somewhere in the OK Panhandle vicinity. ...Northern Minnesota to Northeast Kansas... Temperatures will warm into the 80s ahead of a cold front in the Upper Midwest this afternoon where low to mid 60s will also be present. This will result MLCAPE around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Strong thunderstorms are expected to develop by mid-afternoon as convergence strengthens along the cold front and ascent increases from the approaching mid-level shortwave trough. Modest, unidirectional southwesterly flow across the region will support multicell clusters/transient supercells with a threat for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Oklahoma to central Mississippi... 00Z CAM guidance had a consistent signal for extensive convection (ongoing at 06Z) to congeal into a forward propagating MCS somewhere near southeast Oklahoma at 12Z. Ahead of this MCS, a moist airmass is present and with some heating, expect an uncapped and very unstable environment by late morning to early afternoon. Therefore, this MCS will likely continue through the day and intensify by early afternoon as inhibition erodes. The primary threat from this activity will be damaging wind gusts as the MCS moves southeast along the instability gradient. Similar to the last few days across the Texas Panhandle, an outflow boundary will likely extend westward from the morning MCS with warming/recovery in its wake as the EML advects across the region. This will likely lead to a complicated surface pattern across southwest Oklahoma as a surface low is forecast to develop and strengthen amid mid to upper 70s dewpoints and a potential outflow boundary from morning convection. A few supercells are possible with extreme instability (6000+ MLCAPE) and effective shear around 35 knots (forecast by the 04Z RAP). Any supercells which develop will pose the threat for large to very large hail and perhaps a tornado, with eventual upscale growth into a MCS with a damaging wind threat across north Texas the most likely evolution. ...Missouri into Illinois and Wisconsin... Scattered storms may develop in the vicinity of a northeastward moving upper-level trough as it moves from Kansas to Wisconsin during the day. Moderate instability (1500 to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE) will support strong updrafts with a threat for isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. However, weak shear should limit a more organized threat. ..Bentley/Lyons.. 06/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY TO NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND FROM SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... A large area of strong to severe storms are possible today from the mid-Missouri River Valley to northern Minnesota with large hail and severe wind gusts. Additional strong to severe storms are possible from southern Oklahoma to southern Mississippi where damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough across the northern Rockies will amplify and sharpen as it moves across the northern/central Plains today. Additional mid-level shortwave troughs will move along the OK/TX Panhandle and through the Midwest. A well-defined cold front will move through the Upper Midwest with a secondary surface low somewhere in the OK Panhandle vicinity. ...Northern Minnesota to Northeast Kansas... Temperatures will warm into the 80s ahead of a cold front in the Upper Midwest this afternoon where low to mid 60s will also be present. This will result MLCAPE around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Strong thunderstorms are expected to develop by mid-afternoon as convergence strengthens along the cold front and ascent increases from the approaching mid-level shortwave trough. Modest, unidirectional southwesterly flow across the region will support multicell clusters/transient supercells with a threat for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Oklahoma to central Mississippi... 00Z CAM guidance had a consistent signal for extensive convection (ongoing at 06Z) to congeal into a forward propagating MCS somewhere near southeast Oklahoma at 12Z. Ahead of this MCS, a moist airmass is present and with some heating, expect an uncapped and very unstable environment by late morning to early afternoon. Therefore, this MCS will likely continue through the day and intensify by early afternoon as inhibition erodes. The primary threat from this activity will be damaging wind gusts as the MCS moves southeast along the instability gradient. Similar to the last few days across the Texas Panhandle, an outflow boundary will likely extend westward from the morning MCS with warming/recovery in its wake as the EML advects across the region. This will likely lead to a complicated surface pattern across southwest Oklahoma as a surface low is forecast to develop and strengthen amid mid to upper 70s dewpoints and a potential outflow boundary from morning convection. A few supercells are possible with extreme instability (6000+ MLCAPE) and effective shear around 35 knots (forecast by the 04Z RAP). Any supercells which develop will pose the threat for large to very large hail and perhaps a tornado, with eventual upscale growth into a MCS with a damaging wind threat across north Texas the most likely evolution. ...Missouri into Illinois and Wisconsin... Scattered storms may develop in the vicinity of a northeastward moving upper-level trough as it moves from Kansas to Wisconsin during the day. Moderate instability (1500 to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE) will support strong updrafts with a threat for isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. However, weak shear should limit a more organized threat. ..Bentley/Lyons.. 06/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY TO NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND FROM SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... A large area of strong to severe storms are possible today from the mid-Missouri River Valley to northern Minnesota with large hail and severe wind gusts. Additional strong to severe storms are possible from southern Oklahoma to southern Mississippi where damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough across the northern Rockies will amplify and sharpen as it moves across the northern/central Plains today. Additional mid-level shortwave troughs will move along the OK/TX Panhandle and through the Midwest. A well-defined cold front will move through the Upper Midwest with a secondary surface low somewhere in the OK Panhandle vicinity. ...Northern Minnesota to Northeast Kansas... Temperatures will warm into the 80s ahead of a cold front in the Upper Midwest this afternoon where low to mid 60s will also be present. This will result MLCAPE around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Strong thunderstorms are expected to develop by mid-afternoon as convergence strengthens along the cold front and ascent increases from the approaching mid-level shortwave trough. Modest, unidirectional southwesterly flow across the region will support multicell clusters/transient supercells with a threat for large hail and damaging wind gusts. ...Southern Oklahoma to central Mississippi... 00Z CAM guidance had a consistent signal for extensive convection (ongoing at 06Z) to congeal into a forward propagating MCS somewhere near southeast Oklahoma at 12Z. Ahead of this MCS, a moist airmass is present and with some heating, expect an uncapped and very unstable environment by late morning to early afternoon. Therefore, this MCS will likely continue through the day and intensify by early afternoon as inhibition erodes. The primary threat from this activity will be damaging wind gusts as the MCS moves southeast along the instability gradient. Similar to the last few days across the Texas Panhandle, an outflow boundary will likely extend westward from the morning MCS with warming/recovery in its wake as the EML advects across the region. This will likely lead to a complicated surface pattern across southwest Oklahoma as a surface low is forecast to develop and strengthen amid mid to upper 70s dewpoints and a potential outflow boundary from morning convection. A few supercells are possible with extreme instability (6000+ MLCAPE) and effective shear around 35 knots (forecast by the 04Z RAP). Any supercells which develop will pose the threat for large to very large hail and perhaps a tornado, with eventual upscale growth into a MCS with a damaging wind threat across north Texas the most likely evolution. ...Missouri into Illinois and Wisconsin... Scattered storms may develop in the vicinity of a northeastward moving upper-level trough as it moves from Kansas to Wisconsin during the day. Moderate instability (1500 to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE) will support strong updrafts with a threat for isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. However, weak shear should limit a more organized threat. ..Bentley/Lyons.. 06/04/2024 Read more

WW 0388 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 388 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GRAMS..06/04/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 388 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-011-015-017-027-029-037-051-061-063-073-077-079-081-083- 087-091-101-107-109-111-119-121-123-125-127-133-040640- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND COAL CREEK GRADY HASKELL HUGHES KINGFISHER LATIMER LE FLORE LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE PAYNE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0387 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HEZ TO 45 NW PIB TO 55 NNW PIB TO 55 WNW MEI TO 30 ESE GWO TO 30 NNE GWO TO 35 W MEM. ..BROYLES..06/04/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC029-040540- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CONCORDIA MSC001-023-031-035-037-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085- 091-099-101-123-127-129-040540- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN MARION NESHOBA NEWTON SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0387 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HEZ TO 45 NW PIB TO 55 NNW PIB TO 55 WNW MEI TO 30 ESE GWO TO 30 NNE GWO TO 35 W MEM. ..BROYLES..06/04/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC029-040540- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CONCORDIA MSC001-023-031-035-037-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085- 091-099-101-123-127-129-040540- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN MARION NESHOBA NEWTON SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0387 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HEZ TO 45 NW PIB TO 55 NNW PIB TO 55 WNW MEI TO 30 ESE GWO TO 30 NNE GWO TO 35 W MEM. ..BROYLES..06/04/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC029-040540- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CONCORDIA MSC001-023-031-035-037-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085- 091-099-101-123-127-129-040540- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN MARION NESHOBA NEWTON SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0387 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HEZ TO 45 NW PIB TO 55 NNW PIB TO 55 WNW MEI TO 30 ESE GWO TO 30 NNE GWO TO 35 W MEM. ..BROYLES..06/04/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC029-040540- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CONCORDIA MSC001-023-031-035-037-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085- 091-099-101-123-127-129-040540- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN MARION NESHOBA NEWTON SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0387 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HEZ TO 45 NW PIB TO 55 NNW PIB TO 55 WNW MEI TO 30 ESE GWO TO 30 NNE GWO TO 35 W MEM. ..BROYLES..06/04/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC029-040540- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CONCORDIA MSC001-023-031-035-037-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085- 091-099-101-123-127-129-040540- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN MARION NESHOBA NEWTON SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0387 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HEZ TO 45 NW PIB TO 55 NNW PIB TO 55 WNW MEI TO 30 ESE GWO TO 30 NNE GWO TO 35 W MEM. ..BROYLES..06/04/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC029-040540- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CONCORDIA MSC001-023-031-035-037-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085- 091-099-101-123-127-129-040540- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN MARION NESHOBA NEWTON SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 387 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS 032355Z - 040500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 387 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 655 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Arkansas Northeast Louisiana Western Mississippi * Effective this Monday night from 655 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will spread eastward through the evening, posing a risk of locally damaging wind gusts across the watch area. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles east and west of a line from 100 miles north northeast of Greenville MS to 25 miles west southwest of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 385...WW 386... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0388 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 388 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..06/04/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 388 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-011-015-017-027-029-037-051-061-063-073-077-079-081-083- 087-091-101-107-109-111-119-121-123-125-127-133-040540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND COAL CREEK GRADY HASKELL HUGHES KINGFISHER LATIMER LE FLORE LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE PAYNE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0388 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0388 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 1158 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 387... FOR EAST TEXAS...NORTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
Mesoscale Discussion 1158 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0923 PM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Areas affected...East Texas...North-central Louisiana...Western and Central Mississippi Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387... Valid 040223Z - 040430Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387 continues. SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage threat will be possible as a linear MCS moves into the central Gulf Coast states during the overnight period. The ongoing severe thunderstorm watch has been extended in area into south-central Mississippi, and may also need to be extended in time over parts of far eastern Texas and far western Louisiana. DISCUSSION...Mosaic radar imagery over the lower Ohio and Sabine River Valleys shows two organized line segments. The first is a larger-scale line associated with an MCS that is moving into western Mississippi. The second is a relatively small-scale bowing line segment over northeast Texas. These two features are located within a moderately unstable airmass, with the RAP analyzing MLCAPE in the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range. In addition, the WSR-88D VWP at Fort Polk, LA and 00Z sounding at Jackson, MS have 0-6 km shear near 35 knots, and gradually veering winds with height in the lowest 3 km. This wind profile will be continue to be favorable for linear organization, associated with an isolated wind-damage threat late this evening into the overnight period. The threat should be greatest from eastern Louisiana and western Mississippi, although a secondary threat area will exist near the Sabine River in western Louisiana. ..Broyles.. 06/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV... LAT...LON 32419187 32269283 32539408 32529478 32339503 32039502 31629469 31239391 31049209 31409059 32448948 33008914 33458903 33788918 33938974 33939042 33759073 33149113 32419187 Read more

MD 1157 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1157 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0856 PM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Areas affected...Oklahoma...Western Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 040156Z - 040430Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A severe threat is expected to develop across parts of Oklahoma and far western Arkansas late this evening. Isolated large hail and a few strong wind gusts will become likely. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches will be possible. Weather watch issuance will become likely, once the timing of cell initiation becomes more certain. DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a moist airmass in place across the much of the southern Plains. Visible satellite imagery shows a band of agitated cumulus extending from west to east across south-central Oklahoma. The 00Z sounding at Norman shows a cap in place near 700 mb with a near surface inversion. However, short-term model guidance rapidly strengthens a low-level jet across southeastern Oklahoma. Lift associated with this feature will likely result in scattered cell initiation between 03z and 04Z. In addition, forecast soundings have effective shear near 40 knots with 700-500 mb lapse rates near 8 C/km. As cells initiate and mature, supercells with large hail will become likely. Hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible with the more intense cells. Even though the storms will be elevated, a few strong to severe wind gusts may also occur. ..Broyles/Hart.. 06/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN... LAT...LON 35489439 35199401 34739398 34379412 34109453 34229579 34549769 34799868 35149901 35689894 35979848 35979762 35739580 35489439 Read more

WW 0387 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW MLU TO 30 ESE MLU TO 40 S GLH TO 15 NNE GLH TO 45 ENE PBF. ..BROYLES..06/04/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC025-029-041-065-107-040340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN MADISON TENSAS MSC001-015-021-029-037-043-049-051-053-055-063-083-085-089-121- 125-127-133-149-163-040340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CARROLL CLAIBORNE COPIAH FRANKLIN GRENADA HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON LEFLORE LINCOLN MADISON RANKIN SHARKEY SIMPSON SUNFLOWER WARREN YAZOO THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more