Severe Storms

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for severe potential should return to the CONUS on Monday. Low-probability thunder may linger during the first couple hours of the period Monday morning across the NC Outer Banks and a sliver of southeast FL before entirely shifting off the coast. In the West, a broad upper trough will move onshore and should amplify amid multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Cool mid-level temperatures should aid in scant to meager buoyancy, with low-topped convection peaking in scattered coverage during the afternoon to early evening. Some of this activity should produce sporadic lightning, most probable in parts of the Central Valley of CA. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage appears very isolated from the northern CA/southern OR coast into the Great Basin. ..Grams.. 03/15/2025 Read more

MD 0204 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 45... FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
Mesoscale Discussion 0204 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Areas affected...South-central Mississippi Concerning...Tornado Watch 45... Valid 151751Z - 151845Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45 continues. SUMMARY...An intense to potentially violent tornado is ongoing across Waltha County, MS and is expected to continue northeast. DISCUSSION...WSR-88D Data out of KHDC shows a rapidly intensifying tornadic circulation with radar derived rotation of 60+ knots (briefly over 90 knots) and a tornado debris signature over 25kft. This suggests an intense to violent tornado is ongoing. This storm is located in the centroid of the maximum STP of 6-8 from SPC Mesoanalysis. This storm will likely be unimpeded as it moves northeast through the afternoon. Therefore, this tornado may persist for quite awhile at intense to violent intensity. ..Bentley.. 03/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX... LAT...LON 31798943 31718926 31528926 31378945 31148984 31079028 31289032 31519015 31718995 31788975 31798943 Read more

WW 0047 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 47 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0203 ..THORNTON..03/15/25 ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-051-055-061-081-087- 099-101-103-111-117-119-127-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-165-169- 175-177-181-185-187-189-151940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DE KALB DICKSON FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES GRUNDY HICKMAN JACKSON LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN MACON MARSHALL MAURY MOORE OVERTON PERRY PICKETT PUTNAM ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more